Mar 9, 2013 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 9 08:14:48 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20130309 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 090812
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 AM CST SAT MAR 09 2013
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY
   ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EWD INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS.
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
   GULF COAST STATES DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL
   FOR CONVECTION CONCENTRATED ACROSS SRN AL AND THE WRN FL PANHANDLE
   WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS COULD BE AROUND 60 F. IN SPITE OF THE LOW-LEVEL
   MOISTURE...MARGINAL LAPSE RATES SHOULD KEEP INSTABILITY VERY WEAK.
   FOR THIS REASON...SEVERE CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF
   COAST STATES MONDAY AFTERNOON.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 03/09/2013
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z