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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020
 

Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary

References
 

Exhibit 1. Overview of the Physician Supply Model

Diagram

left cylinder: Physician Supply Year=Y
3 arrows pointing from the left cylinder to the right cylinder
top arrow: Retirement death & disability
middle arrow: Physicians remain active
bottom arrow: New USMGs & IMGs
right cylinder: Physician Supply Year = Year+1

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