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Advanced
Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS)
Current water resources forecasting techniques make limited use of
growing skill in short- to long-range weather and climate forecasts.
The National Weather Service's planned Advanced Hydrologic Prediction
Service (AHPS) will take advantage of these new skills. Once implemented,
AHPS will produce hydrologic forecasts with lead times of a few days
to several months (see accompanying graphic). It will provide river
forecasts that not only account for precipitation already on the ground
but that also will probabilistically account for estimates of future
precipitation. This coupled prediction service will greatly improve
the Nation's capability to take timely and effective actions that
will significantly mitigate the impact of major floods and droughts.
The system will also provide better overall information for use in
managing competing water demands for irrigation, fisheries, hydropower
and other purposes.
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