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Community Health Workers National Workforce Study
 

Chapter 7. Current Trends

There are suggestive indications, but no statistical evidence, of the size and direction of change in the community health worker (CHW) workforce. Studies in Minnesota[1] and California [2] suggested the growth of the CHW workforce but could not be used to accurately predict a growth trend. The absence of an official definition of the CHW occupation and the erratic, short-term funding of CHW programs have hampered the collection of CHW data and made estimates difficult. However, two sources of information offer some evidence that the CHW workforce is likely to increase in the forthcoming years: the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projections of occupations that include CHWs and the interviews of CHW employers conducted for this study. The BLS data can be used to make a very rough estimate of the growth of the CHW workforce from 2000 to 2005.

Estimates of Growth for the Community Health Worker Workforce from BLS Data

The method used in this study to arrive at national and State estimates of community health workers[3] employed data from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics for two Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) codes:[4] SOC code 21-1010, Counselors, and SOC code 21-1090, Miscellaneous Community and Social Service Specialists. The "Social and Human Service Assistants" (SOC 21-1093), a subgroup of Miscellaneous Community and Social Service Specialists, was "projected to grow much faster than the average for all occupations between 2004 and 2014 and was ranked among the most rapidly growing lines of work."[5]

Current estimates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for these two occupations, 21-1010 and 21-1090, are shown in Table 7.1.[6] BLS expected that the number of individuals working in these two SOC occupation codes will increase between 2000 and 2005 by 22 and 44 percent, respectively.

Table 7.1 Percent Change in Selected SOC Codes

SOC 2000 2005 Percent Change
21-1010 434,130 530,710 22.2
21-1090 385,080 555,640 44.3
Total 819,210 1,086,350 32.6

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Using the estimated proportions of CHWs in SOC 21-1010 and 21-1090 in 2000 (1.8 and 12.4 percent, respectively) and assuming no changes in the proportions over time, an estimate of 9,758 (530,710 x 1.8 / 100) and 68,938 (555,640 x 12.4 / 100) can be made to represent the total of CHWs in these occupations in 2005. The change in those totals from 2000 to 2005 was applied to the CHW total for 2000 (85,879) to arrive at the 2005 figure of 121,206.

Table 7.2 Estimated Number of CHWs in 2000 and 2005

2000 2005 Change Percent Change
85,879 121,206 35,327 41.1

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and CHW National Workforce Study Estimates (Chapter 3).

CHW National Workforce Study Interviews (CHW/NWSI)[7]

During "best-informant" interviews with 36 employers in two large and two small Northern and Southern States,[8] a routine question was asked on future plans relative to continuing or increasing CHW personnel.

The majority of employers in Texas and Arizona who participated in the interviews were optimistic about continuing the employment of CHWs and expanding their utilization into health care services addressing diabetes, mental health, and oral health. Also, a few employers mentioned plans of involving CHWs in future clinics, emergency rooms, and additional geographic areas. All employers interviewed in the four States indicated that continued funding was the key determinant of continued CHW employment.


[1] Blue Cross Foundation. Critical Links: Study Findings and Forum Highlights on the Use of Community Health Workers and Interpreters in Minnesota. Eagan (MN): Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota Foundation, 2003; Minnesota Community Health Worker Work Force Analysis: Summary of Findings for Minneapolis and St. Paul. Minnesota Community Health Worker Project in partnership and funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Blue Cross Blue Shield Foundation, 2005.

[2] Love MB, Gardner K, Legion V. Community health workers: who they are and what they do. Health Educ Behav 1997; 24 (4):510-22; Cowans S. Bay Area Community Health Worker Study. [HED 892 - Final Report]. San Francisco (CA): San Francisco State University, 2005. 29 p.

[3]See Chapter 3 and detailed methodology in Appendix B.

[4]Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2006-07 Edition, Social and Human Service Assistants [Internet]. Washington (DC): Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor; 2006 [updated 2006 Aug 04/cited 2006 Oct 20]. Available from http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos059.htm.

[5] Ibid.

[6] Occupational Employment Statistics. Washington (DC): Division of Occupational Employment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor; [updated 2006 Oct 04/cited 2006 Oct 20]. Available from http://data.bls.gov/oes/search.jsp?data_tool=OES. Note: Customized tables.

[7] Interviews with selected candidates in the four in-depth study States were carried out from May to July 2006 to learn more about issues unattainable from extant data, including contributions CHWs have made, demand for CHWs, and future utilization of CHWs. See Appendices E1 and E2 for "workbooks" used by the research team during the interviews.

[8] Arizona, Massachusetts, New York, and Texas were selected as "in-depth" studies for this report.