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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
MUCH OF EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1020 AM UNTIL 600
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS
IN PLACE ACROSS THE WATCH...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER
AND INTENSITY THRU THE AFTERNOON. 30-40KT OF SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
S/WV TROUGH PASSING BY TO THE N WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR
ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS. IN ADDITION TO LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME AN INCREASING
THREAT...PARTICULARLY WHERE SEA BREEZE FRONT CAN ENHANCE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE THIS AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 244 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC CW 051420Z - 052200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45SW SAV/SAVANNAH GA/ - OAJ/JACKSONVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /40ENE AMG - 31NNE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 32368236 35527826 34137698 30968113
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 244 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 244
VALID 051945Z - 052040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW OGB TO
35 E CHS TO 50 S CRE TO 35 E CRE TO 40 N CRE TO 15 W FLO.
..DIAL..05/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...ILM...RAH...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-052040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC017-019-047-051-061-129-133-141-155-163-052040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PENDER ROBESON
SAMPSON
$$
SCC005-009-013-019-029-031-033-035-049-053-069-052040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BEAUFORT
CHARLESTON COLLETON DARLINGTON
DILLON DORCHESTER HAMPTON
JASPER MARLBORO
$$
AMZ250-252-330-350-352-354-052040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 244
VALID 051845Z - 051940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 709
..DIAL..05/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...ILM...RAH...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-051940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC017-019-047-051-061-129-133-141-155-163-051940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PENDER ROBESON
SAMPSON
$$
SCC005-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-049-051-
053-061-067-069-075-085-089-051940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BEAUFORT
BERKELEY CALHOUN CHARLESTON
CLARENDON COLLETON DARLINGTON
DILLON DORCHESTER FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HAMPTON HORRY
JASPER LEE MARION
MARLBORO ORANGEBURG SUMTER
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-051940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 244
VALID 051730Z - 051840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...ILM...RAH...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-051840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC017-019-047-051-061-129-133-141-155-163-051840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PENDER ROBESON
SAMPSON
$$
SCC005-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-049-051-
053-061-067-069-075-085-089-051840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BEAUFORT
BERKELEY CALHOUN CHARLESTON
CLARENDON COLLETON DARLINGTON
DILLON DORCHESTER FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HAMPTON HORRY
JASPER LEE MARION
MARLBORO ORANGEBURG SUMTER
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-051840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 244
VALID 051630Z - 051740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/05/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...ILM...RAH...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-051740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC017-019-047-051-061-129-133-141-155-163-051740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PENDER ROBESON
SAMPSON
$$
SCC005-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-049-051-
053-061-067-069-075-085-089-051740-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BEAUFORT
BERKELEY CALHOUN CHARLESTON
CLARENDON COLLETON DARLINGTON
DILLON DORCHESTER FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HAMPTON HORRY
JASPER LEE MARION
MARLBORO ORANGEBURG SUMTER
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-051740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.