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International Energy Outlook 2016
Release Date: May 11, 2016 | Next Release Date: September 2017 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2016)
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Region/Country | 1990 | 2012 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | Average annual percent change, 1990–2012 | Average annual percent change, 2012–40 | Total change, 2012–40 (billion metric tons) |
Percent change, 2012–40 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OECD | 11.6 | 12.8 | 13 | 13.3 | 13.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1 | 8 |
OECD with CPP | 11.6 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.9 |
OECD Americas | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 8.6 |
OECD Americas with CPP | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.3 |
United States | 5 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 6.9 |
United States with CPP | 5 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -4.6 |
Canada | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 14.9 |
Mexico/Chile | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 35.7 |
OECD Europe | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 7.1 |
OECD Asia | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 8.2 |
Japan | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -10.9 |
South Korea | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 32.9 |
Australia/New Zealand | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 26.7 |
Non-OECD | 9.9 | 19.5 | 22.6 | 25.8 | 29.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 9.9 | 50.9 |
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia | 4.2 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.2 | -1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 7.9 |
Russia | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | -1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.8 |
Other | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | -2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 14.3 |
Non-OECD Asia | 3.7 | 12.2 | 14.5 | 16.4 | 18.7 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 53.2 |
China | 2.3 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 11.1 | 6.1 | 1 | 2.7 | 31.9 |
India | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 109.9 |
Other | 0.8 | 2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 91.2 |
Middle East | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 82 |
Africa | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 89.2 |
Non-OECD Americas | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 46.8 |
Brazil | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 52.4 |
Other | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 43.1 |
Total World | 21.4 | 32.3 | 35.6 | 39.1 | 43.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10.9 | 33.9 |
Total World with CPP | 21.4 | 32.3 | 35.3 | 38.5 | 42.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 10.4 | 32.3 |
Source: History: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Statistics database (as of May 2015), www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projections System Plus (2016), run IEO2016-reference_final_2016.02.19_115008 and EIA, Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan, CPP Base Policy case (May 2015), http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/powerplants/cleanplan/pdf/powerplant.pdf. |