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Short-Term Energy Outlook

Coal Model Variable Definitions


Related Coal Model Documentation


Variable NameUnitsDefinitionSource
HistoryForecast
AJDIFFMMTDCoal production discrepancySTFSTF
CCNIPUSMMTDCoal coke net importsQCRSTF
CCPRPUSMMTDProduction of coal cokeQCRSTF
CCSDPUSMMSTCoal coke producer stocksQCRSTF
CCSDPUS1MMSTCCSDPUS Lag1
CCNIPUSMMTDNet imports of coal cokeQCRSTF
CCTCPUSMMTDDemand for coal cokeQCRSTF
CCTCPUSXMMTDTemporary variable for CCTCPUS
CLAJPUSMMTDCoal supply-demand imbalanceQCR
CLAJPUSXMMTDTemporary variable for CLAJPUS
CLAJTARMMTDForecasted coal supply-demand imbalanceROT
CLCCPUSMMTDCommercial sector coal demand for coal cokeQCRSTF
CLDESTARDAYSUtility coal days of supplySTFROT
CLDKSTARDAYSCoking coal days of supplySTFROT
CLDOSTARDAYSRetail and general industry coal days of supplySTFROT
CLEOPUSBKWDUtility coal-fired electricity generation759STF
CLEUPUSMMTDUtility coal demand759STF
CLEXPUSMMTDExports of coalQCRCNEAF
CLFCPUSMMTDSynfuel plant coal demandQCRROT
CLHCPUSMMTDResidential and commercial coal demandQCRSTF
CLIPPUSMMTDIndpendent power producer coal demandCNEAFCNEAF
CLIMPUSMMTDimports of coalQCRCNEAF
CLKCPUSMMTDCoking coal demandQCRSTF
CLKCPUSXMMTDTemporary variable for CLKCPUS
CLPRPUSMMTDCoal productionQCRCNEAF
CLPRPUSXMMTDTemporary variable for CLPRPUSX
CLPRPUSYMMTDTemporary variable for CLPRPUSY
CLSDPUSMMSTStocks of coal at producers and distributorsQCRCNEAF
CLSEPUSMMSTUtility coal stocks759STF
CLSEPUSXMMSTTemporary variable for CLSEPUS
CLSEPUSYMMSTTemporary variable for CLSEPUS
CLSKPUSMMSTCoke plant coal stocksQCRSTF
CLSKPUSXMMSTTemporary variable for CLSKPUS
CLSKPUSYMMSTTemporary variable for CLSKPUS
CLSOPUSMMSTRetail and General industry coal stocksQCRSTF
CLSOPUSXMMSTTemporary variable for CLSOPUS
CLSOPUSYMMSTTemporary variable for CLSOPUS
CLSTPUSMMSTTotal secondary coal stocksQCRSTF
CLTCPUSMMTDTotal coal demandQCRSTF
CLWCPUSMMTDWaste Coal supplied for consumptionCNEAFCNEAF
CLXCPUSMMTDOther industrial coal demand excluding synfuel plantsQCRSTF
CLYCPUSMMTDOther industrial coal demand including synfuel plantsQCRSTF
CLZCPUSMMTDRetail and general industry coal demandQCRSTF
COKEBALMMTDTemporary measure of coal coke supply-demand imbalance
D8401ONINT= 1 if January 1984 or later, 0 otherwise
I87RXUSBIL$Private fixed investmentBEADRI
K1FRACCoke consumption/coke-based raw steel productionSTFSTF
K2FRACCoke net imports/coke consumptionSTFSTF
K3FRACCoke stocks/coke consumptionSTFSTF
K4FRACCoking coal consumption/coke productionSTFSTF
K5FRACElectric arc raw steel production/Total raw steel productionSTFSTF
KRDRXUSBIL$Change in manufacturing inventoriesBEADRI
RSBFPUSMMTDBasic oxygen furnace raw steel productionI&SSTF
RSELPUSMMTDElectric arc raw steel productionI&SSTF
RSPRPUSMMTDTotal raw steel productionI&SSTF
RSPRPUSAMMTDRSPRPUS seasonally adjusted
STRIKE2INT=1 if April 1981 or May 1981, 0 otherwise
TIMEINT=1 to n, where n = number of observations
TREND84INT= TIME starting January 1984, 0 otherwise
ZOSIIUSINDXCoal weighted industrial production indexSTFDRI
ZSAJQUSDAYSNumber of days in month
ZWHDPUSHDDHeating degree-days, population weighted, United StatesNOAAROT
Units Key
BIL$Billion dollars
BKWDBillion kilowatthours per day
DAYSNumber of Days
FRACFraction
HDDHeating-degree days
INDXIndex
INTPositive Integer
MMSTMillion short tons
MMTDMillion short tons per day
Source Key
759Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-759, "Monthly Power Plant Report."
BEABureau of Economic Analysis, National Income and Product Accounts of the United States
CNEAFEnergy Information Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels
DRIDRI/McGraw-Hill Macroeconomic Forecast
I&SAmerican Iron and Steel Institute
NOAANational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monthly State, Regional and National
Heating/Cooling Degree-Days Weighted by Population
QCREnergy Information Administration, Quarterly Coal Report, DOE/EIA-0121
ROT"Rule of Thumb" - in the forecast, these variables are assumed to remain constant, equal to the last
available historical data. For heating degree-days, the forecasts assume a 30-year normal (1951-1981).
STFShort-Term Integrated Forecasting System calculation


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