Why Trump Gets Away with Breaking Norms

by Peter Spiliakos

There are a lot of people responsible for how Trump gets away with breaking norms, but among the most responsible are the political elites who use norms to limit debate on public issues. That is true of both the broader political elites and the center-right political elites. To those who feel excluded by the political debate, Trump’s vices can seem like the lesser evil. I don’t believe that, but I can understand the feeling.

Take the center-right political elites first. Outside of the paleocon Paul family, Republican presidential candidates in 2008, 2012, and 2016 cycles decided to take it easy on Bush in Iraq. Some candidates would note, if asked, that they now disagreed with Bush’s decision to invade. John McCain was admirably forthright about some of the Bush administration’s tactical mistakes during the 2003–6 occupation.

What was lacking was any sort of accounting for the overall costs of Bush’s decision. There were the thousands of Americans killed and the thousands more wounded. There was the creation of a fragile state that would split into an Iranian puppet and a Sunni radical haven in the absence of a large, expensive, and drawn-out American presence. There were the political costs of Bush’s mistakes that undermined the consensus necessary to maintain such an American presence. The Republican candidates were intelligent people who must have known these costs — even if some of them thought the Iraq War was the right choice given the information available at the time it began.

The Republicans went through the 2008 and 2012 cycles with the mainstream Republican candidates avoiding talking about that tally. If it hadn’t been for Trump, the 2016 cycle might have ended the same way. There were a lot of Republican voters who were disgusted and angry with how the Bush administration handled Iraq but who were uncomfortable with the libertarianism of the Paul family.

When Trump condemned the Iraq War, it seemed like finally someone on the stage (other than a Paul) was stating the obvious. He was also violating the unspoken norm that Republican commentary on Iraq should be easy on Bush and tough on Obama.

Because it was Trump, there was plenty of other — less defensible — norm-breaking. There was the nonsense about Bush having lied. There was Trump’s lying about having opposed the war from the beginning. There was Trump’s insane (and hopefully rhetorical) obsession with somehow stealing Iraq’s oil. God, it’s even worse than I remember.

But here is the problem: Having tried and failed to limit debate with an unspoken norm against harshly criticizing Bush, Republicans were in a poor position to attack Trump for violating other, more explicit norms in the course of talking about Iraq. It just made it look like the mainstream Republicans were looking for another excuse to shut down debate on Iraq (when that debate didn’t focus on Obama’s failures). That didn’t mean that Republican voters who supported Trump wanted to steal Iraq’s oil or see Bush impeached. It did mean that they forgave Trump those excesses because he was finally able to say some of what those voters had been feeling about George W. Bush’s conduct of the Iraq War.

A similar thing happened on immigration. The great and the good of both parties agreed on an immigration plan that included, among its components, an incredibly unpopular increase in future immigration. The media coverage of the plan tended to avoid this point.

What is even worse is how critics of the plan were treated. It isn’t that they were demonized exactly. Senator Mike Lee was a measured, civil, and constructive opponent of Washington-style immigration reform. Lee is also a conservative who takes an interest in the prospects of wage-earners in contexts other than immigration.

For his trouble, only the most hardcore political junkies remember Mike Lee’s immigration interventions. Everyone remembers what Donald Trump said about immigration — both about a country needing a border and about Mexico sending its rapists.

That gets to our present bind regarding norms. The political elites ignored public opinion and marginalized their decent critics, and now they whine that a hostile demagogue is riling the people. You follow the norms of civility like Mike Lee and you get ignored. You break the norms like Trump and suddenly you are a jerk who should be ignored (even as the political world hangs on your every tweet.)

It is this sense that the game is rigged — that norms are made for suckers by the connected — that fuels Trump. In this context, appealing to norms of civility (whether by Republicans who were reticent to discuss the downsides of Iraq or by elites of both parties who wanted comprehensive immigration reform without a lot of lip from the plebes) sounds like what Martin Gurri called “cries of anguish from a broken monopoly startled and unnerved by the success of a politician who had slipped the leash.”

That is too bad, because norms of honesty and civility do matter. The first step in reestablishing norms is not to demand that Trump follow the hypocritical and self-serving norms of 2015. The first step is for the rest of our political elites — the ones so scandalized by Trump — to produce a better, more open set of norms and then live by them. Those who want to heal our political culture could start by healing themselves.

Correction

by Jonah Goldberg

In my column today I write about Obama’s Farewell Address. In a section dealing with the history of Farewell Addresses:

Of course, the era of radio and television necessitated — or created the perception of necessity — that presidents address the people directly. Whether that amounted to progress is for others to decide. But until Obama, it never occurred to a president to deliver a televised address from anywhere but the Oval Office.

This has two errors. One is relatively innocuous. I should have written a “televised Farewell Address anywhere but . . . ” Some readers, particularly on Twitter, seem to think I meant that no presidential address of any kind was ever delivered outside the Oval Office. Given the context of the paragraph, I think this is an unfair misreading. Of course I meant Farewell Addresses. I shouldn’t have omitted the word “farewell.” But I don’t think it’s a big deal either.

The second error is more significant. It’s just not true that until Obama no modern president has delivered a televised Farewell Address outside the Oval Office. Most have. But LBJ and Gerald Ford delivered theirs in the House chamber. The first president Bush delivered his at West Point. And the second president Bush delivered his in the East Room.

I truly regret the error, and while I can offer explanations about writing fast — and dyspeptically — amidst several looming deadlines, the truth is such explanations are not excuses. I should have checked. My apologies.

At the same time, my larger point still holds. If I had written something like, “It never occurred to a modern president to deliver a televised address from anywhere but in a dignified official setting,” I would have been entirely right.

Go Figure, Jeff Sessions Is Likely to Be Confirmed This Month

by Jim Geraghty

From the last Morning Jolt of the week…

Go Figure, Jeff Sessions Looks Likely to Be Confirmed This Month

It was easily missed, but this more or less wraps up the confirmation for Jeff Sessions to be Attorney General: West Virginia Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin reaffirmed that he will vote for Sessions.

Fifty-two Republicans, plus Manchin, means Sessions has 53 votes. Traditionally, senators nominated to the cabinet don’t vote for themselves; they vote “present.” Take away Sessions and the vote looks like 52 in favor, 47 against, one present.

So if three Republican senators flipped, the vote would be 49 in favor, 50 against, 1 present. Under that scenario, maybe Sessions wouldn’t vote present, and would vote for himself. (No law bars this.) In a 50-50 split, Vice President Mike Pence would break the tie. Sessions would be confirmed, 51 votes in favor, 50 votes opposed.

So Sessions opponents really need four Republicans to oppose his confirmation. So far, no Republican has indicated they will vote against him. When the most high-profile opposition to him comes from the incoherent shouting of Code Pink and the camera-hugging grand-standing of Cory Booker, how do you think most Senate Republicans are going to vote?

There was a small window of opportunity for Sessions foes, but that would have required Senate Democrats to make an argument against the Alabama senator that appealed to the worldview of Senate Republicans. Sessions is a big fan of civil forfeiture, a process that allows law enforcement to take private property that more than a few conservatives contend is widely abused and has become “a cash cow for state and local police and prosecutors.” His support for drug prohibition isn’t by itself a glaring problem, but quite a few Republicans aren’t sure the War on Drugs is working out the way it was supposed to, and Sessions doesn’t appear to have doubted its effectiveness one bit. A lot of conservatives are taking a long look at sentencing reform, wondering if our prisons and jails are just taking the bad and making them worse. Sessions is wary at best about these efforts, fearing they will release violent offenders back on the streets, and he blocked legislative efforts last year.

Had the argument against Sessions focused primarily on those areas, maybe you could have shaken loose a few Republican senators. But hey, Code Pink wants to shout, so… go ahead, guys. Have at it.

Friday links

by debbywitt

Paraskavedekatriaphobia: Why is Friday the 13th Considered Unlucky?

Why Do Pandas Have Thumbs?

The Long, Unusual History of Pickles.

Happy Feast of the Ass.

How Russians Imagined the Year 2017 In 1960.

How the World’s Smallest Birds Survive the Winter.

ICYMI, last Friday’s links are here, and include the history of the sneeze guard, how big a tsunami can really get, how to build an igloo, and advice from 1595 on how to slim down in 14 days.

What Jeff Sessions Said About Hate Crimes

by Ramesh Ponnuru

Many, many media outlets have reported that in 2009, Senator Jeff Sessions opposed federal hate-crimes legislation on this rationale: “Today, I’m not sure women or people with different sexual orientations face that kind of discrimination. I just don’t see it.” Senator Feinstein brought up the quote, indignantly, during his confirmation hearings. It has been cited in Slate, Salon, Vox, the Guardian, and the New York Review of Books, among other places. (On the NBC News site, Northern Arizona University professor Stephen Nuño used the quote, said that Sessions had made the comment this week, and invented a context for it.)

Sessions most thoroughly made his case against federal hate-crimes laws in a floor speech on July 20, 2009. He argued that prosecuting robberies, murders, arsons, and rapes should be a state and local responsibility rather than a federal one. He said that federal involvement would be justified only if there were evidence of widespread state-government and local-government indifference to the subset of those crimes motivated by bigotry. He said that hate-crimes legislation risked treating the victims of equally heinous offenses unequally. He made, in short, the standard arguments against hate-crimes laws that have been advanced by most conservatives and libertarians and some liberals.

The quote that Sessions critics are using comes from a hearing a month earlier. (Thanks to my colleague Paul Crookston for tracking it down.) In his opening statement Sessions referred to the “demonstrated need” for the federal civil-rights legislation of the 1960s: State and local governments were not protecting African-Americans. He said there should be a study of whether state and local governments were falling down on the job of prosecuting the crimes that the proposed federal legislation concerned.

Later in the hearing came the comment. Here it is, with a little bit more of what he said before and afterward for context:

If you can show that there is statistical research that indicates that a serious problem exists in this country, I’m willing to talk about it. It did exist, Ms. Cohen [Sessions was addressing witness Janet Langhart Cohen], in the South throughout much of our history and we have that Civil Rights Act that allowed that to happen. It was justified, as I said in my opening statement, because the facts justified that.

You know the discrimination; African-Americans couldn’t go to certain schools, they couldn’t use certain restrooms, there were other kinds of routine biases against them. Out of that was why this bill passed. But today I am not sure women or people with different sexual orientations face that kind of discrimination. I just don’t see it. So I believe that if they are harassed or discriminated against unfairly, we probably have the laws—I believe we have the laws to fix it. So what the question would be, is this one necessary? I’m not sure that it is. Matter of fact, I don’t think that it is, based on what I know.

So he wasn’t denying that women or gays faced discrimination; he was denying that they faced the kind of discrimination that African-Americans in the South faced when the civil-rights laws were adopted, and that justified those laws. Hence the words “that kind of,” which coverage of the Sessions nomination has invariably left unexplained when quoting. And his argument overall wasn’t that hate crimes never happen—let alone that they should not be prosecuted—but that the federal government should have good reason to think that states and localities were failing to combat them before getting involved.

I’d paraphrase Sessions’s argument thus: The civil-rights laws were an extraordinary federal response to serious misconduct by state and local governments, and the federal government has less justification in intervening absent such misconduct. I myself think that argument is sound. Agree or disagree, though, the observation he was making in support of that argument—that hate crimes in 2009 did not add up to the kind of systematic deprivation of civil rights that Jim Crow did in the early 1960s—seems indisputable.

‘His Windows Being Open’

by Jay Nordlinger

Last night, I was talking to a friend of mine from Moldova. We were talking about Russia. I told him about Ildar Dadin, the political prisoner, whom I’ve written about. And Dadin’s wife, Anastasia Zotova, with whom I’ve done a podcast. I further told him about the law under which Dadin was convicted and imprisoned.

That is Article 212.1 of the Russian Civil Code. If you protest the government three times within six months, without the government’s permission, you are subject to five years in prison (where terrible, sometimes murderous, things occur).

My Moldovan friend said, “If people knew the law, they wouldn’t break it, right? Because no one would want to end up in prison.” Dadin should not have been prosecuted under 212.1, even by the logic of the Russian judicial system. Be that as it may, I’d like to get Biblical.

(This is still permitted, so far as I know.)

You know the story of Daniel and the lions’ den. Other people in the kingdom were terribly envious of him. But they could not hang him on anything, because he did no wrong. They saw one avenue whereby they could get him: his religion. He was a faithful, unswerving Jew.

So they induced the king to sign a decree: Anyone praying to any god or man except the king himself, for the next 30 days, would be thrown into the lions’ den.

And here I will quote: “Now when Daniel knew that the writing was signed, he went into his house; and his windows being open in his chamber toward Jerusalem, he kneeled upon his knees three times a day, and prayed, and gave thanks before his God, as he did aforetime.”

Daniel knew that the law had been signed. He knew what it said. And he prayed with the windows open, out loud, presumably, for one and all to hear.

Why?

I have met dissidents from all over the world. They break laws, they challenge unjust laws, knowing that doing so will land them in trouble. Big trouble. Jail, torture, and all the rest of it. They do it anyway. Why? They often tell me, “I don’t know. I just have to. I couldn’t live with myself otherwise.” Their stubbornness for truth and justice — a sometimes crazy, unfathomable stubbornness — upholds us all, somehow, a little bit.

Re: Booker’s Novel Requirements for Attorney General

by Ramesh Ponnuru

My favorite part of the speech was Booker’s explanation that “the next attorney general must bring hope and healing to this country.” As, you know, so many AGs have done.

Krauthammer’s Take: Democrats ‘Trying to Leave Behind as Many Landmines as They Can’

by NR Staff

Noting that cyber warfare was not an issue until after Hillary Clinton lost, Charles Krauthammer argues that Democrats appear to be united in their efforts to sabotage Donald Trump’s presidency:

I don’t want to impute a general conspiracy here, but it looks as if the Democrats, on their way out the door, are trying to leave behind as many landmines as they can to at least cast doubts on the legitimacy of the Trump victory. All of a sudden, as we have seen, they’ve gotten interested in Russian cyber warfare, which the administration appeared to be extremely nonchalant about until they lost the November election. And now we are going to have new investigations, meaning days and days of headlines about the other thing that Democrats attribute their loss to, meaning Comey’s action with eleven days to go in which he reopened, as he said, the investigation. Many Democrats think that’s why they lost. Now, that would have faded into history. This is a way to say it’s not going to, and it will remain there. I’m not sure this is the best way to ensure a good transition, one where you transfer not just the authority of office but the legitimacy. But that seems to be what the Democrats want to do as they get out of power.

Radio Station Pulls Pro-Life Advertisement

by Alexandra DeSanctis

This afternoon, a Washington, D.C., radio station pulled a pro-life group’s advertising spot after receiving complaints from listeners. The ad was purchased on WTOP by the Susan B. Anthony List (SBA) — a pro-life lobbying group dedicating to electing pro-life politicians — in order to alert listeners to facts about Planned Parenthood and call for support in the GOP’s effort to defund the abortion organization. The full ad went as follows:

It’s a fact: Planned Parenthood is America’s largest abortion business, nearly a million abortions in the last three years. Its executives were caught on tape bragging about selling baby body parts. Under federal investigation, Planned Parenthood spent thirty million last election on political activism, not women’s healthcare. It’s time for Congress to act. It’s time to redirect Planned Parenthood’s funding to community health centers that provide comprehensive health care to women, not abortions. Paid for by Susan B. Anthony List

According to Mallory Quigley, communications director for SBA, the station gave no reason for pulling the ad other than that they had received listener complaints. “They wanted us to change the content of the ad,” she tells National Review. “When we refused, they pulled it and refunded us.”

Though it is the radio station’s right to remove any ad from their programming — provided they refund the organization that purchased the spot — it is telling that the station chose to pull this particular ad after receiving flak. Listeners likely claimed that the ad’s information was incorrect or even slanderous, arguments that many abortion proponents wield when Planned Parenthood is attacked, but a quick review of the facts shows that ad provides the public with much-needed information about the abortion group’s horrifying and illegal practices.

“Legal, Tax, Institutional Changes”

by Andrew Stuttaford

Ken Rogoff, an economics professor at Harvard (and previously an economist at the IMF and at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System) is  annoyed by those primitives who object to the abomination that is a negative interest rate policy.

Bloomberg:

[C]ritics of negative interest rates are “ignorant” in their analysis of the unprecedented measures forced on central banks across the world over the past years, according to U.S. economist Kenneth Rogoff.

It’s impossible to analyze the effects of the “early experiment” with negative rates because central banks were left to themselves amid a global fiscal retrenchment, Rogoff, a professor at Harvard University, said Wednesday in an interview after speaking at the Skagen Funds annual conference in Oslo….

Policy makers from Stockholm to Zurich and Tokyo have come under fire for cutting rates below zero as they grappled with near non-existent inflation and anemic growth in the wake of the global financial crisis. Critics at mainly commercial banks have argued they are endangering financial stability by stoking consumer borrowing, reducing the ability of lenders to make money and putting future pensions at risk.

It’s not too great for savers either….

Bloomberg:

Those questioning the efficacy of the policy got more rhetorical ammunition this week when a report showed inflation in Denmark, where rates have been negative for almost half a decade, was the lowest in 63 years in 2016.

According to Rogoff, it’s impossible to draw any conclusions because the efforts to restore growth and inflation have been one-sided. But done “correctly” it can restore “complete control over inflation expectations,” he said.

“To do it correctly, you have to make legal, tax, institutional changes,” he said. “And second, you need to be able to do whatever it takes.” Unlike current efforts, a successful implementation of negative rate policies would “involve the whole government.”

This would be the same  Ken Rogoff about whom I wrote a post in September after the appearance of his book “The Curse of Cash”, a book, as it title might suggest, on the wickedness of, well, cash. As Rogoff has indicated, the book contains “a plan that involves very gradually phasing out large notes, while leaving small notes ($10 and below) in circulation indefinitely…”

$10 bills! How kind. And, of course, inflation will erode the value of that $10 soon enough.

Cash, of course, gets in the way of negative interest rates.

In a the course of a review of Mr. Rogoff’s book, James Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer explained:

What would you do if your bank docked you, say, 3% a year for the privilege of holding your money? Why, you might convert your deposit into $100 bills, rent a safe deposit box and count yourself a shrewd investor. Hence the shooting war against currency. If the author has his way, there will be no more Benjamin Franklins, only Hamiltons, Lincolns and George Washingtons. Ideally, says Mr. Rogoff, many of today’s banknotes will take the future form of clunky, base-metal coins “to make it even more difficult to carry large quantities of currency.”

It’s plenty difficult enough now. Federal statute makes greenbacks in five- and even four-figure sums virtually non-negotiable. Just try to buy a car with a briefcase full of “legal tender.” Or try to deposit those tens of thousands of green dollar bills in the bank. The branch manager would likely file a Suspicious Activity Report. This intelligence would reside with the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, as mandated by the Bank Secrecy Act of 1970. The government seems to hate cash as much as the fashion-forward economists do.

Keep Grant’s words in mind and then scroll back to Rogoff’s comment that “legal, tax, [and] institutional changes” are needed to make negative interest rates  work in the way that he believes they should.

And then this:

[Y]ou need to be able to do whatever it takes.

It’s not hard to see where, given the chance, this is all going….

Did General Mattis Finesse Questions on Women in Combat?

by David French

During his hearing today, Democrats directly questioned General Mattis on past statements that indicated opposition to women in ground combat. Here’s how CNN described the exchange:

Mattis repeatedly dodged direct questions about whether he opposes women serving in combat positions or gays in the military, despite Gillibrand reading back his past comments to him.

In one case, she quoted a passage in Mattis’ book, “Warriors and Citizens,” in which he decried the military being subject to societal pressure on causes like women in combat.

“We fear that an uninformed public is permitting political leaders to impose an accretion of social conventions that are diminishing the combat power of our military,” he and his co-author wrote, as Gillibrand read in the hearing.

At the hearing, Mattis responded, “If someone brings me a problem, I’ll look at it. But I’m not looking for problems.”

He continued, “My belief is we have to stay focused on a military so lethal that on a battlefield it will be an enemy’s longest day and worst day when they run into that force. … My concern is with the readiness of the force.”

He indicated he would come in with a predisposition to not re-open past decisions.

“I’ve never come into any job with an agenda, a pre-formed agenda of changing anything. I come in assuming the people before me deserve respect for the job they did and the decisions they made,” Mattis said.

I have three thoughts. First, it seems from his answer that General Mattis won’t walk into the job and undo the Obama administration’s decision to open all ground combat roles to women. That’s unfortunate, but it’s not the end of the discussion.

Second, Mattis also said, “The standards are the standards and when people meet the standards, that’s the end of discussion on that.” So long as he remains firm in this position, the actual number of women in ground combat roles will be very, very small. Simply put, they’re not strong enough to keep up with the guys, and if Mattis truly prioritizes readiness, then he may do better than pause the military’s social transformation; he may roll it it back significantly.

Third, CNN is right that his answers “left wiggle room that he could roll back both women in all combat positions and gays serving in the military.” The language of lethality is not the language of social justice. I read Mattis as finessing the question of women in combat, not deciding it. We’ll see what he does in office.

Cory Booker’s Novel Job Requirements for Attorney General

by Heather Mac Donald

New Jersey senator Cory Booker announced some novel requirements for U.S. attorney general yesterday. Booker was testifying against fellow Senator Jeff Sessions’s nomination for the attorney-general position, breaking an informal Senate tradition against such formal testimony.

As attorney general, Booker said, Sessions would be “expected to defend the rights of immigrants and affirm their human dignity.”

Who knew that an attorney general is in the business of “affirming the human dignity” of immigrants? One might have thought that impartially enforcing U.S. laws and ensuring justice for Americans was responsibility enough.

But let’s say that “affirming the human dignity” of immigrants was, in fact, a usual duty of the U.S. attorney general. The most powerful way to “affirm” someone’s “human dignity” is to accord him moral agency — to assume that he is capable of intentional action and to hold him responsible for that action. If we grant immigrants moral agency, we assume that they are capable of abiding by the law, and that they are legally responsible when they do not. Millions of immigrants have in fact lawfully settled in America. Having obeyed our immigration laws, legal immigrants acquire certain rights that an attorney general could properly be expected to “defend,” in Booker’s words.

Nothing in Sessions’s record suggests that he would not defend the duly acquired rights of legal immigrants. Booker, of course, has a completely different take on what it means to “affirm the human dignity” of immigrants. Booker is concerned with illegal immigrants, and his notion of “affirming their human dignity” consists of exempting them from the legal consequences of their actions. The U.S. Congress has enacted deportation as the remedy for illegal entry or visa overstay. Though the illegal-alien lobby has conducted a breathtakingly successful campaign to delegitimate deportation, including for convicted criminals, Sessions has been fearless in defending deportation as a morally just and legally authorized response to illegal presence. If the American people or Congress agrees with the illegal-alien lobby that deportation is morally abhorrent, the immigration laws should be changed. But as long as they remain in effect, the attorney general should be expected to enforce them. Doing so respects the moral agency both of immigrants who came here legally and of those who did not.

Booker ended his testimony against Sessions with another unfamiliar job spec for attorney general: a “more courageous empathy than Senator Sessions’ record demonstrates.” Booker’s invocation of “empathy” as a job qualification for attorney general is only slightly less inappropriate than President Barack Obama’s declaration that empathy was “an essential ingredient” of “just” Supreme Court decisions. (Obama announced his new jurisprudential ingredient in nominating U.S. Judge Sonia Sotomayor to the High Court in 2009.) An attorney general, no less than a judge, is obligated to be impartial and unswayed by personal attributes or considerations. Add “courageous” to the alleged “empathy” requirement, and you might as well just come right out and say: “Fighting white privilege and the intersectionality of race, class, and gender is the duty of America’s chief law-enforcement officer.”

But here again, let’s assume for the sake of argument that “courageous empathy” were a requirement for AG. Sessions has been the only senator willing to consistently publicize the human costs of illegal immigration for U.S. workers. He has spoken forcefully against the injustice of forcing millions of low-skilled Americans to compete with illegal aliens for jobs. Mass low-skilled immigration drives down wages for Americans, when it does not push them out of the labor market entirely. Speaking only English, rather than Spanish, becomes a liability when a workplace becomes dominated by immigrants; a monolingual American worker will not fit in and will be excluded from an employer’s consideration.

For someone who pretends to care about the “poor . . . and people of color,” Booker is blindly indifferent to the consequences of illegal immigration. Sessions, however, can be expected to enforce our immigration laws as Congress intended, and in so doing, to restore fairness to the American workplace. That such an action may arise out of “empathy” is legally irrelevant; the most important consideration is that it is just.

Thielism: Trumpian Elitism

by Peter Augustine Lawler

Maureen Dowd outdid herself with a long and hugely informative interview with Peter Thiel.

Thiel, of course, is the PayPal guy, and one of the Facebook guys. As a result, he’s undeniably richer than Trump.

Not only that, Thiel is distinguished from the other Silicon Valley titans by having more than a bit of a liberal education. He knows a lot about Leo Strauss, and even writes esoterically. And he’s no slouch too when it comes to the thought of René Girard. Compare his reading list with, say, that of Bill Gates!

Thiel was astute enough to sign up early with Trump’s campaign, speaking nervously but still rather eloquently on the final, “diversity” night of the Republican convention.

Before Trump won, Thiel was almost ostracized from the respectable Silicon Valley community. And The Advocate proclaimed that he no longer had any business calling himself a gay man, despite his openness about his sexual orientation and activity. One of his criticisms of his fellow denizens of Silicon Valley is that they are way too puritanical because they just don’t have much sex.

Now, of course, Thiel is not so lonely in the Valley, as plenty of disruptive innovators now want access to Trump, if only to sustain and enhance the “crony capitalism” they’ve enjoyed under President Obama.

What does Peter see in Donald?

​First, he appreciates the apocalyptic tone of his campaign. Going negative and trumpeting crisis is the ticket to victory.

But what he really wants Trump to do is restore optimism about our techno-future, and partner with startup guys and others to develop a plan to bring the future under our personal control.

Thiel is nostalgic for the era of The Jetsons and Star Trek and JFK’s energetic, can-do spirit that so quickly put a man on the Moon.That spirit is what’s required to make America great again.

In general, our problem is that we’ve lost faith in real technological development, such as what’s required to conquer space. We’re diverted from our techno-stagnation by advances in information technology, which, in truth, are more sources of entertainment than anything else.

Meanwhile, Thiel remarks, our subways are a hundred years old. So he, we can say, is for infrastructure development of all kinds that increases real human freedom.

Most of all, Thiel wants government to be a strong partner in the development of biotechnology that will lead to the conquest of death. One way, he observes, in which the men and women of Silicon Valley are more realistic than the rest of us is that they treat death as problem to be solved. Thiel is ticked off that the Food and Drug Administration still doesn’t regard aging as a disease to be cured.

And in some strange way, he agrees with Saint Augustine and Pascal that it’s deeply inauthentic to divert oneself or just be fatalistic about one’s inevitable biological demise. Thiel’s War on Death would dwarf the War on Poverty, and, in his view, definitive success is very possible. Or at least we have no reason to believe it’s not if we’re intentional and industrious enough.

Someone might object that the War on Poverty was very altruistic, insofar as it was led by prosperous people. The War on Death is the most selfish one imaginable, insofar as Thiel and the others are, first and foremost, concerned about fending off their own personal extinction. He might respond that that just makes him an eyes-wide-open libertarian.

Thiel, meanwhile, thinks that Trump, with his New York values, has a fine record on gay rights. There’s no going back on same-sex marriage or even Roe v. Wade under his administration. Thiel’s America is one in which nobody cares about the Supreme Court, just as nobody cares about North Carolina bathrooms. His often expressed view is that social liberalism has won, leaving us more space to work together on the real issues.

Now Thiel is not an elitist in the pernicious sense about being indifferent to the well-being of ordinary people. He actually is about meeting their most basic needs, even if he puts his own first.

But what he cares about, most Trump voters just don’t.

Kamala Harris Questions CIA Director Nominee on Climate Change, Gay Rights

by Austin Yack

This morning, CIA director nominee and Kansas representative Mike Pompeo testified in front of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. And Senator Kamala Harris, a Democrat from California, used her time to question Pompeo about his positions on gay marriage and climate change.

Here is the video:

“Your voting record and stated position on gay marriage and the importance of having a traditional family structure for raising children is pretty clear,” Harris said. “Can you commit to me that your personal views on this issue will remain your personal views and will not impact internal policies that you put in place at the CIA?”

After receiving Pompeo’s assurance that he would treat his employees fairly, Harris moved on to the question of climate change. “As the director of CIA, I would prefer today to not get into the details of climate debate and science,” Pompeo said. “My role is going to be so different and unique from that. It is going to be to work alongside warriors keeping Americans safe.”

Unhappy with his response, Harris pressed for a “guarantee” that the two of them would have a follow-up conversation on climate change. Someone’s running for president . . .

Material for the Next Time Your Friendly Diversity Trainer Discusses ‘Implicit Bias’

by David French

On Tuesday I wrote a relatively short piece noting that new research is debunking the widely-held belief that there is a link between discriminatory behavior and so-called “implicit bias.” Yesterday, New York magazine published a long, detailed, and thorough essay that demolishes the idea that “implicit bias” — as measured by the extraordinarily popular Implicit Association Test (IAT) — can measure either real bias or meaningfully predict human behavior (hat tip, Roger Clegg). Some highlights:

A pile of scholarly work, some of it published in top psychology journals and most of it ignored by the media, suggests that the IAT falls far short of the quality-control standards normally expected of psychological instruments. The IAT, this research suggests, is a noisy, unreliable measure that correlates far too weakly with any real-world outcomes to be used to predict individuals’ behavior — even the test’s creators have now admitted as such. The history of the test suggests it was released to the public and excitedly publicized long before it had been fully validated in the rigorous, careful way normally demanded by the field of psychology. In fact, there’s a case to be made that Harvard shouldn’t be administering the test in its current form, in light of its shortcomings and its potential to mislead people about their own biases. There’s also a case to be made that the IAT went viral not for solid scientific reasons, but simply because it tells us such a simple, pat story about how racism works and can be fixed: that deep down, we’re all a little — or a lot — racist, and that if we measure and study this individual-level racism enough, progress toward equality will ensue.

The test is so unreliable that people can take it at different times and different days and get wildly different results — meaning that there’s a chance that the IAT is measuring nothing more than a person’s particular skill at the test:

What all these numbers mean is that there doesn’t appear to be any published evidence that the race IAT has test-retest reliability that is close to acceptable for real-world evaluation. If you take the test today, and then take it again tomorrow — or even in just a few hours — there’s a solid chance you’ll get a very different result. That’s extremely problematic given that in the wild, whether on Project Implicit or in diversity-training sessions, test-takers are administered the test once, given their results, and then told what those results say about them and their propensity to commit biased acts. (It should be said that there are still certain consistent patterns: Most white people, for example, score positively on black-white IAT, supposedly signaling the presence of anti-black implicit bias.)

More:

In examining the history of the IAT, it’s clear that early on, the test’s architects and most enthusiastic proponents got ahead of themselves in their claims that the IAT accurately measured implicit bias, never fully grappling with the possibility that the test captures, or also captures, other stuff as well. But again: All the test itself measures is differences in reaction times, and if those reaction-times differences haven’t been proven to predict real-world behavior, it doesn’t make sense to tag someone with a high IAT score as “implicitly biased,” except in a very trivial sense of the term.

Why — with all its problems — is the test so popular? It’s a great way for progressives to virtue-signal:

For one thing, the test offers a lot to members of the public who are concerned about racism, whether they are white and concerned about their out-group biases, or nonwhite and concerned about the possibility that they have internalized bias against their own group. Taking the IAT is a way for them to feel like they are part of the solution. Now I get it — now I understand that my implicit bias is contributing to America’s race problem. This can explain the strange but common phenomenon of test-takers loudly broadcasting results which imply they are implicitly racist: It’s a way of signaling they’re serious about investigating their own complicity in a big, complicated system of oppression. There wouldn’t be anything wrong with that, of course, if the IAT were in fact providing test-takers useful information about their level of implicit bias.

The broader story told by the IAT is, at the moment, quite politically palatable and intuitively satisfying. Not only is implicit bias driving all sorts of racially unfair outcomes, that story tells us, but it’s something that we can detect and measure in ourselves, helping to raise our consciousness. “I think the reason behind adoption of implicit-bias training is simple: It is now the thing to do to demonstrate commitment to diversity and redressing inequality,” said Mitchell.

I’d encourage you to read the whole thing. It’s long, but the author says, “It would take thousands and thousands more words to fully lay out all the problems with the IAT and how it has been applied.” Once again junk science is leading the public astray.

Philly’s Mayor Is Angry

by Ramesh Ponnuru

Jim Kenney is mad the price of sodas has risen, and says it has nothing to do with his soda tax. He says that what’s really happening is that retailers are “gouging” their own customers. Before the tax, I guess, they charged lower prices out of charity.

Meryl Streep, Meet Cecil B. De Mille

by Jack Fowler

Dead now 57 years, Cecil B. De Mille (he spelled it in various ways) remains one of Hollywood’s greatest-ever directors, with some its biggest, most lucrative, and most popular films — including The Ten Commandments and The Greatest Show on Earth, and silent classics like The King of Kings — to his credit. He even acted on occasion, and his cameo performance in Sunset Boulevard showed a real comfort in front of the camera. Often looked down upon by critical snoots, there was no denying that his stature is deservedly as huge as the casts he directed in cinema’s epic . . . epics. Hence a prestigious Golden Globe award named in his honor.

De Mille was also a big conservative, and active. This at a time — of Wayne, Hope, Menjou, Stewart, Ford, and so many others (Reagan! Murphy!) — when it wasn’t a crime to be publicly right-of-center in Hollywood. And he was a friend of this magazine: The back cover of National Review’s 1955 premiere issue showcased “Greetings” from various important types (including Ludwig von Mises), and on the top right, in the most eye-worthy position, was that of the great director:

His message to NR remains relevant today. I wonder, though, if and when the lefty awardees who have clutched their De Mille awards while flashing their pearly whites for the paparazzi — Clooney, De Niro, Streisand, Streep, Redford, Williams — get wind of just who this man really was, will they try to remove his name from the honor?

Obama’s Imperial Presidency

by Veronique de Rugy

President Obama’s farewell address was yet another piece of evidence that there is a real gap between what he did, what he accomplished, and how he behaved during his eight years in power and what the president thinks he did. For example, Obama spent a good amount of time complaining about the cycle of outrage, but he failed to acknowledge the role he played in fueling it — do you remember his many comments against Fox News or his jokes over the years about Republicans and former President Bush at the White House Correspondents dinners? Nor does he want to admit that no one is louder in the outrage industry than members of his own team (National Review has done a good job in documenting this).

Another area of disconnect is the role he played in constraining undue powers of government. He said:

That’s why, for the past eight years, I’ve worked to put the fight against terrorism on a firm legal footing. That’s why we’ve ended torture, worked to close Gitmo, and reform our laws governing surveillance to protect privacy and civil liberties.

Sure, the president revoked the Bush-era directives authorizing torture, but it’s still bizarre for him to brag about the rest, considering how little time he spent trying to close Gitmo and his embrace of the expanded use of executive orders to pursue a vast increase of drone strikes against militants and terrorists. President Bush — who at least was consistent between what he claimed to believe in and his actions on this front — authorized 50 of these strikes while Obama authorized 506. The civilian toll under Obama is close to 400 versus 195 for Bush. So much for the Nobel Peace Prize president.

More strange is the undertone of concern for the new president’s power that we get from the outgoing president and his team. Take Vice President Joe Biden telling donors and members of Congress that “the worst sin of all is the abuse of power,” and demanding that they fight hard to prevent it from the incoming administration. Where was Biden when President Obama was acting unilaterally and without Congress on everything from immigration to guns to terrorism? Gene Healy writes over at Reason:

As Obama’s tenure comes to a close, it’s clear his has been a presidency of enormous consequence. But his most lasting legacy will be one few — perhaps least of all Obama himself — expected. He will leave to his successor a presidency even more powerful and dangerous than the one he inherited from Bush. The new powers he’s forged now pass on to celebrity billionaire Donald J. Trump, a man Obama considers “unfit to serve as president” — someone who can’t be trusted with his own Twitter account, let alone the nuclear launch codes. Perhaps only those incorrigible “cynics” Obama regularly chides from the bully pulpit could have predicted this would come to pass.

He has a long list of examples including these:

Throughout his second term, Obama increasingly governed by executive fiat. “I’ve got a pen, and I’ve got a phone,” he bragged, and he proceeded to use them to, among other things: pressure schools throughout the country to adopt national curriculum requirements Congress never authorized; promulgate new rules that nearly quadruple the number of workers eligible for overtime pay; force American power plants and, ultimately, electricity consumers to bear billions of dollars of costs in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, despite the fact that Congress has never voted to treat CO2 as a pollutant; issue regulatory “guidance” documents purporting to make the rules for nearly every school and workplace bathroom in the United States; and unilaterally amend the Affordable Care Act by ignoring clear statutory mandates and deadlines.

During his efforts to rewrite the Affordable Care Act on the fly, Obama even invented a presidential “power of the purse” and ordered the disbursement of billions of dollars in “cost-sharing” subsidies that Congress never appropriated. When IRS officials voiced doubt about the legality of those payments, they got the kind of strong-arm briefing David Addington, “Cheney’s Cheney,” specialized in during the Bush years. The dissenters were handed a secret memo rationalizing the move, told they “could not take notes or make copies,” and informed that the attorney general had declared the expenditures legal. Whatever the source of that authority might be, Obama officials couldn’t specifically identify it under questioning at a congressional hearing last July, though a top Treasury official volunteered: “If Congress doesn’t want the money appropriated, they could pass a law that specifically says don’t appropriate the money from that account.”

More than any recent president, Obama has embraced and, to some extent, legitimized the anti-constitutional theory that congressional inaction is a legitimate source of presidential power. It’s a theory future presidents will build upon. In the words of the University of North Carolina legal scholar William P. Marshall, “The genies of unilateral executive action are not easily returned to the bottle.”

As Healy’s piece shows, solidifying the imperial presidency is President Obama’s real legacy — contrary to what he sees his legacy to be. Democrats have only themselves to blame for all the powers President-elect Donald Trump will have when he is in office.

So Did Trump’s Intelligence Briefers Discuss with Him Their Two-Page Summary or Not?

by Rich Lowry

There continues to be contradictory reporting on this. Allahpundit has a very useful round-up of what we know over at Hotair.

NPR Editor: Tom Price Doesn’t Want to Cure Cancer

by Alexandra DeSanctis

The senior business editor for NPR decided this morning that Congressman Tom Price’s failure to clap during President Obama’s announcement of a renewed “war on cancer” means that Price is, in fact, a fan of cancer.

Price’s egregious oversight occurred during last year’s State of the Union address, when Obama tasked Vice President Joe Biden with directing a new effort by the American medical community to develop a cure for cancer. According to NPR’s Marilyn Geewax, Price didn’t join in the applause following the president’s line, thus illustrating that he is, in fact, pro-cancer.

Geewax’s tweets on the subject:

Price — a representative from Georgia and President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for secretary of health and human services — is a longtime physician, and he ran his own orthopedic clinic in Atlanta for 20 years before serving as a professor of orthopedic surgery at Emory University. He is also well known for his opposition to the Affordable Care Act, not because he wants people to die of cancer and other diseases, but because he believes in the possibility of a health-care plan that could better serve a greater number of Americans.

The idea that anyone favors cancer or opposes the effort to find a cure for the devastating disease is absolutely absurd, and it is even more ridiculous to come to that conclusion about Price based not on any of his statements but rather on the singular fact that he didn’t applaud at a particular line in a speech. If Geewax continues applying this revolutionary clapping standard going forward, she’ll likely discover reasons to condemn any number of public figures for stances no reasonable person would ever take.