North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS)

The North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) NACSP Focus Area will improve Operational day 1-16 predictions for North America by combining different Ensemble Prediction Systems into a super Ensemble. Objectives of this activity are:

• Ensemble forecast system comparison
• Exchange higher resolution (0.5 degree) ensemble forecast data
• Development/improvement of common post process for multi-model ensemble
• Development and assessment specialized products useful for decision makers (e.g. probabilistic forecasts)
• Expand the Data exchange to the Regional Ensemble Systems

Relevant Links:
Canada
U.S. NOAA, NWS National Centers for Environmental Predictions (NCEP)