UpstateSU-GRU COVID-19 Forecast

COVID-19 Forecast from SUNY Upstate Medical University and Syracuse University Team

Methods: County-level COVID-19 forecast using recurrent neural network seq2seq model with the Gated recurrent units (GRU)

Forecast Date: Jan 16, 2021

Onondaga County Incident Cases and Deaths 30 Day Forecast:

Visualize Additional Forecast Results

County-Level Predictions of R values, Cases and Deaths For The Next 4 Weeks on Chloropleth US Map

Visualize How Our Model Contributed To The Ensemble Model That CDC Uses (https://viz.covid19forecasthub.org/)

Additional Information on the Ensemble Forecast And Participating Teams

• Forecasting team and assumptions (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/forecasting-us.html#forecastassumptions)
• The COVID-19 Forecat Hub by The Reich Lab (https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/blob/master/README.md)

Links to CDC COVID-19 Weekly Forecast for US, states and counties: cases (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/forecasts-cases.html) and deaths (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/forecasting-us.html)

UpstateSU Team Members:

• Yanli Zhang-James (SUNY Upstate Medical University) zhangy@upstate.edu,
• Asif Salekin (Syracuse University) asalekin@syr.edu,
• Jonathan Hess (SUNY Upstate Medical University) hessjlmsg@gmail.com,
• Samuel Chen (SUNY Upstate Medical University) ChenSa@upstate.edu,
• Stephen V Faraone (SUNY Upstate Medical University) sfaraone@childpsychresearch.org