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International Energy Outlook 2016

Release Date: May 11, 2016   |   Next Release Date: September 2017   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2016)

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Table 9-2. World energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by region and country in the Reference case with and without the U.S. Clean Power Plan (CPP), 1990–2040
billion metric tons
Region/Country 1990 2012 2020 2030 2040 Average annual percent change, 1990–2012 Average annual percent change, 2012–40 Total change, 2012–40
(billion metric tons)
Percent change, 2012–40
OECD 11.6 12.8 13 13.3 13.8 0.4 0.3 1 8
OECD with CPP 11.6 12.8 12.7 12.7 13.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.9
OECD Americas 5.8 6.3 6.6 6.7 6.9 0.3 0.3 0.5 8.6
OECD Americas with CPP 5.8 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.4 0.3 0 1 0.3
United States 5 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 6.9
United States with CPP 5 5.3 5.2 4.9 5 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -4.6
Canada 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 14.9
Mexico/Chile 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.9 1.1 0.2 35.7
OECD Europe 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.4 -0.1 0.2 0.3 7.1
OECD Asia 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.2 8.2
Japan 1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 -0.4 -0.1 -10.9
South Korea 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 4.5 1 0.2 32.9
Australia/New Zealand 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.8 0.8 0.1 26.7
Non-OECD 9.9 19.5 22.6 25.8 29.4 3.1 1.5 9.9 50.9
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia 4.2 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.2 -1.6 0.3 0.2 7.9
Russia 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 -1.3 0.1 0.1 3.8
Other 1.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 -2.1 0.5 0.2 14.3
Non-OECD Asia 3.7 12.2 14.5 16.4 18.7 5.6 1.5 6.5 53.2
China 2.3 8.4 9.9 10.6 11.1 6.1 1 2.7 31.9
India 0.6 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.7 5.3 2.7 2 109.9
Other 0.8 2 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.3 2.3 1.9 91.2
Middle East 0.7 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 4.8 2.2 1.6 82
Africa 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.3 1.1 89.2
Non-OECD Americas 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 3 1.4 0.6 46.8
Brazil 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 3.5 1.5 0.3 52.4
Other 0.4 0.8 0.8 1 1.1 2.7 1.3 0.3 43.1
Total World 21.4 32.3 35.6 39.1 43.2 1.9 1 10.9 33.9
Total World with CPP 21.4 32.3 35.3 38.5 42.7 1.9 1 10.4 32.3
Source: History: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Statistics database (as of May 2015), www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projections System Plus (2016), run IEO2016-reference_final_2016.02.19_115008 and EIA, Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan, CPP Base Policy case (May 2015), http://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/powerplants/cleanplan/pdf/powerplant.pdf.