NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Strong storms may impact portions of the east central Plains through Middle Mississippi Valley, and portions of the southern high Plains, late this afternoon and evening, with some risk for severe weather.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Wed (11/02)	Thu (11/03)	Fri (11/04)	Sat (11/05)	Sun (11/06)	Mon (11/07)	Tue (11/08)	Wed (11/09)
Severe	Slight	No Severe	No Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	No Critical	No Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 03 Nov

Tornado Probabilities: 03 Nov

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 03 Nov

Severe Hail Probabilities: 03 Nov

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 03 Nov

Significant Wind Probabilities: 03 Nov

Significant Hail Probabilities: 03 Nov

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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2016 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: November 02 2016 12:20 UTC

Severe Weather IQ

Tornado Safety Tips.

Latest SPC Publications

Corfidi, S.F., M.C. Coniglio, A.E. Cohen, C.M. Mead, 2016: A Proposed Revision to the Definition of "Derecho". Published in BAMS June 2016.
Corfidi, S.F., R.H. Johns, M.A. Darrow, 2016: The Great Basin Derecho of 31 May 1994. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Line, W.E., T.J. Schmit, D.T. Lindsey, and S.J. Goodman, 2016: Use of Geostationary Super Rapid Scan Satellite Imagery by the Storm Prediction Center. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [1268K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the Conditional Probability of Tornado Damage Rating Using Environmental and Radar Attributes. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Cohen, A.E., S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, and H.E. Brooks, 2015: A Review of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes and Their Sensitivity in Simulating Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting.
Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial Distributions of Tornadic Near-Storm Environments by Convective Mode. Published in Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology.
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Oct 30, 2016	Tornado: 0	Wind: 32	Hail: 2

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