Tag Archives: Hurricane Earl

Paper on how the region near the ocean surface impacts hurricane forecasts released online in Monthly Weather Review

Posted on December 19, 2016 by

 Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong it will be, how large it will be, and where the strongest winds are. This paper looks … Continue reading →

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Posted in Dynamics and Physics, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Modeling and Prediction, Publications | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Paper on a new way to run forecast models with multiple hurricanes at the same time published in Weather and Forecasting

Posted on December 15, 2016 by

Summary: HWRF is NOAA’s primary model for tropical cyclone (tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes) forecast. The distance between places where forecasts are made in the model (the grid resolution) must be small to make accurate forecasts. However, the amount … Continue reading →

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HRD Monthly Science Meeting of December 2016

Posted on December 8, 2016 by

December’s science meeting consisted of 6 presentations: Paul Reasor (HRD):  “Real-time, storm-scale diagnostics derived from Tail Doppler Radar”, Jun Zhang (HRD):  “Recent improvement in physical parameterization of horizontal turbulent mixing in HWRF “, Rob Rogers (HRD):  “Re-writing the Tropical Record … Continue reading →

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Posted in Data Assimilation, Dynamics and Physics, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Modeling and Prediction, Observations, Presentations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

2016 Hurricane Season ends

Posted on November 30, 2016 by

Today marks the last day of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, and it was a busy one for us.  AOML’s Hurricane Research Division (HRD) participated in 57 missions into six different tropical cyclones: Colin, Earl, Javier (East Pacific), Hermine, Karl, … Continue reading →

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Posted in HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Observations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

HRD Seminar – Dr. Andy Hazelton, Princeton University and NOAA/GFDL – 25 October 2016

Posted on October 25, 2016 by

Dr. Hazelton presented a seminar on “Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Structure in High-Resolution FV3 Simulations”. Abstract The FV3 dynamical core with GFS physics has shown skill both in global forecasting and the ability to simulate high-impact weather events.   Here, a regionally … Continue reading →

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Paper on the intensification of Hurricane Earl (2010) in the HWRF model released online in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Posted on September 26, 2016 by

You can access the paper at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2922/full.

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HRD Seminar – Dr. Hua Chen, CIMAS and AOML/HRD – 6 September 2016

Posted on September 6, 2016 by

Dr. Chen presented a seminar on “Understanding the modeled RI processes using HWRF”. A recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/blog/seminars/2016/Chen_HRD_Seminar_20160906.mp4

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Posted in Dynamics and Physics, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Modeling and Prediction, Presentations | Tagged , , , , ,

HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Colin, Hurricane Earl, and Tropical Storm Javier – 18 August 2016

Posted on August 18, 2016 by

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 5 P-3, and 2 G-IV missions into Tropical Storm Colin (5-6 June 2016), Hurricane Earl (2-3 August 2016), and Tropical Storm Javier (8-9 August 2016). The agenda for the discussion was: Slides from … Continue reading →

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NOAA’s P3 hurricane hunter aircraft gears up for its third and final flight into Earl

Posted on August 3, 2016 by

Engines are on as the NOAA43 aircraft is set off to fly its third and final mission into Earl. They will take off at 2:00PM eastern from MacDill Air Force Base in Tampa, FL for an eight hour mission. This is an … Continue reading →

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Posted in Data Assimilation, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, IFEX - Hurricane Field Program, Modeling and Prediction, Observations | Tagged , , , ,

Hurricane Field Program Update – Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2016 11AM Eastern

Posted on August 3, 2016 by

OPERATIONS Wednesday, 3 Aug 2016 NOAA43: Flew an operationally tasked Tail Doppler Radar (TDR) mission. This means that NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) was interested in collecting data and has requested this flight into Earl. Take off was from 0600 UTC (2:00AM local) from … Continue reading →

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Posted in Data Assimilation, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, IFEX - Hurricane Field Program, Modeling and Prediction, Observations | Tagged , , , ,