Back in Black

The Return of Muqtada al-Sadr

Eli Sugarman and Omar Al-Nidawi
Back in Black
Iraqi Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr is attempting a comeback. (Courtesy Reuters)
After four years in exile, the former radical Shia militant Muqtada al-Sadr returned to Iraq in early 2011. For the past two years, he has sought to rebrand himself as a moderate with an inclusive message -- but it remains unclear whether Iraqis should accept his new persona as genuine.
Snapshot

Pyongyang's Nuclear Logic

Jennifer Lind, Keir A. Lieber, and Daryl G. Press
North Korea does not test nuclear weapons to send messages, but to make sure that its ultimate deterrent will work.
Audio/Video

The Future of U.S. Defense Spending

Andrew F. Krepinevich Jr. and Gideon Rose
The president of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments talks with the editor of Foreign Affairs.
Capsule Review

Today's Book: Wheel of Fortune

Robert Legvold
This superb book is not merely a fascinating, subtle history of the industry since the Soviet Union’s collapse but also the single most revealing work on Russian politics and economics published in the last several years.
Snapshot
Sebastian Elischer

Although France quickly achieved its goals in Mali, the Islamist and Tuareg militants it fought are still at large, having swiftly retreated into the northeastern part of the country. The most likely outcome of the French operation, therefore, is not an end to West Africa's problems but their spread into neighboring Niger.

Snapshot
Edward Alden

In tonight's State of the Union address, President Barack Obama is expected to make reform of the nation's immigration laws one of his top priorities. To succeed, he will have to satisfy skeptical House Republicans that immigration reform would not be as disastrous now as it was in 1986, the last time Congress revamped the laws. Fortunately for Obama, the cards are in his favor: improved overall border security has made illegal immigration a much less daunting challenge.

Essay
Kimberly J. Morgan

The amount of resources the American public and private sectors commit to all forms of welfare is massive -- the fifth highest outlay in the world. Yet the American way of distributing that money does less to reduce poverty and inequality than that of virtually any other rich democracy. The United States can, and should, reform its welfare state, and it does not need to resort to European style socialism to do so.

Essay
Eric X. Li

In the next decade, China will continue to rise, not fade. Its leaders will consolidate the one-party model and, in the process, challenge the West’s smug certainty about political development and the inevitable march toward electoral democracy.

Essay
Yasheng Huang

Li is far too confident in the benefits of Chinese authoritarianism. So far, what has held China back is not any lack of demand for democracy, but a lack of supply. That gap should start to close over the next ten years.

Snapshot
Alex de Waal

After one of the largest economic contractions in history, South Sudan is ready to make a comeback. Bringing the country's oil rigs back online will result in some immediate gains. Since oil production might have already reached its peak, however, long-term growth will likely come from exploiting the country's vast agricultural land.

Discussion