Mapped Atmosphere-Plant-Soil System Study
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Pacific Northwest Research Station Corvallis Forestry Sciences Laboratory |
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MAPSS Home > Fire Risk Forecasts
MAPSS Team Experimental Seasonal Fire Risk Forecasts
Click here to learn about our forecast methods
Click here for current Palmer Drought Severity Index
Current Fire Risk Forecasts
Fire Risk Forecasts for Individual Weather Scenarios
Fire Probability
Fire probability is defined as the percentage of climate scenarios (out of a total of 5) that predict a fire in the timeframe mentioned. The timeframe is based on observed data from the beginning of 2005 up through the most recent complete month plus 7 months of forecast based on five future climate scenarios.
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Fire Area
Fire area is defined as the average simulated area of fire if one or more scenarios have predicted a fire (including an adjustment in area to incorporate some fire suppression).
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CONSENSUS: Area burned as deviation from the 1970 -2000 normal
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Fire Risk Forecast Archives
Questions? Comments? Please give us your feedback on the usefulness of our data!
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Jim Lenihan Phone: (541) 750-7432
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Ronald P. Neilson Phone: (541) 750-7303
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US Forest Service - Pacific Northwest Research Station, Mapped
Atmosphere-Plant-Soil System Study
Last Modified: Tuesday, 07 April 2009 at 14:37:03 EDT