USGS Water Resources Research: Recent Climate Change Publications Addressing Water Availability Issues

Many of the links below are to files in Adobe® Acrobat® (.pdf) format. If you do not have Adobe® Acrobat® you can download a free copy of Adobe® Acrobat® Reader® here. Most other links are to abstracts, where generally the full article is available with a subscription to the journal or for a fee.

2008

Barnett, T.P., Pierce, D.W., Hidalgo, H.G., Bonfils, C., Santer, B.D., Das, T., Bala, G., Wood, A.W., Nozawa, T., Mirin, A.A., Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., 2008, Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States: Science, v. 316, p. 1080-1083. (pdf format, 685 KB)

Cayan, D.R., Maurer, E.P., Dettinger, M.D., Tyree, M., and Hayhoe, K., 2008, Climate change scenarios for the California region: Climatic Change, v. 87 (Suppl. 1), p. S21-S42.

Milly, P.C.D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., Hirsch, R.M., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Lettenmaier, D.P., and Stouffer, R.J., 2008, Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?: Science, v. 319, no. 5863, p. 573-574. (pdf format)

Peterson, D.H., Stewart, I., and Murphy, F., 2008, Principal hydrologic responses to climatic and geologic variability in the Sierra Nevada, California: San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, v. 6, issue 1 (February), article 3, 21 p. (5955 KB - "San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science" is an open access, peer-reviewed journal)

2007

Bidlake, William R., Edward G. Josberger, and Mark E. Savoca (2007) Water, Ice, and Meteorological Measurements at South Cascade Glacier, Washington, Balance Years 2004 and 2005, USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2007-5055, 70 p. (pdf format, 5.7 MB)

Cunningham, W.L., Geiger, L.H., and Karavitis, G.A., 2007, U.S. Geological Survey Ground-Water Climate Response Network: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2007-3003. (pdf format, 723 KB; or obtain a high resolution pdf file, 4.6 MB)

Dettinger, M.D., and Earman, S., 2007, Western ground water and climate change - Pivotal to supply sustainability or vulnerable in its own right?: Ground Water News and Views, Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers Newsletter, v. 4, no. 1, p. 4-5. (pdf format)

Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., and Aichele, S.S., 2007, Historical Changes in Precipitation and Streamflow in the U.S. Great Lakes Basin, 1915-2004: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2007-5118, 31 p. (pdf format, 18.5 MB)

Maurer, E.P., Stewart, I.T., Bonfils, C., Duffy, P.B., and Cayan, D.R., 2007: Detection, attribution, and sensitivity of trends toward earlier streamflow in the Sierra Nevada: Journal of Geophysical Research, v. 112, D11118, doi:10.1029/2006JD008088.

McCabe, G.J., Betancourt, J.L., and Hidalgo, H.G., 2007, Associations of decadal to multidecadal sea-surface temperature variability with upper Colorado River flow: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 43, no. 1, p. 183?192. doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2007.00015.x

McCabe, G.J., Clark, M.P. and Hay, L.E., 2007,. Rain-on-snow events in the western United States: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, v. 88, no. 3, p. 319-328. (pdf format, 3.41 MB, published by the American Meteorological Society with open access)

McCabe, G.J., and Wolock, D.M., 2007, Warming may create substantial water supply shortages in the Colorado River basin: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 34, L22708, doi:10.1029/2007GL031764. (pdf format, 182 KB, published by the American Geophysical Union, not subject to U.S. copyright)

2006

Hay, L.E. , Leavesley, G.H., Clark, M.P., Markstrom, S.L., Viger, R.J., and Umemoto, M., 2006, Step-wise, multiple-objective calibration of a hydrologic model for a snowmelt-dominated basin: Journal of American Water Resources, v. 42, no. 4, p. 877-890.

Hodgkins, G.A., and Dudley, R.W.,2006, Changes in the timing of winter-spring streamflows in eastern North America, 1913-2002: Geophysical Research Letters, v. 33, L06402, doi:10.1029/2005GL025593 (pdf format, 1322 KB, published by the American Geophysical Union, not subject to U.S. copytright)

Hodgkins, G.A. and Dudley, R.W., 2006, Changes in late-winter snowpack depth, water equilvalent, and density in Maine, 1926-2004: Hydrological Processes, v. 20, p. 741-751.
(pdf format, 702 KB, published by Wiley Inerscience as a U.S. Government work in the public domain)

Knowles, N., Dettinger, M.D., and Cayan, D.R., 2006, Trends in snowfall versus rainfall in the western United States: Journal of Climate, v. 18, p. 4,545-4,559.

McCabe, G.J., and Clark, M.P., 2006, Shifting covariability of North American summer monsoon precipitation with antecedent winter precipitation: International Journal of Climatology, v. 26, no. 8, p. 991-999.

Woodhouse, C.A., Gray, S.T., and Meko, D.M., 2006, Updated streamflow reconstructions for the upper Colorado River basin: Water Resources Research, v. 42, doi:10.1029/2005WR004455.

2005

Cohn, T.A. and Lins, H.F., 2005, Nature's style: Naturally trendy, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23402, doi:10.1029/2005GL024476.

Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Changes in streamflow timing in the western United States in recent decades: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3018. (pdf format, 739 KB)

Dudley, R.W., and Hodgkins, G.A., 2005, Trends in streamflow, river ice, and snowpack for coastal river basins in Maine during the 20th century: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3001. (pdf format, 723 KB)

Dudley, R. W., Hodgkins, G. A., 2005, Trends in Timing, Magnitude, and Duration of Summer and Fall/Winter Streamflows for Unregulated Coastal River Basins in Maine During the 20th Century, U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5021, 26 p. (pdf format, 1.4 MB)

Gibson, C.A., Meyer, J.L., Poff, N.L., Hay, L.E., and Georgakakos, A., 2005, Flow regime alterations under changing climate in two river basins: implications for freshwater ecosystems: River Research and Applications, v. 21, p. 849-864.

Hanson, R.T. and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Ground-water/surface-water responses to global climate simulations, Santa Clara-Calleguas basin, Ventura County, California, 1950-93: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v. 43, p. 517-536.

Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., and Huntington, T.G., 2005, Changes in the Number and Timing of Days of Ice-Affected Flow on Northern New England Rivers, 1930-2000: Climatic Change, v. 71, no. 3, p.319-340. (pdf file, 1664 KB, published by Climatic Change; the U.S. Government right to retain a non-exclusive royalty-free license in and to any copyright is acknowledged.)

Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., Huntington, T.G. 2005, Summer low flows in New England during the 20th Century: Journal of the American Water Resources Association 41 (2), pp. 403-412.

Legates, D.R., Lins, H.F., and McCabe, G.J., 2005, Comments on "Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming" by Labat and others: Advances in Water Resouces, v 28, no. 12, p. 1310-1315.

Lins, H.F., 2005, Observed trends in hydrologic cycle components, in M.G. Anderson, ed., Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences, v. 5, part 17, sec. 197, J. Wiley & Sons, London, p. 3035-3044. (pdf format, 227 KB, a U.S. Government work in the public domain)

Lins, H.F. and Slack, J.R., 2005, Seasonal and regional characteristics of U.S. streamflow trends in the United States from 1940-1999: Physical Geography, 26, 489-501. (pdf format, 313 KB)

McCabe, G.J., and Clark, M.P., 2005, Trends and variability in snowmelt runoff in the western United States: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 6, no. 4, p. 476-482.

Milly, P.C.D., Dunne, K.A., and Vecchia, A.V., 2005, Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate: Nature, v. 438, no. 7066, p. 347-350. (paper in pdf format)

Stewart, I., Cayan, D., and Dettinger, M.D., 2005, Changes towards earlier streamflow timing across western North America: Journal of Climate, v. 18, p. 1,136-1,155.

Webb, R.H., Hereford, Richard, and McCabe, G.J., 2005, Climatic fluctuations, drought, and flow in the Colorado River, in Gloss, S.P., Lovich, J.E., and Melis, T.S., eds., The State of the Colorado River Ecosystem in Grand Canyon: U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1282, p. 59-69. (on-line article in pdf format)

2004

Dettinger, M.D., Cayan, D.R., Meyer, M.K., and Jeton, A.E., 2004, Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099: Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 283-317. (article in pdf format)

Dettinger, M.D., Redmond, K.T., and Cayan, D.R., 2004, Winter orographic-precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada - Large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences: Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 6, p. 1,102-1,116. (article, in pdf format)

Huntington, T.G., Hodgkins, G.A., Keim, B.D., Dudley, R.W., 2004, Changes in the proportion of precipitation occurring as snow in New England (1949-2000): Journal of Climate 17 (13), pp. 2626-2636

Knowles, N., and Cayan, D., 2004, Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in the San Francisco Estuary and watershed: Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 319-336. (report in pdf format)

Manabe, S., Wetherald, R.T., Milly, P.C.D., Delworth, T.L., and Stouffer, R.J., 2004: Century-scale change in water availability: CO₂-quadrupling experiment. Climatic Change, 64(1-2), 59-76. (article in pdf format)

Stewart, I., Cayan, D.R., and Dettinger, M.D., 2004, Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a "Business as usual" climate change scenario: Climatic Change, v. 62, no. 1, p. 217-232. (pdf format)

Webb, R.H., McCabe, G.J., Hereford, R., and Wilkowske, C., 2004, Climatic fluctuations, drought, and flow on the Colorado River: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2004-3062 (version 2). (pdf format, 823 KB)

2003

Clow, D.W., Schrott, L., Webb, R., Campbell, D.H., Torizzo, A., and Dornblaser, M., 2003, Groundwater occurrence and contributions to streamflow in an alpine catchment, Colorado Front Range: Ground Water, v. 41, no. 7, p. 937-950.

Huntington, T.G., 2003, Climate warming could reduce runoff significantly in New England, USA: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, v. 117, no. 3-4, p. 193-201.

Huntington, T.G., Hodgkins, G.A., Dudley, R.W., 2003, Historical trend in river ice thickness and coherence in hydroclimatological trends in Maine: Climatic Change, v. 61, no. 1-2, p. 217-236.

Hodgkins, G A, R. W. Dudley, and T. G. Huntington. 2003. Changes in the timing of high river flows in New England over the 20th century: Journal of Hydrology, v. 278, p. 244 - 252.

2002