SERCC Research Projects

Publications

• Fuhrmann, C.M., Sugg, M.M., Konrad, C.E., Waller, A.: (2015) Impact of Extreme Heat Events on Emergency Department Visits in North Carolina (2007-2011). Journal of Community Health, DOI: 10.1007/s10900-015-0080-7

• Kovach, M.M. , C.E. Konrad, C.M. Fuhrmann : Area-level risk factors for heat-related illness in rural and urban locations across North Carolina, USA. Applied Geography, Volume 60, June 2015, Pages 175–183

• Fuhrmann, C.M., C.E. Konrad, M.M Kovach, J.T. McLeod, W.G. Schmitz, and P.G. Dixon: Ranking of tornado outbreaks in the United States and their climatological characteristics. Weather and Forecasting, in press.

• Knox, P.N., C.M. Fuhrmann, C.E. Konrad: Challenges and Opportunities for Southeast Agriculture in a Changing Climate: Perspectives from State Climatologists. Southeastern Geographer, , 54, 118-136.

• Kovach, M.M. and C.E. Konrad: The spatial distribution of tornadoes and high wind impacts associated with inland-moving tropical cyclones in the southeastern United States. Physical Geography, Spring 2014.
  

• Konrad, C.E. and C.M. Fuhrmann in press: “Climate of the Southeast United States: Past, present and future”. In Ingram, K.T., K. Dow, and L. Carter (Eds.) Climate of the Southeast United States: Variability, Change, Impacts, and Vulnerability, Island Press: Washington D.C.

• Lippmann, S.J., C.M. Fuhrmann, A. Waller, and D.B. Richardson 2013: Ambient temperature and emergency department visits for heat-related illness in North Carolina, 2007-2008. Environmental Research, in press.

• Kunkel, K.E., L.E. Stevens, S.E. Stevens, L. Sun, E. Janssen, D. Weubbles, C.E. Konrad, C.M. Fuhrmann, B.D. Keim, M.C. Kruk, A. Billot, H. Needham, M. Shafer, and J.G. Dobson, 2013: Regional Climate Trends and Scenarios for the U.S. National Climate Assessment. Part 2: Climate of the Southeast United States. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 142-2.

• Fuhrmann, C.M. and C.E. Konrad: A trajectory approach to analyzing the ingredients associated with heavy winter storms in central North Carolina. Weather and Forecasting, Volume 28, 647-667.

• Durkee, J.D., C.M. Fuhrmann, J.A. Knox, J.D. Frye, 2012: Non-Convective High Winds Associated with Extratropical Cyclones. National Weather Digest, Volume 36 Number 1, 27-41.

• Fuhrmann, C.M., C.E. Konrad, M.M. Kovach, and D.J. Perkins, 2011: The August 2007 Heat Wave In North Carolina:Meteorological Factors and Local Variability. Physical Geography, 32, 217-240. 

• Knox, J.A., J.D. Frye, J.D. Durkee, and C.M. Fuhrmann, 2011: Non-Convective High Winds Associated with Extratropical Cyclones. Geography Compass, 5, 63-89. 

• Fuhrmann, C.M., D.K. Hall, L.B. Perry, and G.A. Riggs, 2010: Spatial Patterns of Snow Cover in North Carolina: Surface and Satellite Perspectives. Proceedings of the 67th Eastern Snow Conference (in press).

• Fuhrmann, C.M., R.P. Connolly, and C.E. Konrad, 2009: Winter Storms: An Overlooked Source of Death, Destruction, and Inconvenience in the Carolina Piedmont Region. Proceedings of the Eastern Snow Conference, 66, 45-58.

• Fuhrmann, C.M., 2010: The Effects of Weather and Climate on the Seasonality of Influenza: What We Know and What We Don't Know. Geography Compass,4, 718-730.
  

• Forthun, G., M.B. Johnson, W.G. Schmitz, J. Blume, R.J. Caldwell, 2006: Trends in Fog Frequency and Duration in the Southeast United States. Physical Geography,Volume 27, Number 3 / May-June 2006.
  

• Forthun, G., 2005: Tropical Systems Affecting the U.S. Virgin Islands 1989-1999 As Compared to Hurricane Hugo. SERCC Research Series.

Conference Presentations

• Hartley, J.M.: Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at UNC-Chapel Hill 3rd Annual Climate Change Symposium, , April 22, 2016.

• Konrad, C.E.: Climate Change: Communicating the Science Presented at the CCoP Member Workshop: Building Adaptive Capacity in the Southeast & Caribbean through a Climate Community of Practice, April 13-15, 2016, Tybee Island, GA.

• Konrad, C.E.: Relationships Between Synoptic-Scale Atmospheric Fields and Precipitation Across the Eastern United States Presented at the 112th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, March 29, 2016, San Franciso, CA.

• Hartley, J.M.: Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at NC-DETECT Climate and Public Health Workgroup Meeting, March 23, 2016.

• Hartley, J.M.: Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at Water Resources Research Institute Conference, March 17-18, 2016, Raleigh, NC.

• Hartley, J.M.: Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at Water In the World, Interdisciplinary Approaches to Sustainability, November 5, 2015. Winthrop University, Rock Hill, SC.

• McLeod, J.T.: The Southeast Regional Climate Center: Providing Climate Services for the Southeast U.S. Presented at the Fall Meeting of the Southeast Climate Consortium, October 19-20, 2015. Athens, GA.

• Konrad, C.E.: Climate Change in North Carolina. Presented at the American Public Works Association (APWA) annual meeting, June 17-19, 2015. Hickory, NC

• Konrad, C.E.: Climate Perspectives: A Web-Based Tool for Assessing the Unusualness of the Weather. Presented at the 43rd Conference on Broadcast Meteorology. June 10-12, 2015. Raleigh, NC.

• Konrad, C.E.: Characterizing Weather Events and Variability in the Context of Climate Change and Health Research. Invited presentation at the 2015 Water Microbiology Conference, May 18-21 2015. Chapel Hill, NC.

• Konrad, C.E. and J.T. McLeod: Determining fine-grained climatological patterns of dryness and drought across the Carolinas. Presented at the Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop, March 24-26 2015, Las Cruces, NM

• The Climate of the Carolinas: Past, Present, and Future. Invited presentation at North Carolina Central University. March 23, 2015. Durham, NC.

• McLeod, J.T. and C.E. Konrad: Determining climatological patterns of wetness and drought at a regional to local scale across the Carolinas. Presented at the 17th Annual Conference of the Water Resources Research Institute of the University of North Carolina System, March 2015, Raleigh, NC.

• Konrad, C.E.: Climate – Public Health Research Engagement and Tool Development. Presented at the annual RISA Meeting. January 14, 2015. Charleston, SC

• Konrad, C.E.: Relationships between temperature and heat-related illness in North Carolina. Presented at the 95th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society. January 7, 2015. Phoenix, AZ

• Konrad, C.E.: The spatial patterns of tornado vulnerability across the United States. Presented at the 68th Conference of the Southeastern Division of the Association of American Geographers. November 24, 2014. Athens, GA.

• Konrad, C.E.: Relationships between temperature and heat-related illness in North Carolina. Presented at the 20th International Congress of Biometeorology. September 30, 2015. Cleveland, OH

• Konrad, C.E.: Regional variations in tornado vulnerability to tornado outbreaks across the United States. Presented at the 21st conference on Applied Climatology. June 11, 2014. Denver, CO.

• Research Projects at the Southeast Regional Climate Center. Invited presentation at the Climate Modeling Consortium Workshop. May 12, 2014. Research Triangle Park, NC.

• Konrad, C.E.: Introduction to the Web-based Tool: Climate Perspectives. Invited presentation at the Carolinas Climate Resilience Conference. April 29, 2014. Charlotte, NC.

• Konrad, C.E.: The Climate of the Carolinas: Past, Present, and Future. Invited presentation at the Carolinas Climate Resilience Conference. April 29, 2014. Charlotte, NC.

• Introduction to Climate Modeling. Invited presentation at the Center for Disease Control (CDC) on building climate resilience in Florida. April 15, 2014. Orlando, FL.

• Fuhrmann, C.M., C.E. Konrad II, M.M. Kovach, S. Lippmann, A. Waller, and L. Thie: The effect of extreme heat on human health in North Carolina. Presented at the 110th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, April 2014, Tampa, FL

• Konrad, C.E., M.M. Kovach, C.M. Fuhrmann: Trends in Tornado Vulnerability across the United States. Presented at the 110th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, April 2014, Tampa, FL (Power Point Presentation)

• Kovach, M.M., C.E. Konrad II., C.M. Fuhrmann: Temperature Thresholds for Heat Related Illness in North Carolina. Presented at the 110th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, April 2014, Tampa, FL

• Sugg, J.W., L.B. Perry, D.K. Hall, 2014: A synoptic classification of new snowfall in the southern Appalachian Mountains using MODIS Fractional Snow Cover. Presented at the 110th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, April 2014, Tampa, FL

• Mock, J, Cary, M., McWaters, W.G. Schmitz, D.W. Stahle and N. Pederson: Historical Ecology and Historical Climatology
  Presented at the 110th Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, April 2014, Tampa, FL

•   Konrad, C.E.: Trends in tornado vulnerability across the United States. Presented at the 67th Conference of the Southeastern Division of the Association of American Geographers. November 25, 2013. Roanoke, VA.

• Konrad, C.E.: Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines: Atmospheric description and climatological context. Invited presentation at the Asian Studies seminar. November 14, 2013. Chapel Hill, NC

• Fuhrmann, C.M. Relationships between excessive heat warnings, advisories, and emergency department visits in central North Carolina. Presented at the 93^rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, January 2013, Austin, TX. Listen to audio recording: https://ams.confex.com/ams/93Annual/flvgateway.cgi/id/24033?recordingid=24033

• Fuhrmann, C.M., Kovach, M.M., and C.E. Konrad II: Heat-related illness in North Carolina: Who’s at Risk? Annual Education Conference of the North Carolina Public Health Association, New Bern, NC, September 20, 2012

• Fuhrmann, C.M., Kovach, M.M., and C.E. Konrad II: Heat-related illness in North Carolina: Who’s at Risk? Presented at the Joint NOAA-CDC Symposium on Climate and Health, Atlanta, GA, September 13, 2012

• Kovach, M.M and C.E Konrad 2012: The Spatial Distribution of Meteorological Impacts from Inland Moving Tropical Cyclones. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, New York, NY, February 2012 

• Fuhrmann, C.M. and C.E. Konrad, 2012: A trajectory approach to analyzing the ingredients associated with heavy winter storms in central North Carolina. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, New York, NY, February 2012 

• Fuhrmann, C.M. and C.E. Konrad, 2012: A trajectory approach to analyzing the ingredients associated with heavy winter storms in central North Carolina. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, New Orleans, LA, January 2012

• Kovach M.M., C.M. Fuhrmann, C.E. Konrad and C. Harrison 2012: Community Level Indicators of Heat Related Morbidity in North Carolina. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, New Orleans, LA, January 2012

• Fuhrmann, C.M., M.M. Kovach, C.E. Konrad, D.J. Perkins, and D.B. Richardson: Heat-Related Morbidity in North Carolina: Who's at Risk? Presented at the Symposium on Environment and Health, Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 2011 

• Konrad, C.E., R.P Boyles, J. McGuire, and W.G. Schmitz: Climate Perspectives (CLIMPER):A New Tool for Assessing the State of the Climate Across the Southeast U.S. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 2011

• Kovach, M.M., Carlson, G.S., and C.E. Konrad: Societal Impacts of Inland Moving Tropical Cyclones across the Southeastern U.S. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, Washington, D.C., April 2010.

Conference Posters

• Hartley, J.M. Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at the Water In the World, Interdisciplinary Approaches to Sustainability. November 5, 2015. Winthrop University, Rock Hill, SC.

• Hartley, J.M. Spatial and temporal patterns of gastrointestinal illness and their relationship with precipitation across the state of North Carolina. Presented at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Water and Health Conference, October 26-30, 2015. Chapel Hill, NC.

• Fuhrmann, C.M., C.E. Konrad, II, and J.D. Durkee Relationships between synoptic-scale circulation features and antecedent upstream air trajectories associated with winter storms in central North Carolina. Presented at the 94th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, February 2014, Atlanta, GA

• McLeod, J.T., C.E. Konrad: A Climatological Perspective on Tornado Outbreaks Spawned by Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Across the Eastern United States. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, New York, NY, February 2012

• Konrad, C.E., M.M. Kovach, J. McLeod, H. Fox, C.M. Fuhrmann, W.G. Schmitz, and D.J. Perkins 2012: Assessing the magnitude and societal impacts of the April 25-28, 2011 tornado outbreak in the southeastern U.S. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, New Orleans, LA, January 2012 

• McLeod, J.T., C.E. Konrad: A Climatological Perspective on Tornado Outbreaks Spawned by Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Across the Eastern United States. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, New Orleans, LA, January 2012

• Perkins, D.J.: Tourism Climatology in the Southeast United States. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, Seattle, WA, January 2011 

• Kovach, M.M.: Societal and Meteorological Impacts of Inland Moving Tropical Cyclones  
  Best Graduate Student Poster in the Honors Competition for the Southeastern Division of the Association of American Geographers, Birmingham, AL, November 2010

• McLeod, J.T., H. Fox: Understanding Temperature Predictions and the Probability of Precipitation: What Does the Forecast Really Tell Us? Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southeastern Division of the Association of American Geographers, Birmingham, AL, November 2010

• Fuhrmann, C.M., W.G. Schmitz, C.E. Konrad, and M.M. Kovach: A Review of the 2009-2010 Winter Season Across the Southeast United States. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Eastern Snow Conference, Hancock, MA, June 2010

• Vaughan, L., Schmitz, W.G., Calderone, J.: Collaborating Within NOAA Working Together to Enhance Public Services. Presented at the NOAA in the Carolinas Workshop, Asheville, NC, April 21-22, 2010

• Robinson, P.J., C.E. Konrad, C.M. Fuhrmann, and G.S. Carlson: An Overview of Climate-Health Initiatives at the SERCC. Presented at the Annual One Medicine Symposium, Durham, NC, December 2008

• Fuhrmann, C.M., G.S. Carlson, P.R. Robinson, and C.E. Konrad: Weather, Climate, and Influenza: What We Know and What We Don't Know. Presented at the Annual One Medicine Symposium, Durham, NC, December 2008.

• Konrad, C.E., C.M. Fuhrmann, and G.S. Carlson: Trends in Extreme Weather across the Southeast U.S. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southeastern Division of the Association of American Geographers, Greensboro, NC, November 2008

• Forthun, G., M.B. Johnson, W.G. Schmitz, and J. Blume: Trends in Fog Frequency and Duration in the Southeast United States. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association of State Climatologists, Savannah, GA, June 2005.

Collaborators

•  Carolinas Integrated Sciences & Assessments (CISA)

Integrating Climate Science and Water Management in North and South Carolina to investigate how decision makers currently use climate information to manage water and how such use could be expanded most beneficially.

• Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
• Gillings School of Global Public Health, UNC-Chapel Hill
• North Carolina Division of Public Health
• Department of Emergency Medicine, UNC-Chapel Hill
• Research Triangle Institute