Fuel Cell Bus Life Cycle Cost Model: Base Case and Future Scenario Analysis

Fuel Cell Bus Life Cycle Cost Model: Base Case & Future Scenario Analysis

Fuel Cell Bus Life Cycle Cost Model: Base Case and Future Scenario Analysis

DOT-T-07-01
June 2007


Table of Contents File Formats
Entire Report
Front Matter
Report Documentation Page
Notice
Metric/English Conversion Factors
Executive Summary
1. Life Cycle Cost Base Case Assumptions
1.1  Vehicles/Technologies and Fuels Analyzed
1.2  Data Inputs
1.2.1  Depot Baseline Data (Worksheet I1)
1.2.2  Annual Bus Costs (Worksheet I2)
1.2.3  Bus Purchase & Overhaul Costs (Worksheet I3)
1.2.4 Variable Overhaul Intervals (Worksheet I4)
1.2.5  Depot Infrastructure Costs (Worksheet I5)
1.2.6  Bus Technology Training Requirements (Worksheet I6)
2. Base Case Results
2.1  First Year Annual Costs (Worksheet O1)
2.2  Capital Costs (Worksheet O2)
2.3  Overhaul Costs Per Bus (Worksheet O3)
2.4  Total Life Cycle Costs (Worksheet O4)
3. Future Cost Scenarios
3.1 "Best Case" Assumptions
3.2 "Best Case" Results
3.3 Sensitivity Analysis – Capital and Fuel Costs
APPENDIX A – Base Case Life Cycle Cost Model Input & Output Sheets
Input 1 - Depot & Baseline Data
Input 2 - Annual Bus Costs
Input 3 - Bus Purchase & Overhaul Costs
Input 4 - Annual Overhaul Costs if Variable
Input 5 - Depot Infrastructure Costs
Input 6 - Training Costs
Output 1 - First Year Annual Costs
Output 2 - Capital Costs
Output 3 - Overhaul Costs per Bus
Output 4 - Total Life Cycle Costs
List of Figures
Figure 1. Average Total Life Cycle Costs per Bus (net present value)
Figure 2. Average Local Life Cycle Costs per Bus (net present value)
Figure 3. Average Annual Costs per Bus (current dollars)
Figure 4. Average Total Life Cycle Costs per Mile (current dollars)
Figure 5. Average Local Life Cycle Costs per Mile (current dollars)
Figure 6. Percentage of Total Life Cycle Costs by Cost Category
Figure 7. Percentage of Local Life Cycle Costs by Cost Category
Figure 8. Best Case Total Life Cycle Costs ($/mi)
Figure 9. Best Case Local Life Cycle Costs ($/mi)
Figure 10. Best Case Total Life Cycle Costs ($/bus)
Figure 11. Effect of Hydrogen Cost on Best Case Life Cycle Costs
List of Tables
Table 1. Fuel/Technology Combinations Analyzed
Table 2. Propulsion System Components
Table 3. Summary - 2005 National Transit Database - Bus Mode
Table 4. Summary of Results from NREL Fuel Cell Bus Evaluations
Table 5. Summary of Results from NREL Hybrid and Natural Gas Bus Evaluations
Table 6. Fuel Economy Assumptions Used in the Analysis
Table 7. Brake Maintenance Assumptions, Diesel Buses
Table 8. Weighted Average Bus Purchase Prices
Table 9. Overhaul Assumptions
Table 10. Projected Hydrogen Fuel Station Costs for 100-Bus Fleet
Table 11. Assumed Training Requirements
Table 12. Base Case Average First Year Annual Costs per Bus
Table 13. Base Case Average First Year Annual Costs per Depot
Table 14. Total Capital Costs for 100-Bus Fleet and Infrastructure Investments
Table 15. Annualized Capital Costs for 100-Bus Fleet and Infrastructure Investments
Table 16. Life Time Overhaul Costs per Bus
Table 17. Major Best Case Assumptions