![](https://webarchive.library.unt.edu/eot2008/20081018233916im_/http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/CDB/new-back.gif) |
ENSO-CLIPER Model Forecasts for Nino Regions & SOI
John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, Fort Collins, CO.
SEPTEMBER 2008
![](figf12.gif)
FIGURE F12.
ENSO-CLIPER statistical model forecasts of three-month average sea surface temperature anomalies (green lines, deg. C) in (top panel) the Nino 4 region (5N-5S, 160E-150W), (second panel) the Nino 3.4 region (5N-5S, 170W-120W), (third panel) the Nino 3 region (5N-5S, 150W-90W), and (fourth panel) the Nino 1+2 region (0-10S, 90W-80W) (Knaff and Landsea 1997, Wea. Forecasting, 12, 633-652). Bottom panel shows predictions of the three-month standardized Southern Oscillation Index (SOI, green line). Horizontal bars on green line indicate the adjusted root mean square error (RMSE). The Observed three-month average values are indicated by the thick blue line. SST anomalies are departures from the 1971-2000 base period means, and the SOI is calculated from the 1951-1980 base period means.
|
![](https://webarchive.library.unt.edu/eot2008/20081018233916im_/http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/CDB/new-forward.gif) |