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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020
Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary
References
Exhibit 14. Baseline FTE Physician Supply Projections
Line graph showing numbers of active physicians
YEAR
2000
2005
2020
Total Patient Care
714,000
784,000
888,000
Nonprimary Care
447,000
472,000
622,000
Primary Care
207,000
292,000
346,000
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