The 2016 FAA forecast calls for U.S. carrier combined domestic and international passenger growth to average 2.2 percent per year over the next two decades. System capacity in available seat miles (ASMs) – the overall yardstick for how busy aviation is both domestically and internationally – is projected to increase by 2.6 percent in 2016 after posting a 3.9 percent increase in 2015. It will then grow at an average annual rate of 2.5 percent through 2036.
FY 2016–2036 forecast individual sections
- Forecast Highlights (PDF)
- Review of 2015 (PDF)
- Glossary and Acknowledgements (PDF)
- FAA Aerospace Forecasts FY 2016-2036 (PDF)
- Unmanned Aircraft Systems (PDF)
- Commercial Space Transportation (PDF)
- Risks to the Forecasts (PDF)
- Appendix A: Alternative Forecast Scenarios (PDF)
- Appendix B: Forecast Accuracy (PDF)
- Appendix C: Forecast Tables 1-34 (PDF)
FY 2016–2036 forecast tables
- Economic Tables (Tables 1-4) (MS Excel)
- U.S. Commercial & Foreign Flag Carriers (Tables 5–23) (MS Excel)
- U.S. Regional Carriers (Tables 24–27) (MS Excel)
- General Aviation (Tables 28–31) (MS Excel)
- Operations (Tables 32–34) (MS Excel)
FY2016–2036 forecast methodology
- FY2016–36 National Forecast Methodology (MS Word)
Previous FAA aerospace forecasts
- FY 2015–2035 (PDF)
- FY 2014–2034 (PDF)
- FY 2013–2033 (PDF)
- FY 2012–2032 (PDF)
- FY 2011–2031 (PDF)
- FY 2010–2030 (PDF)
