The NOAA HWT Spring Experiment is a yearly experiment that investigates the use of convection-allowing model forecasts as guidance for the prediction of hazardous convective weather. A variety of model output is examined and evaluated daily, and experimental forecasts are created and verified to test the applicability of cutting-edge tools in a simulated forecasting environment. The variety of model output allows us to explore different types of guidance, including products derived from both ensembles and deterministic forecasts, and to provide focused feedback to model developers. The 2011 Spring Experiment will be held from May 9th through June 10th in the HWT facility at the National Weather Center in Norman. The Experiment is scheduled to run Monday through Friday from ~730am to 5pm. In addition to the traditional focus on severe convection, the 2011 Experiment will also explore use of convection-allowing models to address the challenges of convective initiation and convective heavy rain forecasting. More information about this year's Experiment can be found below in the 2011 Spring Experiment Operations Plan. |
Spring Experiment Guidance
- Guidance Information
- In-house Guidance Graphics
-
- Spring Experiment Model Comparison Page - Severe Team
- Spring Experiment Model Comparison Page - QPF Team
- Spring Experiment Model Comparison Page - CI Team
- Operation Plans and Procedures
- External Model Pages
Evaluation Forms and Experimental Forecasts
- Evaluation Forms (internal)
-
- CI: Todays Forecast Discussion
- Severe: Evaluation of Yesterday's Forecasts
- Severe: Comparison of 00Z Deterministic Hi-Res Model Reflectivity Forecasts
- Severe: Comparison of Hourly HRRR Forecasts 14-18Z
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF Products
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF and SREF Calibrated Probability of Severe Thunderstorm Guidance
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF and SSEO Forecasts
- Severe: Assessing Impact of Different Radar Assimilation Strategies
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF Microphysics Perturbations
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF and SREF Environment Forecasts
- Severe: Evaluation of SSEF PBL Perturbations
- Severe: Evaluation of NSSL WRF Simulated Satellite Imagery
- Severe: Comparison of 00z NSSL, NASA, and NCAR ARW Forecasts
- QPF: Evaluation of Yesterday's Forecasts
- QPF: Evaluation of Deterministic and Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts
- Experimental Forecasts
-
- 2011 Experimental Forecasts - Severe Team
- 2011 Experimental Forecasts - QPF Team
- Set SVR/QPF Forecast Centerpoint
- Set CI Forecast Centerpoint
- Experimental Forecast Generation - Severe Team (Restricted)
- Experimental Forecast Generation - QPF Team (Restricted)
- Experimental PDF Generation - CI Team
- Experimental Ensemble graphics - All
- Spring Experiment Ensemble Comparison Page - CI Team
Additional Resources
- 2011 SFE: CI Final Report
- Spring Experiment Blog
- GOES-R Proving Ground Blog
- GOES-R: Description of Simulated Satellite Imagery
- GOES-R: Description of Severe Hail Probability
- GOES-R: Description of Nearcast
- Description of the Probability-Matched Ensemble Mean
- More about the Hazardous Weather Testbed and the Spring Experiment