Annual Energy Outlook 2020

Release date: January 29, 2020 | Next release date: February 3, 2021 | full report

The Annual Energy Outlook presents an assessment by the U.S. Energy Information Administration of the outlook for energy markets through 2050.

Full report PDF PPT

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In the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 2020 (AEO2020) Reference case, U.S. energy consumption grows more slowly than gross domestic product throughout the projection period (2050) as U.S. energy efficiency continues to increase. This decline in the energy intensity of the U.S. economy continues through 2050.

The electricity generation mix continues to experience a rapid rate of change, with renewables the fastest-growing source of electricity generation through 2050 because of continuing declines in the capital costs for solar and wind that are supported by federal tax credits and higher state-level renewables targets. With slow load growth and increasing electricity production from renewables, U.S. coal-fired and nuclear electricity generation declines; most of the decline occurs by the mid-2020s.

The United States continues to produce historically high levels of crude oil and natural gas. Slow growth in domestic consumption of these fuels leads to increasing exports of crude oil, petroleum products, and liquefied natural gas.

After falling during the first half of the projection period, total U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions resume modest growth in the 2030s, driven largely by increases in energy demand in the transportation and industrial sectors; however, by 2050, they remain 4% lower than 2019 levels.

Issues in Focus

March 5, 2020
Alternative Policies

January 29, 2020
Alternative Renewables Cost Assumptions in AEO2020

Reference case tables
A1	Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary
A2	Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source
A3	Table 3. Energy Prices by Sector and Source
A4	Table 4. Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption
A5	Table 5. Commercial Sector Indicators and Consumption
A6	Table 6. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption
A7	Table 7. Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption
A8	Table 8. Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions
A9	Table 9. Electricity Generating Capacity
A10	Table 10. Electricity Trade