Short-Term
Energy Outlook See Renewables Section
Forecast Analysis - US quarterly projections
of renewables to 2010.
pages: 58, released: March 10, 2009, periodicity: Monthly, contact: Tancred Lidderdale (202)586-7321
Annual Energy Outlook - Renewables Section, Forecasts Comparison Section
Forecast Analysis - US annual projections of renewables to 2030 by US region.
Annual Energy Outlook Supporting Reports-
Assumptions for Renewables Fuels Module , Assumptions for Transportation Demand Module
NEMS: An Overview 2003 (Renewable Fuels Module) (also available in printer-friendly version),
(Transportation Demand Module) (also available in printer-friendly version)
National Energy Modeling System: Model Documentation Renewable Fuels Module ,
Transportation Sector Module
pages: 224, AEO released: June 2008 (supporting reports released thereafter), periodicity: Yearly, contact: Tom Petersik (202)586-6582
International Energy Outlook - Renewables Section
Forecast Analysis - International projections of renewable gas to 2030 by region.
pages: 12, released: June 2008, periodicity: Yearly, contact: John Staub (202)586-6344
Oil and Natural Gas Market Supply and Renewable Portfolio Standard Impacts of Selected Provisions of H.R. 3221 - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Requestors: Senators Barton, McCrery, and Young
This paper responds to an October 31, 2007, request from Representatives
Barton, McCrery, and Young requesting the Energy Information Administration
(EIA) to assess selected provisions of H.R. 3221, the energy bill adopted by
the House of Representatives in early August 2007. The analysis focuses on
Title VII, dealing with energy on Federal lands; Section 9611, which would
establish a Federal renewable portfolio standard (RPS) for certain electricity
sellers; and Section 13001, which would eliminate the eligibility of oil and natural
gas producers and refiners to claim deductions under Section 199 of the Internal
Revenue Code.
pages: 11, released: December 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Biofuels in the U.S. Transportation Sector - Errata as of 10/15/07
Sustained high world oil prices and the passage of the EPACT2005 have encouraged the use of agriculture-based ethanol and biodiesel in the transportation sector; however, both the continued growth of the biofuels industry and the long-term market potential for biofuels depend on the resolution of critical issues that influence the supply of and demand for biofuels. For each of the major biofuels—corn-based ethanol, cellulosic ethanol, and biodiesel—resolution of technical, economic, and regulatory issues remains critical to further development of biofuels in the United States.
Energy and Economic Impacts of Implementing a 25-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard and Renewable Fuel Standard by 2025 - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Requestor: Senator James Inhofe
This report responds
to a request by Senator James Inhofe for analysis of a “25-by-25" proposal
that combines a requirement that a 25-percent share of electricity sales be
produced from renewable sources by 2025 with a requirement that a 25-percent share of liquid transportation fuel sales also be derived from
renewable sources by 2025. The electricity requirement is implemented
as a renewable portfolio standard (RPS), while the motor fuel standard is
implemented as a renewable fuel standard (RFS). The report provides
a summary of the impacts of the Policy on U.S. energy markets and the
economy through 2030.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Policy
High oil and natural gas prices
Policy with high oil and natural gas prices
High technology
Policy with high technology
Low cost ethanol imports from Brazil
Policy with low cost ethanol imports from Brazil
pages: 84, released: September 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Andy Kydes (202)586-0883
Impacts of a 15-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Requestor: Senator Jeff Bingaman, Chairman, Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
This analysis responds to a request from Senator Jeff Bingaman that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) analyze a renewable portfolio standard (RPS) requiring that 15 percent of U.S. electricity sales be derived from qualifying renewable energy resources.
pages: 29, released: June 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market Impacts of a Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - Follow-up - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This analysis responds to a request from Senator Coleman that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) analyze a proposed clean energy portfolio standard (CEPS). The proposal is a copy of which is provided to Appendix B, requires electricity suppliers to increase their share of electricity sales that is generated using clean energy resources, including: nonhydropower renewable resources, new hydroelectric or nuclear resources, fuel cells, and fossil-fired plants that capture and sequester carbon dioxide emissions.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - Follow-up
pages: 41, released: February 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market Impacts of a Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senator Norm Coleman
that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) analyze a proposed
clean energy resources policy. The proposal requires retail electric
suppliers to account for an increasing fraction of incremental sales
growth with clean energy resources, including nonhydro renewable
resources, new hydroelectric or nuclear resources, fuel cells, or an
integrated gasification combined-cycle plant that sequesters its carbon
emissions.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Clean Energy Portfolio Standard
pages: 38, released: June 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Renewable Fuels Legislation Impact Analysis - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a March 29, 2005, request by Senator James Jeffords asking that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) compare the near– and mid–term potential price and supply effects of enacting S. 606, the Reliable Fuels Act or S. 650, the Fuels Security Act of 2005, relative to a scenario of not adopting such legislation. This report is a revision of a previously–released analysis.
pages: 12, released: July 2005, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Tom Petersik (202)586-6582
Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy
This report responds to a December 17, 2004 request by Senator Jeff Bingaman asking that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) assess the impacts of the recommendations made by the National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP) in its December 2004 report entitled Ending the Energy Stalemate: A Bipartisan Strategy to Meet America’s Energy Challenges. This report provides EIA’s analysis of those NCEP recommendations on energy supply, demand, and imports that could be simulated using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS).
pages: 93, released: April 2005, periodicity: One-time, contact: Andy Kydes (202)586-2222
Policies to Promote Non-hydro Renewable Energy in the United States and Selected Countries - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This article examines policies designed to encourage the development of non-hydro renewable energy in four countries - Germany, Denmark, The Netherlands, and Japan - and compares the policies enacted in each of these countries to policies that were used in the United States between 1970 and 2003. Each section includes information about countries’ electricity generation from non-hydro renewables and relates the growth in non-hydro renewable generation to countries’ policies.
pages: 30, released: February 2005, periodicity: One-time, contact: Fred Mayes (202)287-1750
State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Status Through 2003 - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This paper provides a summary of state renewable portfolio standards, renewable energy mandates, and voluntary goals as of the end of 2003 in 15 states. The paper identifies key characteristics of the programs—including their requirements and target time frame for compliance, acceptable and excluded renewable energy sources, alternatives to building new capacity, and potential sanctions. It also provides a summary of the amount of new renewable energy capacity constructed in response to the programs through the end of 2003.
pages: 9, released: July 2004, periodicity: One-time, contact: Tom Petersik (202)586-6582
Biomass for Electricity Generation - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This paper examines issues affecting the uses of biomass for electricity generation. It discusses the methodology and underlying assumptions used in the National Energy Modeling System to account for various types of biomass.
released: July 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: Zia Haq (202)586-2869
Analysis of a 10-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman on May 8, 2003 to analyze a nationwide Renewable Portfolio Standard program proposed as an amendment to energy legislation pending before the U.S. Senate.
pages: 32, released: May 2003, periodicity: One-time, contact: Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Supplement to Analysis of a 10-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Addendum: Analysis of a 10-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version )
A View of the Forest Products Industry From a
Wood Energy Perspective
The goals of this article are to (1) define the Forest Products Industry, (2) establish the approximate size and character of Industry subgroups that are important from an energy perspective, (3) identify the factors that most influence the energy profiles of these subgroups, and (4) identify and characterize the most important manufacturing processes.
released: April 2003, periodicity: One-time, contact: Fred Mayes (202)287-1750
Renewable Motor Fuel Production Capacity Under H.R.4 - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman on June 17, 2002 to analyze the impact on renewable motor fuel production capacity based on an assumption that ethanol will be used to meet a renewable fuels standard as provided for in the provisions of the Senate-passed version of H.R.4.
pages: 15, released: September 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646
Review of Transportation Issues and Comparison of Infrastructure Costs for a Renewable Fuels Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman on June 17, 2002 to analyze the inter-regional transportation issues and associated costs for increased distribution of renewable fuels based on an assumption that ethanol will be used to meet a renewable fuel standard as provided for in the provisions of H.R.4 the Senate-passed version of H.R.4.
pages: 15, released: September 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757
Timing for Startup of the Renewable Fuel Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman on June 17, 2002 to analyze whether or not moving the start date of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) included in H.R.4 from its currently proposed date of January 2004 to October 2004 would improve the chances for a smooth transition.
pages: 13, released: September 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: Joanne Shore (202)586-4677
Timing of Startups of the Low-Sulfur and RFS Programs - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman on June 17, 2002 to analyze the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) program that is proposed to begin in January 2004 in the Senate-passed version of H.R.4. The report focuses on whether supply problems could be reduced during the startup phases of these programs through timing changes.
pages: 21, released: September 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: Joanne Shore (202)586-4677
Review of Transportation Issues and
Comparison of Infrastructure Costs
for a Renewable Fuels Standard
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Jeff Bingaman,on June 17, 2002 to provide analysis of eight factors related to the
Senate-passed fuels provisions of H.R. 4, the Energy Policy Act of 2002.
pages: 15, released: September 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757
Impact of Renewable Fuels Standard/MTBE Provisions of S. 1766 - (also available in printer-friendly version ) Errata
as of 3/25/2002
Forecast Analysis - The report responds to requests received from Senator Frank Murkowski on December 20, 2001 and February 6, 2002 to analyze the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS)/methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) provisions of S. 1766. The "S. 1766" case reflects provisions of S. 1766 including a renewable fuels standard (RFS) reaching five billion gallons by 2012, a complete phase-out of MTBE within four years, and the option for States to waive the oxygen requirement for reformulated gasoline (RFG).
pages: 37, released: March 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646
Analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for Light Trucks and Increased Alternative Fuel Use - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report was prepared with a series of analyses showing the impacts of each
of the selected provisions of the bills on energy supply, demand, and prices, macroeconomic
variables where feasible, import dependence, and emissions. The analysis provided is based on
the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 (AEO2002) midterm forecasts of energy supply, demand and
prices through 2020.
pages: 65, released: March 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757
Addendum: Methodology for the Assessment of the Macroeconomic Impacts of Stricter CAFE Standards - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Impacts of Energy Research and Development (S. 1766 Sections 1211-1245, and Corresponding Sections of H.R.4) With Analyses of Price-Anderson Act and Hydroelectric Relicensing - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator Frank Murkowski on December 20, 2001 to analyze the provisions of S. 1766 and H.R. 4 that pertain to research, development, and deployment goals for a range of energy technologies. Specific draft language is taken from S. 1766. A quantitative description is offered for some of the goals and programs, while the remaining provisions are discussed qualitatively. Following the discussion of research and development, two separate topic areas are analyzed: the Price-Anderson Act (S.1766, Sec. 501-508, H.R. 2983) and Hydro Relicensing (S.1766, Sec. 301-308, H.R. 4, Sec. 401-402).
pages: 41, released: March 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646
The Transition to Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel: Effects on Prices and Supply - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This study was undertaken at the request of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives. The Committee asked the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to provide an analysis of the Final Rulemaking on Heavy-Duty Engine and Vehicle Standards and Highway Diesel Fuel Sulfur Control Requirements, which was signed by President Clinton in December 2000.
pages: 113, released: May 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646
Challenges of Electric Power Industry Restructuring for Fuel Suppliers - Chapter 5. Issues for Renewable Fuels in Competitive
Electricity Markets
The U.S. coal and electric power industries are tightly linked: more than 87 percent of total domestic coal consumption is used for generation by utilities, and coal accounts for more than 56 percent of utility power generation. The purpose of this report is to provide an assessment of the changes in other energy industries that could occur as the result of restructuring in the electric power industry.
pages: N/A, Released: September 1998, Periodicity: One-time, Contact William Watson (202) 287-1971
The Impacts of Increased Diesel Penetration in the Transportation Sector - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report presents the methodology and results of the analysis, based on the assumptions
provided by OTT. The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), EIA’s mid-term energy
forecasting model, was used for analysis of the cases.
pages: 53, released: August 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757
Transmission Pricing Issues for Electricity Generation
from Renewable Resources
- (available only in printer-friendly version )
This article discusses how the resolution of transmission pricing issues which have arisen under the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's (FERC) "open access" environment may affect the prospects for renewable-based electricity.
released: August 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Fred Mayes (202)287-1750
Renewable Electricity Purchases: History and Recent Developments - (available only in printer-friendly version )
Numerous proposals at both Federal and State levels to
allow competition in the sale of electricity have sparked
interest in the cost of renewable-based electricity.
pages: 42, released: July 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Louise Guey-Lee (202)287-1731
Wind Energy Developments: Incentives in Selected Countries - (available only in printer-friendly version )
Incentives have long been viewed as a means of supporting technological developments until a new technology becomes cost-competitive. Wind-based electricity is not yet generally competitive with alternate sources of electricity such as fossil fuels.
released: January 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Louise Guey-Lee (202)287-1731
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