Home > Petroleum > This Week In Petroleum > Historical Analysis Text
Historical Analysis Text
  2007/2006   2005/2004   2003/2002
2008
release
date		 week
ending		 TWIP Weekly Analysis
 
January 3 12/28 $100 per Barrel?
9 4 Suspicious Minds
16 11 Comparing the Present to the Past
24 18 The Cost of Coming in from the Cold
30 25 The Big Event
 
February 6 1 A Possible Economic Slowdown and Its Impact on Oil Demand
13 8 Looking for Shadows
21 15 Lost and Found Refinery Capacity
27 22 Coming Attractions
 
March 5 2/29 "The Long Run"
12 7 $4 per gallon?
19 14 Heating Fuels Prices At Record Levels
26 21 Bait and Switch
 
April 2 3/28 Winter Fuels Wrap-Up
9 4 Where Have All the Drivers Gone?
16 11 Time of the Year
23 18 The Relationship Between Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices
30 25 Factors Behind High Distillate Prices More Complex Than Gasoline
 
May 7 2 Spring and the Summer-Grade Gasoline Price Bump
14 9 Oil as a Primary Space Heating Fuel: Historical Trends
21 16 Memorial Day Gasoline Prices
29 23 Good, Better, and Best-A Comparison of Weekly, Monthly, and Annual Data
 
June 4 5/30 Nearing the $2 Mark
11 6 Monte Carlo and Forecasting Hurricanes
18 13 Low Refinery Utilization and High Prices?
25 20 Oxygenates: Btu over a Barrel
 
July 2 6/27 Calculating Gasoline Product Supplied: Theory and Practice
9 4 Jet Fuel Markets are Losing Altitude
16 11 Grilling Season vs. Heating Season
23 18 EIA’s Pump Diagrams: Factors Affecting Retail Prices for Gasoline or Diesel Fuel
30 25 Planning for the Future
 
August 6 1 The Ever-Changing Sources of US Crude Oil Imports
13 8 Declines in U.S. Petroleum Consumption Expected to Continue
20 15 Driving to Disney World is Now Less Expensive
27 22 Gasoline Markets Are In Low Gear
 
September 4 8/29 Hurricane Gustav Hits Gulf Coast with Softer Glove than Katrina/Rita
10 5 Feeling the Pinch: Gasoline Prices Vary (a lot) from Country to Country
17 12 The Second Hurricane Punch Softer than Feared
24 19 Looking Beyond the Short Run
 
October 1 9/26 Domestic Oil Markets Continue to Recover from Hurricanes
8 3 Heating Oil Grievances
16 10 Winter Outlook for Propane
22 17 Domestic Proved Reserves Increase, Especially for Natural Gas
29 24 Measuring U.S. Dependence on Foreign Oil: The What, Where, and When Factors
 
November 5 10/31 What the Economic Downturn Could Mean for Oil Markets
13 7 Trying to Get it Right
19 14 U.S. Offshore Oil Production Matters
26 21 Fuel Ethanol Margins: Boom and Bust Cycles
 
December 3 12/28 Retrospective Look at Refinery Operations after Hurricanes
10 5 The Decline in Motor Gasoline Consumption: A Replay of the Early 1980s?
17 12 Large Production Increases in Store for the Gulf of Mexico
24 19 Season's Greetings
31 26 Happy New Year
 
2006 2007
release
date		 week
ending		 TWIP Weekly Analysis release
date		 week
ending		 TWIP Weekly Analysis
 
January 5 12/29 The Year of the Fuel Spec 4 12/29 To Revise Or Not To Revise?
11 6 Déjà Vu All Over Again? 10 5 Bowled Over
19 13 Heating Oil Blues 18 12 $2 per Gallon?
25 20 Past, Present, and Future 24 19 Safety Net
31 26 A Shift in Momentum
 
February 1 1/27 Assumptions 7 2 Understanding the Context
8 3 Hello, Winter 14 9 Treading Carefully
15 10 An Unusual Sight 22 16 Not Living Up to Expectations?
23 17 Inventories and Prices Forging a New Relationship 28 23 Here Comes The Sun
 
March 1 2/24 Deal or No Deal 7 2 Punxsutawney Phil Was Wrong
8 3 A Change of Season 14 9 Vying for the Nation’s Attention
15 10 A Buying Spree? At These Prices? 21 16 The Weakest Link
22 17 An Early Peak? 28 23 Two Key Statistics to Watch
29 24 In Retrospect
 
April 5 3/31 In Like a Lion, Out Like A … 4 3/30 Spring Break
12 7 Clean and Dirty: Not Just Your Laundry! 11 6 What Will it Take?
19 14 $3 per Gallon? 18 13 What Season Is It?
26 21 Understanding Gasoline Inventories 25 20 Price Parity
 
May 3 4/28 Analyzing the Unknowable 2 4/27 Benchmark
10 5 What About “BOB”? 9 4 Chasing Records
17 12 Closing In 16 11 Gasoline FAQs
24 19 Why Gasoline Prices Have Increased in 2006 23 18 What's In a Name?
31 25 Summer Breeze
 
June 1 5/26 Summertime 6 1 What Lies Ahead
7 2 The Calm Before the Storm(s) 13 8 How Does It End?
14 9 That’s Why They Play the Games 20 15 Winter in June?
21 16 Gasoline Demand This Summer 27 22 Magic?
28 23 Peaking At the Right Time
 
July 6 6/30 Reliance on Others 5 29 Propane Used for More Than Grilling
12 7 Thinking Of Winter During Summer 11 6 The Second Half
19 14 News Flash: High Gasoline Prices Do Restrain Demand 18 13 Will Crude Oil Prices Reach $80?
26 21 Hitting "300" 25 20 Time Will Tell
 
August 2 7/28 Sweating It Out 1 7/27 Cycling
9 4 A Year of Significant Supply Challenges 8 3 Trends
16 11 A Tale of Two Summers 15 10 Be Careful When Making Assumptions
23 18 A Shift in Focus 22 17 One-Stop Shop
30 25 Are Current Conditions an Indicator of the Future? 29 24 Good News, Bad News
 
September 7 1 A Roller Coaster Year 6 8/31 Measuring Oil Demand Growth
13 8 Oil Prices Continue to Drop 12 7 Pump Up the Volume
20 15 How Low Can It Go? 19 14 At The Crossroads
27 22 Depending on Where You Live 26 21 Retractable Roofs
 
October 4 9/29 Expectations 3 9/28 Preparing for the Future
12 6 Closing the Book on 2005 11 5 October Is Just the Beginning
18 13 300 Million 17 12 Fundamentals vs. Speculation
25 20 A Possible Turning Point 24 19 Defining Records
31 26 What Do We Really Know About College Football or Crude Oil Imports?
 
November 1 10/27 The Ups and Downs of the Oil Market 7 2 Why Are Oil Prices So High?
8 3 Which Way to Vote? 15 9 Recipe for Change
15 10 A Final Conclusion? 21 16 Over the River and Through the Woods
22 17 Days of Supply Data Now Included in Tables 28 23 Where Being Above Average is Undesirable
29 24 Hot Stove Season
 
December 6 1 The Weather Outside is Frightful 5 11/30 Too Much Money?
13 8 Call(ing) on OPEC 12 7 Will Oil Prices Continue to Drop?
20 15 Smarter Than The Average Bear? 19 14 Waiting for the Goods to Arrive
28 22 2006: The Year in Review 27 21 Spinning Records

Back to Top

2005 2004
release
date		 week
ending 		TWIP Weekly Analysis release
date		 week
ending 		TWIP Weekly Analysis
 
January 5 12/31 Group Mentality? 7 1/2 Cold Weather in January?
12 7 Wild Cards 14 9 Reliving the Past
19 14 Here Comes the Cold 22 16 Uncharted Territory
26 21 Back to the Fifties? 28 23 Weathering the Storm . . . but at a Price
 
February 2 1/28 The First Sign of Spring 4 1/30 Dominoes Redux
9 4 Looking Into the Crystal Ball 11 6 The Importance of Timing
16 11 An Oil Market Urban Legend 19 13 TWIP Trends
24 18 Thoughts of Summer in February 25 20 And the Winner Is …
 
March 2 2/25 Walking Manny to Pitch to Ortiz 3 2/27 … And That’s a Wrap!
9 4 EIA Not Revising Gasoline Inventory Data 10 5 The Question on Everyone's Mind
16 11 FAQ on Gasoline and Oil Prices 17 12 The Luck of the Irish
23 18 Looking Ahead 24 19 Patience and Perspective
30 25 Crystal Balls and Gasoline Prices 31 26 What Month Is It?
 
April 6 1 The New and the Familiar 7 2 A Broken Record?
13 8 Is The Sky Falling? 15 9 A Crystal Ball
20 15 $50 and $2 21 16 Up, But From a Lower Number
27 22 Dependency 28 23 Would More Crude Oil Help?
 
May 4 4/29 Mostly Cloudy With a Slight Chance of Rain 5 4/30 The Daily Show
11 6 Yin-Yang 12 7 Gasoline Price Reprieve?
18 13 Crossover? 19 14 Cycles
25 20 Saving for a Rainy Day 26 21 More Crude Oil Should Lower Prices
 
June 2 5/27 What You See Is Not All There Is 3 5/28 The End of the Tunnel?
8 3 The Near-Term vs. the Short-Term 9 4 The Theory of Relativity
15 10 Crude Summer 16 11 It’s Like Predicting the Weather
22 17 It’s a Diesel World After All 23 18 Good News and … Not So Good News
29 24 Great Expectations 30 25 Gasoline Prices Are Declining, but for How Long?
 
July 7 1 A More Expensive Vacation Trip 8 2 Turning Corners
13 8 Twin Peaks 14 9 A New Refinery?
20 15 Speculating On Speculation 21 16 L’Alpe d’Huez
27 22 Growth in U. S. Petroleum Product Demand in 2005 28 23 A Big Wave or the Beginning of High Tide?
 
August 3 7/29 From the Dog Days of Summer … 4 7/30 Switching Focus
10 5 A Safe Landing? 11 6 The Quest for Gold
17 12 Pain At The Pump 18 13 Turnaround
24 19 Good News and Bad News 25 20 Start Value
31 26 The Sum of All Fears
 
September 8 2 What to Expect for the U.S. Gasoline Market 1 8/27 Roller Coaster
14 9 What Goes Up Will Come Down 9 3 Refiners Don’t Hold Back
21 16 Again? 15 10 Stormy Weather
28 23 A Significant Blow, But Not a Knockout 22 17 The Oil Market Impact from Ivan
29 24 Not So Fast
 
October 5 9/30 A Season To Remember 6 1 Watching The Wild Cards
13 7 Beware the Woolly Worm 14 8 Peak Timing
19 14 How Much Has Oil Demand Dropped? 20 15 Nervous
26 21 Diesel Prices Remain Elevated 27 22 Still in the Shop
 
November 2 10/28 Old Man Winter 3 10/29 Gasoline vs. Diesel Fuel
9 4 Retail Gasoline Prices Generally Follow Spot Price Changes 10 5 A Temporary Phenomenon or Here to Stay?
16 11 Most Valuable 17 12 November – A Telling Month
23 18 Learning from History 24 19 Going Places
30 25 Prognostications
 
December 7 2 Saved by the Bell…err ah …Imports 1 11/26 All Streaks Must End, Right?
14 9 Looking To the Future 8 3 Fear Factor
21 16 The Importance of Weather 15 10 Baby, It’s Cold Outside
29 23 The Year In Review 22 17 Home for the Holidays
29 24 Best of TWIP

Back to Top

2003 2002
release
date		 week
ending 		TWIP Weekly Analysis release
date		 week
ending 		TWIP Weekly Analysis
 
January 2 12/27 Venezuelan Strike Impact Seen in Latest Weekly Petroleum Data
8 3 A Surprising Week?
15 10 Dominoes 16 11 Crude Oil Inputs Remain High For This Time of Year
23 17 Another Domino Falling or a One-Week Blip? 24 18 Crude Oil Inputs Fall; Are Further Declines Yet to Come?
29 24 No Surprises 30 25 Crude Oil Inputs Fall Substantially Last Week
 
February 5 1/31 5 for 5 6 1 Crude Oil Inputs Remain Low While Product Stocks Fall
12 7 Up, Up, and Away 13 8 Last Week’s Petroleum Supply Data: Continuation of a Trend?
20 14 A Delicate Balance 21 15 What? Inventories Falling?
26 21 Crude Imports Still Low 27 22 U.S. Oil Markets Appear to be Tightening
 
March 5 2/28 Crude Oil Imports From Venezuela Increase Significantly 6 1 Curve Ahead. Watch Out for Falling … Inventories
12 7 Do Current High Petroleum Product Prices Reflect Price Gouging? 13 8 March Madness
19 14 As the Hour Draws Near 20 15 The “Circle of Life” in Petroleum Markets
26 21 Back to Normal? 27 22 It’s All In the Timing
 
April 2 3/28 The Armada Has Arrived 3 3/29 Crude Imports Key to Market Price Stability
9 4 Not So Fast 10 5 “Whassup”
16 11 Weekly Data on U.S. Crude Oil Imports 17 12 As the World Turns
23 18 Another Record, But … 24 19 When Up Is Down
. 30 25 What’s Next for Crude Oil
 
May 7 2 Do the Math 1 4/26 Bulls vs. Bears
14 9 Foreign Dependence 8 3 It’s A Crude, Crude World
21 16 A Long Trip Ahead 15 10 “30”
29 23 Start Your Engines 22 17 Forgone Conclusion
  30 24 WTI Takes A Holiday
 
June 4 5/30 A First Step 5 5/31 Surprised?
11 6 Product Build at Expense of Crude Draw 12 7 It’s US Against the World
18 13 Revisions (or Take 2) 19 14 Will Gasoline Demand Sizzle or Fizzle This Summer?
25 20 Less Than Perfect 26 21 Flat Line
 
July 2 6/27 The Price Is Right 3 6/28 Numbers to Believe In
9 4 Small Steps Forward 10 5 Are Stocks Going Up or Down?
16 11 You Never Know 17 12 Equilibrium
23 18 Fundamentally Tight or Hype? 24 19 Falling Off the Wagon
30 25 Crude Oil Imports Up, Production Down 31 26 Dominance
 
August 6 1 Gasoline Markets Steady, But Strengthening 7 2 First Impressions
13 8 Late Summer Surge 14 9 Double Dip?
20 15 Blackouts and Outages 21 16 Planes, Trains and Automobiles
27 22 What Happened 28 23 $26, $27, $28, …
 
September 4 8/29 Down a Mill 5 8/30 Turn the Page
10 5 Careful With Comparisons 11 6 A Record Breaking Summer
17 12 Prepare for the Worst; Hope for the Best 18 13 Whoa Nellie!
24 19 Revisionist History 25 20 A Tale of Two Products
 
October 1 9/26 Autumn’s Arrival 2 9/27 To Be, Or Not To Be
8 3 Can’t See the Trees for the Forest 9 4 Ready For Winter?
16 10 Curses 17 11 After the Storms
22 17 Stay Tuned 23 18 Gasoline Prices Spring Forward as the Clock Falls Back
29 24 Crude and Refined 30 25 Trick or Treat?
 
November 5 10/31 Sources 6 1 Cold Weather Heats Up Distillate Demand
13 7 A Crude Story 14 8 Is Trouble Brewing for Heating Oil This Winter?
19 14 What Is Going On? 20 15 Forward Fundamentals
26 21 How Low Are RFG Inventories? 27 22 Snow Is Not The Only Thing Falling
 
December 3 12/28 Crude Oil vs. Products 4 11/29 Where’s The Crude?
10 5 A Matter of Balance 11 6 Venezuela Impacts Not Felt Yet in U.S. Oil Data
17 12 Tightness Intensifies 18 13 Last Minute Shopping
24 19 No Scrooge This Christmas? 26 20 Petroleum Supply Data Begin to Reflect Venezuelan Impacts
31 26 Adios, 2003!  

Back to Top