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Futuristic 3-D Weather Graphics Grace the Weather Forecast for 2050

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 6:54 PM GMT on September 10, 2014

Futuristic and creative 3-D weather graphics like you've never seen before light up the screen in today's impressive forecast for September 23, 2050 released by the Weather Channel. The video was made in response to an appeal by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to television weather presenters world-wide to imagine a “weather report from the year 2050,” based on the best science we have as summarized in the 2014 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. If humanity’s current "business as usual" approach to emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide continues, the average temperature of the Earth’s lower atmosphere could rise more than 4°C (7.2°F) by the end of the 21st century. But what does a global average temperature rise really mean? How would we experience it on a daily basis? Each day between now and the convening of the key 2014 climate summit in New York City the week of September 21, 2014--when the leaders of the world will assemble to lay out the road map to the crucial December 2015 climate negotiations in Paris--the WMO will release a new "Weather Report From 2050" on their website. Today's video from the Weather Channel imagines a future when it wouldn't take a landfalling hurricane to push water levels two feet above normal in Miami Beach--the onshore winds of a hurricane passing 400 miles offshore could cause that level of flooding, due to sea level rise. The report also envisions that the current 15-year drought affecting the Southwest U.S. will continue into 2050, becoming a decades-long "megadrought". On the lighter side, we hear about a new baseball team called the "Alberta Clippers" (named after a type of fast-moving snowstorm that originates in Alberta), and see Jim Cantore calling up hurricane tracking charts on his outstretched hand. It's a unique and impressive effort well-worth checking out, and will air on The Weather Channel's cable station throughout the day today (Wednesday.) I'll be featured in a separate behind-the-scences look at how we came up with the weather stories featured in the video.

Video 1. The daily weather forecast for September 23, 2050, as imagined by The Weather Channel.

Jeff Masters

Climate Change

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1023. CaneFreeCR

10:53 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 844. CumberlandPlateau:

And it has been proven that water vapor is by far a much larger greenhouse trapping gas. I just think many like to blame CO2 to advance their own warming agenda and cut utility companies.

No warming on Earth for the last 17 years but "oh no we are heading for a major CO2 emission catastrophe!" Laughable.

The discussion about CO2 relates to the control we humans have over how much of it gets dumped into the Earth's atmosphere every day and has been for about 300 years. Unfortunately the water vapor is not a greenhouse gas generated and emitted by humans, it results from the warming of the atmosphere due to the CO2 and other human-generated gases. We can only reduce the water vapor concentration in the atmosphere by reducing the CO2 and the warming caused by it. A focus on water vapor unfortunately diverts attention from the intrinsic cause of its increase in the atmosphere, CO2.

Member Since: August 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 232

1022. LargoFl

8:02 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

SKYE..............CMC for next wens.............................................. .........

Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38900

1021. indianrivguy

3:24 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 964. Grothar:

Now if anybody laughs at this, I won't stay on. We can't hear any birds today. :)

replace the batteries in your hearing aid ol' boy...

Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2552

1020. Sfloridacat5

3:18 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

The northern half of 92L is being ripped apart by the northerly shear.
But the southern side of the circulation has some nice convection.

Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7158

1019. Skyepony (Mod)

3:06 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

WKC~ Oh yeah, you want where it rolls by you..has it hugging the Yucatan 8 days from now. It has shown this storm a little on & off the last few days. Not enough I'm ready to really get behind it but enough to start paying attention to it. That was first run of total doom on FL..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 167 Comments: 38052

1018. Andrebrooks

3:06 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Gulf/Atlantic Potential.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

1017. Relix

3:05 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Such a waste with TD6. I wish it was heading west straight for the Antilles... I need something fun to track. Oh well, hope we get a nice CV Hurricane.

Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2725

1016. SSL1441

3:05 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 995. STORMW2014:

Forgive me for thinking about the possible loss of life and property associated with a system of that caliber. A nice system is good when it's not affecting anyone.

Member Since: July 29, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 68

1015. GatorWX

3:05 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 1008. hydrus:

You have WU mail.

I know. I have it open so I don't forget to respond. I don't think I know Jefferson, but after working at The Temp for so long, I do know most faces out there. bbl

Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3279

1014. WunderAlertBot (Admin)

3:04 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

JeffMasters has created a new entry.

1013. Thunderground

3:03 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 999. FIUStormChaser:

92L has an improving look on radar, how many hours does it have over water? And is recon going to investigate later today?

recon for 92L was cancelled for today:
Shower activity associated with a weak low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas is currently poorly organized, and the Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission scheduled for today has been
canceled.

Member Since: August 31, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 129

1012. Skyepony (Mod)

3:01 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 963. wunderkidcayman:

Link to that please

I can post the img directly but it doesn't link. I can only link the portal. Click on the map, click Tropical Atlantic on lower right, then animate. It takes some internet speed to load that model too.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 167 Comments: 38052

1011. hurricanes2018

3:00 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

we have a storm to watch!! i am happy now!

Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 24 Comments: 46501

1010. GeoffreyWPB

3:00 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11230

1009. Thunderground

2:59 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Tropical Depression SIX Public Advisory

Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive

000
WTNT31 KNHC 111439
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
1100 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 37.1W
ABOUT 870 MI...1400 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

Member Since: August 31, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 129

1008. hydrus

2:59 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 997. GatorWX:

Morning all. Steppin' in just for a moment. Glad to see the gw back and forth crap when we have something we've lacked for quite awhile and that's of course a healthy looking td, likely soon to be ts in the MDR. Isn't there a blog for the gw? I'm pretty sure I could come on here any day at any time, post an image or brief paragraph discounting it and would be lambasted my one of them almost immediately. I've never seen a denier comment go unnoticed lol. I think you guys just sit there, ready to pounce. Could we just save it for down time? Pretty please, with lots of cherries and whip cream on top? Cuz that'd be great.

I don't deny, for the record. Have a great day everyone. Off to my dad's.

You have WU mail.

Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21367

1007. ihave27windows

2:58 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 964. Grothar:

Now if anybody laughs at this, I won't stay on. We can't hear any birds today. :)

That's interesting, actually.

Member Since: July 19, 2005 Posts: 108 Comments: 14924

1006. biff4ugo

2:56 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

even if we dont do anything about climate change, we will do something about cities heat island effect. White pavement and heat reflective roofing materials can easily stop the dramatic innercity heat sink issues.

Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 114 Comments: 1574

1005. Andrebrooks

2:55 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

I think that wave I was talking about is about to named Invest 93L.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

1004. Andrebrooks

2:54 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

This invest will go in my direction, New Orleans,LA.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

1003. mobilesmith

2:53 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 995. STORMW2014:

You must not live along the Gulf Coast. My science center is only 15' above Mobile Bay. I too pray that it doesn't pan out.

Member Since: August 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 18

1002. Sfloridacat5

2:53 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

12Z NAM at 48 hours takes a nice batch of rain into Brownsville from the Caribbean wave.

Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7158

1001. SSL1441

2:52 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 963. wunderkidcayman:

Link to that please

Gotcha covered Cayman. http://portal.nccs.nasa.gov/cgi-fp/fp_wx.cgi?regio n=nam&dtg=2014091100&prod=6precs&model=fp&level=sf c&tau=000&®ion_old=&dtg_old=&prod_old=&model_ol d=fp&level_old=&tau_old=&&loop=1

Member Since: July 29, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 68

1000. Andrebrooks

2:52 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting GatorWX:
Morning all. Steppin' in just for a moment. Glad to see the gw back and forth crap when we have something we've lacked for quite awhile and that's of course a healthy looking td, likely soon to be ts in the MDR. Isn't there a blog for the gw? I'm pretty sure I could come on here any day at any time, post an image or brief paragraph discounting it and would be lambasted my one of them almost immediately. I've never seen a denier comment go unnoticed lol. I think you guys just sit there, ready to pounce. Could we just save it for down time? Pretty please, with lots of cherries and whip cream on top? Cuz that'd be great.

I don't deny, for the record. Have a great day everyone. Off to my dad's.

I think a STWO is imminent.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

999. FIUStormChaser

2:51 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting Abacosurf:
west end.
Continuous Winds
TIME
(EDT) 5-day plot - Wind Direction WDIR 5-day plot - Wind Speed WSPD
10:00 am NNW ( 341 deg ) 14 kts
9:50 am N ( 359 deg ) 15 kts
9:40 am NNE ( 13 deg ) 12 kts
9:30 am NNE ( 28 deg ) 12 kts
9:20 am NNE ( 19 deg ) 16 kts
9:10 am NNE ( 16 deg ) 16 kts

92L has an improving look on radar, how many hours does it have over water? And is recon going to investigate later today?

Member Since: May 1, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 773

998. Andrebrooks

2:51 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting Stormchaser2007:

Maybe 30/40 next TWO maybe recon tomorrow.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

997. GatorWX

2:50 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Morning all. Steppin' in just for a moment. Glad to see the gw back and forth crap when we have something we've lacked for quite awhile and that's of course a healthy looking td, likely soon to be ts in the MDR. Isn't there a blog for the gw? I'm pretty sure I could come on here any day at any time, post an image or brief paragraph discounting it and would be lambasted my one of them almost immediately. I've never seen a denier comment go unnoticed lol. I think you guys just sit there, ready to pounce. Could we just save it for down time? Pretty please, with lots of cherries and whipped cream on top? Cuz that'd be great.

I don't deny, for the record. Have a great day everyone. Off to my dad's.

Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3279

996. Andrebrooks

2:50 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

The wave.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

995. STORMW2014

2:50 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 992. SSL1441:

I can only pray that does not pan out.

??? This is what we all have been waiting for all season. Don't be a downer. Crossing my fingers this pans out

Member Since: July 1, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 196

994. Stormchaser2007

2:50 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15908

993. Andrebrooks

2:48 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 7544:
92L getting that blobish look gro00

I think it,s starting to get organized.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

992. SSL1441

2:48 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting 952. Skyepony:

GEOS-5 has been consistently developing 91L. Turns it out to sea.. This frame posted is 10 days out. It's developing the wave behind 91L as well now, that is what is in the Central Atlantic below. Also & new from lastnight's run is a storm it forms in the Eastern Pacific that crosses Central America pretty far south, threads the needle, bringing it in 10 days as a monster to the FL gulf coast..

I can only pray that does not pan out.

Member Since: July 29, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 68

991. Andrebrooks

2:48 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting Andrebrooks:

I think that this will be the next invest.

It got model support and in favorable environment.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

990. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)

2:48 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

nam 2 m temps hr 69

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 173 Comments: 54128

988. 7544

2:47 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

92L getting that blobish look gro00

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987. Andrebrooks

2:47 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

I think that this will be the next invest.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

986. wunderkidcayman

2:47 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting Sfloridacat5:
As mentioned we'll have a T.D.at 11:00am

We already got it

Quoting hurricanes2018:
Special Message from NHC Issued 11 Sep 2014 14:08 UTC
NHC will be initiating advisories on Tropical Depression Six in the eastern Atlantic at 11 a.m.

It's already out

Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12128

985. hurricanes2018

2:47 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 24 Comments: 46501

984. Grothar

2:46 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26320

983. Midweststorm

2:46 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Definitely an interesting video to see.

Weather will probably get extreme in some areas over time with wild things going on.

Id expect more fires with drought as well.

Member Since: August 5, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 103

982. wunderkidcayman

2:45 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12128

981. hurricanes2018

2:45 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Special Message from NHC Issued 11 Sep 2014 14:08 UTC
NHC will be initiating advisories on Tropical Depression Six in the eastern Atlantic at 11 a.m.

Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 24 Comments: 46501

980. Abacosurf

2:45 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

west end.
Continuous Winds
TIME
(EDT) 5-day plot - Wind Direction WDIR 5-day plot - Wind Speed WSPD
10:00 am NNW ( 341 deg ) 14 kts
9:50 am N ( 359 deg ) 15 kts
9:40 am NNE ( 13 deg ) 12 kts
9:30 am NNE ( 28 deg ) 12 kts
9:20 am NNE ( 19 deg ) 16 kts
9:10 am NNE ( 16 deg ) 16 kts

Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 435

979. TropicalAnalystwx13

2:44 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
1100 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

Satellite imagery and a recent ASCAT-B overpass indicate that the
low pressure area over the eastern Atlantic has a well-defined
circulation and organized convective banding near the center. Thus,
advisories are being initiated on Tropical Depression Six. The
initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on the scatterometer data
and the satellite intensity estimate from TAFB.

The initial motion is 310/12. A low-/mid-level ridge north of the
cyclone should steer it generally west-northwestward to
northwestward for the next 3-4 days. After that, the track
guidance forecasts the system to turn generally northward between
the ridge and a large mid-/upper-level low south of Bermuda. There
is a fair amount of spread in the guidance on where this turn should
occur, with the extremes being the Canadian model on the east near
45W and the ECMWF model on the west near 55W. The official forecast
lies close to the model consensus in expecting a more northerly
motion between 51W-53W. The forecast track keeps the cyclone well
away from land for the next 5 days.

The depression is currently in an environment of light vertical
wind shear. The large-scale models forecast some increase
in southerly shear after 24 hours, which should persist through the
end of the forecast period. Despite the shear, the intensity
guidance forecasts slow but steady strengthening. The official
forecast follows this scenario and is a blend of the SHIPS model and
the intensity consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 11/1500Z 16.2N 37.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 17.1N 38.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 12/1200Z 18.2N 40.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 13/0000Z 19.3N 42.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 13/1200Z 20.5N 44.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 14/1200Z 23.5N 48.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 15/1200Z 26.5N 51.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 16/1200Z 29.0N 53.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32186

978. biff4ugo

2:43 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Jim looks great for his 90's! If that is just his hologram, why are his pants wet?
Very dissapointed to see the hurricane track cones from the models aren't any narrower in 36 years.

Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 114 Comments: 1574

977. Skyepony (Mod)

2:43 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Comparing the two passes this morning on 91L the second doesn't look as together..

ASCAT-B 25km @ 11:45Z VS ASCAT-A 25km @ 12:33Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 167 Comments: 38052

976. wunderkidcayman

2:42 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Forecast
80mph in 120hrs

Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12128

975. Sfloridacat5

2:42 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

As mentioned we'll have a T.D.at 11:00am

Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7158

974. Andrebrooks

2:41 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

I think the future Fay will hit Florida and Louisiana.

Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1043

973. wunderkidcayman

2:41 PM GMT on September 11, 2014

Quoting superpete:
Best wishes today to everyone here in Cayman on the passage of 10 years since Hurricane Ivan, we've all come a long way.Hard to imagine its been a decade?
S.P.

Yeah I know it feels like it just happened a couple years ago

Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12128

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About Jeff Masters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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Futuristic 3-D Weather Graphics Grace the Weather Forecast for 2050

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1023. CaneFreeCR

1022. LargoFl

1021. indianrivguy

1020. Sfloridacat5

1019. Skyepony (Mod)

1018. Andrebrooks

1017. Relix

1016. SSL1441

1015. GatorWX

1014. WunderAlertBot (Admin)

1013. Thunderground

1012. Skyepony (Mod)

1011. hurricanes2018

1010. GeoffreyWPB

1009. Thunderground

1008. hydrus

1007. ihave27windows

1006. biff4ugo

1005. Andrebrooks

1004. Andrebrooks

1003. mobilesmith

1002. Sfloridacat5

1001. SSL1441

1000. Andrebrooks

999. FIUStormChaser

998. Andrebrooks

997. GatorWX

996. Andrebrooks

995. STORMW2014

994. Stormchaser2007

993. Andrebrooks

992. SSL1441

991. Andrebrooks

990. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)

988. 7544

987. Andrebrooks

986. wunderkidcayman

985. hurricanes2018

984. Grothar

983. Midweststorm

982. wunderkidcayman

981. hurricanes2018

980. Abacosurf

979. TropicalAnalystwx13

978. biff4ugo

977. Skyepony (Mod)

976. wunderkidcayman

975. Sfloridacat5

974. Andrebrooks

973. wunderkidcayman

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