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Outlooks & Forecasts

When will drought affect me? How long could it last? Choose a forecast product below to get information, forecasts, and outlooks on what could be ahead.

 

US Seasonal Drought Outlook
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The Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) Seasonal Drought Outlook is issued monthly on the third Thursday of each month. The Outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same or get better in the next three months.
US Monthly Drought Outlook
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The National Weather Service Monthly Drought Outlook is issued at the end of each calendar month and is valid for the upcoming month. The Outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same or get better over the next 30 days or so.
Seasonal Climate Forecasts
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Worldwide predictions for temperature and precipitation from the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University.
Drought Termination and Amelioration
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Users can generate maps to show probability of precipitation to ameliorate or end a drought at different scales within one to six months. Or, the amount of precipitation required to ameliorate or end a drought within one to six months.
Monthly and Seasonal Soil Moisture Outlooks
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Temperature and precipitation forecasts for one to six months ahead.
GFS Soil Moisture Anomaly
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Predictions for the upcoming week or two weeks.
Experimental Surface Water Monitor
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Forecasts for soil moisture (SM) and cumulative runoff percentiles at one-, two- and three-month leads.
Streamflow Forecast Maps
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Available in spring and summer for the western U.S., forecasts of percent of monthly average flow compared to data from 1981-2010. Click here to find actual conditions.
State Water Supply Outlook Reports
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Data from the USDA for streamflow forecasts, reservoir storage and other hydrologic information for the Western states.
3-8 Day Fire Weather Outlook
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Updates daily. For an interactive map with options to show layers depicting watches and warnings, weather outlooks, spot forecasts, click here
National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook
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Seasonal fire potential. Click for the current month or the next month.
El Niño Information
NOAA’s El Niño Portal: Current status of El Niño and explanatory links. El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion and Weekly ENSO: Detailed explanation of El Ninõ’s current status and progression. ENSO and Drought Forecasting: A primer on El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO), from the National Drought Mitigation Center.