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Short Term Energy Outlook

Analysis Articles and Model Documentation


Feature Articles

Winter Fuels Outlooks
Beginning October 2005 the Winter Fuels Outlooks were no longer published separately but appear in expanded versions of the October Short-Term Energy Outlook (refer to Previous Outlooks directory

Summer Fuels Outlooks
Beginning April 2006 the Summer Fuels Outlooks were no longer published separately but appear in expanded versions of the April Short-Term Energy Outlook (refer to Previous Outlooks directory


Model Documentation ( HTML files) The following modules comprise the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System

The Short-Term Energy Outlook Model has been significantly revised in the last year to include regional models for natural gas, electricity, motor gasoline, heating oil, and propane. Documentation for these models are currently being reviewed within EIA and by outside experts. If you are interested in draft copies of the regional models contact Tancred Lidderdale (Tancred.Lidderdale@eia.doe.gov).

Regional Short-Term Energy Model (RSTEM) Overview

Statistical Overview

Click on the "X" for the selected
model documentation section

Model Description

Regression Results

Variable Definitions

Petroleum Supply Model

X (August 2000)

X (August 2000)

X (August 2000)

Petroleum Demand Model

X October 1998)

X October 1998)

X (October 1998)

"Other"Petroleum Products Demand Model

X (June 1998)

X (June 1998)

X (June 1998)

Energy Prices Model

X (July 2000)

X (July 2000)

X (July 2000)

Electricity Model

X (August 1998)

X (August 1998)

X (August 1998)

Coal Model

X (October 2001)

X (October 2001)

X (October 2001)

Natural Gas Model

X (May 1999)

X (May 1999)

X (May 1999)

Several of these files are in the PDF file format. First time PDF users will need the free
Adobe Acrobat Reader

 

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