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United States
Featured Content
United States: Labor Market
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Shows Modest Gain in December; Unemployment Stays At 7.8%
Equity Strategy Weekly
Congress Reaches a Fiscal Mini-Deal at the 11th Hour, but Uncertainty Remains
Jan 2, 2013
Macroeconomy
United States: Real Estate
U.S. Housing: Housing Starts Surge in December; Home Builder Sentiment Stable
U.S. Housing: CoreLogic Reports Steady Decline in Negative Equity in Q3 2012
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Real Estate : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Residential :
United States: Monetary Policy
U.S. Monetary Policy: Fed Extends QE3; Unemployment and Inflation Indicators-Based Guidance Adopted
Balance of Views on the U.S. FOMC: The Doves Prevail
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
United States: Labor Market
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Shows Modest Gain in December; Unemployment Stays At 7.8%
U.S. Productivity Growth Revised Upward in Q3; Unit Labor Costs Decline
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Macroeconomy : Labor Markets and Productivity :
Bank Resolution Regimes
Resolution Regimes and Bail-in Mechanism: Impact on Banks and Financial Markets
Bank Resolution Regimes in the U.S., UK and EU
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
United States: Consumption
U.S. Consumption: Retail Sales Continue Momentum in December; Unit Auto Sales Decline
U.S. Consumers: Consumer Confidence Slips in December; Expectations Deteriorate
Regulation and Banks
Basel III: Solvency Requirements
JPMorgan Trading Debacle: Bolstering the Case for Volcker Rule?
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
United States: Production and Investment
U.S. Manufacturing: Early January Surveys Point to Contraction in Activity
U.S. Small Business Optimism Remains Low in December; Uncertainty over Future Business Conditions Prevails
United States : North America : Macroeconomy : Sectors and Industries :
United States: Fiscal Policy
U.S. Credit Rating: Moody’s Calls for Effective Debt Reduction Policy; Warns of a Rating Downgrade
U.S. Fiscal Policy: CBO Projects Federal Budget Deficit to Reach $1.1 Trillion in 2012; Federal Debt to Touch 73% of GDP
United States : North America : Macroeconomy : Fiscal Policy :
United States: Price Dynamics (Inflation/Deflation)
U.S. Inflation: Lower Energy Prices Keep Headline CPI Flat in December; Core CPI Shows Uptick
U.S. PPI: Headline Pulled Up by Higher Energy Prices in September; Core Remains Flat
United States : North America : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
United States: External Sector
U.S. Trade Deficit Widens in November; Imports of Consumer Goods Surge
U.S. Current Account Deficit Narrows on Goods Deficit in Q4
United States : North America : Macroeconomy : Capital Flows, FDIs, Capital Controls : Current Account : International Trade and Globalization : Trade and External Balance :
United States: Economic Profile
U.S. Q3 2012 GDP Revised Upward to 3.1%; Imports Contract
U.S. Manufacturing: Early January Surveys Point to Contraction in Activity
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Central Bank Reserves Diversification
Reserves Shifting Away From the Dollar?
United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Emerging Markets : Europe : Middle East and Africa : North America : Macroeconomy : Markets : Currencies : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth : Trade and External Balance :
United States: Entitlement Reform
U.S. Healthcare Reform and Repeal: Legislation a Work in Progress
Can U.S. Health-Care Reform Be Financed Without Raising the Fiscal Burden?
United States : North America : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Fiscal Policy :
Unconventional Monetary Policy
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Markets
Central Bank Reserves Diversification
Reserves Shifting Away From the Dollar?
United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Emerging Markets : Europe : Middle East and Africa : North America : Macroeconomy : Markets : Currencies : FX Reserves and Sovereign Wealth : Trade and External Balance :
United States: Equities
U.S. Equities Rally as 2011 Outlook Improves
S&P 500 Q4 2010 Earnings: Another Strong Season?
United States : North America : Markets : Equity :
United States: U.S. Dollar Long-Term
Is the Reduced U.S. Home Bias a Cause or Consequence of USD Weakness?
Does the U.S. Need a Dollar Policy to Prevent Dollar Crisis in the Face of Rising Public Debt?
United States : North America : Markets : Currencies :
Global Military Spending
Global Military Spending Still on the Rise?
China : Gulf Cooperation Council : Northeast Asia : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Emerging Markets : Europe : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategy : Markets : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Sectors and Industries :
Dark Liquidity Pools
United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Equity : Nonbank Intermediaries :
United States: U.S. Dollar Short-Term
What Is the Short-Term Outlook for the U.S. Dollar?
How Will U.S. Protectionism Affect the U.S. Dollar?
United States : North America : Markets : Currencies :
Credit Defaults Swaps on Asset-Backed Securities (ABCDS)
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Derivatives : Securitization and Structured Finance :
Finance & Banking
United States: Real Estate
U.S. Housing: Housing Starts Surge in December; Home Builder Sentiment Stable
U.S. Housing: CoreLogic Reports Steady Decline in Negative Equity in Q3 2012
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Real Estate : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Residential :
United States: Monetary Policy
U.S. Monetary Policy: Fed Extends QE3; Unemployment and Inflation Indicators-Based Guidance Adopted
Balance of Views on the U.S. FOMC: The Doves Prevail
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Monetary Policy and Inflation :
United States: Finance and Banking
US Non-bank Financial Sector: Systemic Risks Remain Unresolved
U.S. Banking System: Navigating a Fragile Recovery
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Nonbank Intermediaries :
Bank Resolution Regimes
Resolution Regimes and Bail-in Mechanism: Impact on Banks and Financial Markets
Bank Resolution Regimes in the U.S., UK and EU
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Banks and Litigations Risks
Potential Litigation Costs Casting Shadow Over Banks’ Earnings Outlook
How Much Will the U.S. Foreclosure Mess Cost?
Japan : Northeast Asia : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Financial Regulation :
Regulation and Banks
Basel III: Solvency Requirements
JPMorgan Trading Debacle: Bolstering the Case for Volcker Rule?
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Banks : Current Financial Crisis : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
Financial Conditions and Liquidity
Central Banks' Collateral Frameworks and Non-Standard Measures
U.S. Banks – Continued Recovery in Demand for Loans; Overall Credit Standards Tighter Than Pre-Crisis Level
Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Sub-Saharan Africa : United States : Asia/Pacific : Europe : Latin America : Middle East and Africa : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks :
Delinquencies and Foreclosures in the Residential Mortgage Market
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :
Credit Rating Agencies
Credit Rating Agencies: Banks Warned About Move to Remove Ratings
Eurozone : United States : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Capital Market Intermediaries : Financial Regulation :
Resolution of Troubled Financial Institutions
Contingent Convertibles(CoCos): Europe to Use CoCos to Aid Ailing Banks
Too Big to Fail Status Report: Unwieldy Dodd-Frank Legislation Faces Backlash
United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Financial Regulation : Nonbank Intermediaries :
OTC Derivatives Regulation
OTC Derivatives Regulation: Meet EMIR - EU Equivalent to Dodd-Frank
Central OTC Derivatives Counterparties: New Guidelines for Clearing and Reporting
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Financial Regulation : Securitization and Structured Finance :
Hedge Fund and Private Equity Regulation
United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Financial Regulation : Nonbank Intermediaries :
Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP) and TALF
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Asset Management and Portfolio Choice :
Government Sponsored Enterprises
U.S. Housing: Factors that Aid or Impede the Housing Recovery
Proposal For New Agency to Replace Fannie-Freddie
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Banks : Nonbank Intermediaries : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :
Unconventional Monetary Policy
Eurozone : United Kingdom : United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Macroeconomy : Current Financial Crisis : Financial Regulation : Systemic Risk, Vulnerabilities and Asset Bubbles :
United States: Commercial Real Estate Loans and Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
Commercial Real Estate Loss Estimates
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS): Fundamentals
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Finance and Banking : Commercial : Real Estate : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :
Dark Liquidity Pools
United States : Advanced Economies : Europe : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Equity : Nonbank Intermediaries :
Credit Defaults Swaps on Asset-Backed Securities (ABCDS)
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Markets : Derivatives : Securitization and Structured Finance :
Counterparty Risk Management and Central Clearinghouse
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :
Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV)
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :
CDS Trading Strategies
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Securitization and Structured Finance :
SIVs, Conduits and Asset-Backed Commercial Paper (ABCP)
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance : Securitization and Structured Finance :
Negative Equity and Lessons from Past Crises
Will an HOLC-Type Entity be More Effective than RTC/RFC in Alleviating the Mortgage Crisis This Time?
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate :
Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE)
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Nonbank Intermediaries :
Private Mortgage Insurers
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :
Convexity
Mortgage Convexity Risk: Are Technical Factors Driving Long-Term Treasury Yields Higher?
United States : North America : Finance and Banking : Real Estate and Mortgage Finance :
Geostrategy
United States: Economic Profile
U.S. Q3 2012 GDP Revised Upward to 3.1%; Imports Contract
U.S. Manufacturing: Early January Surveys Point to Contraction in Activity
United States : Advanced Economies : North America : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Growth Outlook and Business Cycle :
Russia and the U.S.
Race to the Arctic: The New Source of Oil and Gas?
Russia’s WTO Membership: Will the Gains Materialize?
Baltics : Commonwealth of Independent States : Emerging Europe and CIS : Eurozone : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks : Nuclear Proliferation :
United States: Domestic Politics
GOP Exploratory Committees Kick-off 2012 U.S. Presidential Race
U.S. Energy Policy: Democrats v Republicans
United States : North America : Geostrategy : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk :
Nuclear Weapons Proliferation
Pakistan's Growing Nuclear Arsenal—A Growing Risk for the U.S.
Is Nuclear Energy the Key to Middle East Power Needs?
Egypt : United States : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategy : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Nuclear Proliferation :
United States: Entitlement Reform
U.S. Healthcare Reform and Repeal: Legislation a Work in Progress
Can U.S. Health-Care Reform Be Financed Without Raising the Fiscal Burden?
United States : North America : Geostrategy : Macroeconomy : Demographics : Fiscal Policy :
Alternative Transport Fuels
Greening Transport: Electric, Gas or Ethanol?
United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Europe : Latin America : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategy : Climate Change and Clean Energy : Climate Change and Natural Resources : Energy Security and Policy :
Global Military Spending
Global Military Spending Still on the Rise?
China : Gulf Cooperation Council : Northeast Asia : Russia : Russia, CIS and the Caucasus : United States : Advanced Economies : Asia/Pacific : Emerging Markets : Europe : Middle East and Africa : North America : Geostrategy : Markets : Defense Policy and Terrorism : Foreign and Domestic Political Risk : Sectors and Industries :
United States-Turkey Relations
Erdogan Visit Highlights Turkey's Economic and Political Ties With the Middle East
Caught in the Crossfire: Will Turkey Get Drawn in Further Into the Syrian War?
Turkey : United States : Europe : North America : Geostrategy : Energy Security and Policy : Foreign Policy and Geostrategic Risks :
Research
The Big Picture
Hitting the Debt Ceiling: The 14th Amendment and U.S. Ability/Willingness to Pay
By Jan 18, 2013
Equity Strategy Weekly
Congress Reaches a Fiscal Mini-Deal at the 11th Hour, but Uncertainty Remains
By Jan 2, 2013
Global Economic Outlook
United States Outlook: Unspectacular Growth With an Uncertain Downside
By Dec 12, 2012
Equity Strategy Weekly
Grab the Bulldog by The Tail: Tactically Upgrading UK Equities to Overweight
By Nov 20, 2012
Central Bank Watch
Overview: Will Central Banks Be Fooled by Another Inflation Red Herring?
By Oct 31, 2012
What's On Nouriel's Mind
Are Tail Risks Abating or Amplifying? Optimists and Realists Face Off
By Oct 25, 2012
What's On Nouriel's Mind
The Great Divide in Tokyo: Monetary and Fiscal Policy Views at IMF Meetings
By Oct 23, 2012
Cross Asset Monthly
Government Bonds/Rates: Central Bank Oxygen Versus Fiscal Asphyxiation
By Oct 4, 2012
What's On Nouriel's Mind
Will QE3 Jumpstart the U.S. Economy and Spark a Persistent Market Rally?
By Oct 3, 2012
Equity
QE Infinitum Testing the Elasticity of Multiples: Tactical and Strategic Implications for Equities
By Oct 2, 2012
Equity Strategy Weekly
Market Searches for Growth, but Fiscal Cliff Looks Set to Derail Sentiment Gains
By Oct 2, 2012
Government Bonds/Interest Rates
QE3 Trickle-Down: Reflating Nominal Assets and Expectations
By Sep 24, 2012
North America Weekly
NY Fed President Weighs in on QE3; CBO Flashes Fiscal Cliff Warning
By May 28, 2012
What's On Nouriel's Mind
Can the U.S. Consumer Remain the Spender of Last Resort in the Global Slowdown?
By May 8, 2012
Economic Research
No Hints of Easing From FOMC, But Low-Rates Gravy Train Keeps on Rolling
By Apr 25, 2012
Economic Research
All Washed Up in Washington: Key Takeaways From an Unscripted IMF Spring Meeting
By Apr 24, 2012
North America Weekly
Watching the FOMC Meeting, and an Operation Twist Progress Report
By Apr 23, 2012
North America Weekly
U.S. CPI a Tad Bolder in March, But Expect Continued Annual Deceleration
By Apr 16, 2012
Market Strategy
Finance and Banking Monthly: The Evolution of Financial Subordinated Debt
By Apr 12, 2012
What's On Nouriel's Mind
A Balance-Sheet Recession Calls for Monetized Fiscal Deficits, Not Fiscal Austerity
By Apr 3, 2012
North America Weekly
In a Data-Heavy Week, Keep an Eye on U.S. GDI and Services Spending
By Feb 27, 2012
North America Weekly
Revising Up the U.S. Growth Outlook; Managing Canada’s Expectations for 2012
By Feb 13, 2012
Global Economic Outlook
United States Outlook: Calmer Headwinds and Better Growth Prospects
By Feb 13, 2012
North America Weekly
U.S. Employment Report Highlights and Medium-Term Unemployment Rate Trajectory; Canada: Bad Tidings for Early 2012
By Feb 6, 2012
Economic Research
A State of Union and Inequality: The Buffett Tax and Other Defining Issues
By Jan 25, 2012
North America Weekly
January FOMC Changes; U.S. Q4 GDP to Show Slower Final Sales; Canadian Inflation Heading Back to Target
By Jan 23, 2012
North America Weekly
Looking at U.S. 2012 Fiscal Drag and Q4 GDP, Revisiting EZ Risks; Gauging Canadian Inflation, GDP and Bank Performance
By Dec 19, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Outlook Preview and Employment; Canada Q3 GDP, Monetary Policy and Labor Market
By Dec 5, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Manufacturing, Monetary Policy and Payrolls; Canada GDP and Retail Sales
By Nov 28, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Inflation and Monetary Policy; Canada Inflation and Retail Sales
By Nov 21, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Inflation, Retail Sales and Housing; Canada Trade, Budget and Inflation
By Nov 14, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Q3 Growth, Spending and Employment; Canada Monetary Policy and Q3 Growth
By Oct 31, 2011
Market Strategy
U.S. Investment Grade Bonds Will Outperform Cash Under 'Operation Twist'
By Oct 25, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Spending and Small Business Sentiment; Elevated Canadian Inflation
By Oct 17, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Jobs and Spending: Better, but Watch the Trend Into Q4; Canadian Labor Market Surges, Moderation Ahead
By Oct 10, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Q3 GDP Anemic, Recession Musings; Canada: Growth Set to Slow; Labor Market Continues to Soften
By Oct 3, 2011
Economic Research
The Age of Crisis: Down and Out Depression in D.C.—RGE on the IMF/WB Annual Meetings
By Sep 26, 2011
North America Weekly
Fed Policy: Keep Those Expectations in Check; Inflation Not a Game Changer for Bank of Canada
By Sep 26, 2011
Europe Weekly
UK QE2; Hungarian Financial Stability Concerns; Swedish Policy Bullets; Swiss Currency Strength; Irish Growth Outlook
By Sep 23, 2011
Global Economic Outlook
United States Outlook Update: This Economy Needs More Than a Twist and a Tax Cut!
By Sep 20, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Monetary Policy: A Twist Won’t Cut It; Canada: Modest Inflationary Pressure; Cautious Spending Amid Deteriorating Household Finance
By Sep 19, 2011
Economic Research
A Radical Policy Response to the Rising Risks of a Depression and Financial Crisis
By Sep 13, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S.: President Obama’s Jobs Program and Upside Risks; Canada: Slowing Employment Momentum
By Sep 12, 2011
Market Strategy
Mapping the Possibilities: Using Options to Derive Probability Distributions for Traded Markets
By Sep 9, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S.: August Employment, Q3 Consumption and a More Dovish Fed; Canada: Growth Negative in Q2, Uncertain Going Forward
By Sep 5, 2011
North America Weekly
Weak U.S. Macro Data to Continue; Jackson Hole Takeaways; Canadian Growth Stalls in Q2
By Aug 29, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Recession Watch; Canadian Consumer Spending and Monetary Policy
By Aug 22, 2011
Central Bank Watch
Summary Table: RGE Policy Rate Forecasts and Market Interbank Rate Expectations
By Aug 19, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Leading Indicators Point South; Canada Suffers Trade and Growth Lull
By Aug 15, 2011
Economic Research
U.S. Fiscal Austerity Unlikely to Affect Ethanol Demand or Corn Prices
By Aug 12, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S.: Stalled Growth, Closer to Outright Recession, While Rating Downgrade Increases Uncertainty; Modest Growth for Canadian Labor Market
By Aug 8, 2011
North America Weekly
A Closer Look at U.S. Q2 GDP and Revisions; Canada’s May GDP Hurts Q2 Estimate
By Aug 1, 2011
Economic Research
Conference Call Replay: U.S. Debt Scenarios and Implications for Growth and Asset Classes
By Aug 1, 2011
Economic Research
Guns and Butter and Low Taxes: On Deficits, Debts, Debt Ceilings and the U.S. Fiscal Mess
By Jul 29, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Eyes on Q2 GDP; Canada: Q2 GDP to Slow; Q4 Hike in the Cards
By Jul 25, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Trade, Consumption and Weak Macroeconomic Data Show Downside for H2—Stay Tuned; Bank of Canada—No Move Until Q4 2011
By Jul 18, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Employment Report Highlights Risks to Growth in H2; Canadian Labor Market Resilience Will Be Tested in H2
By Jul 11, 2011
North America Weekly
Will the Tide of Negative U.S. Economic Data Turn in H2?; Canadian Growth on Track to Slow in Q2
By Jul 4, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S.: A Weak ISM and FOMC Musings; Canada: Strong Inflation For Now
By Jun 27, 2011
North America Weekly
Revising Up Our U.S. Core Inflation Outlook; Brief Consumer Spending Recovery for Canada Amid Falling Labor Productivity
By Jun 20, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. CPI Gains Will Temper in Q2; Canadian Job Creation Set to Moderate after Peaking in Q1
By Jun 13, 2011
Cross Asset Monthly
Commodities: Regulation vs. Intervention—When Governments Take Action
By Jun 6, 2011
North America Weekly
Q2 Off to a Soft Start for U.S., Bank of Canada Slow to Normalize
By May 31, 2011
North America Weekly
Eyes on the CPIs: A Close Look at Headline and Core Inflation in the U.S. and Canada
By May 16, 2011
Economic Research
DSK's Arrest: Implications for the IMF Succession and PIIGS' Bailouts
By May 16, 2011
Economic Research
Why Inflation Is Not a Desirable or Likely Way to Reduce Unsustainable Debts
By May 10, 2011
North America Weekly
Conflicted U.S. Employment Report; Canadian Conservatives Win Strong Mandate
By May 9, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. April Employment Report a Mixed Bag; Canadian Election Set to Reshuffle Parliament
By May 2, 2011
North America Weekly
FOMC Takes Center Stage in U.S.; Q1 Sets Tone For Slowing Canadian Growth
By Apr 25, 2011
Economic Research
CDS and Debt Restructuring: Does the Existence of Credit Derivatives Make Restructuring Harder?
By Apr 21, 2011
Economic Research
S&P Rating Action: Count on the United States to Do the Right Thing—After It Exhausts All Other Alternatives
By Apr 18, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Q1 GDP Forecast Gets a Downgrade as Canada's Prospects Remain Bright
By Apr 18, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. March Labor Market Data a Step in the Right Direction; Canadian Economy on Track for a Strong Q1
By Apr 4, 2011
Cross Asset Monthly
Cross Asset Model Portfolio: Rebalancing for More Inflation Protection
By Apr 4, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Durable Goods and Other Data Cast a Shadow on Q1 GDP; Political Challenges in Canada
By Mar 28, 2011
Economic Research
Global Financials Quarterly: Bank Earnings Face the Music as Stimulus Fades
By Mar 25, 2011
Economic Research
Q2 2011 Geostrategy Note: The Scent of Jasmine, Japan's Mega-Crisis and Other Global Drama
By Mar 24, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Core Inflation to Remain Contained; Canada's Spending Strong
By Mar 21, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Q1 GDP Tracking a Softer Read; No Inflation Worries for Canadian Central Bank
By Mar 14, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Job Creation Bounces Back; A Temporary Bump in Canadian Housing?
By Mar 7, 2011
North America Weekly
Will FOMC Doves Rule the Roost? Consumption-Led Growth to Continue in Canada?
By Feb 21, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Retail Sales to Improve, Housing Starts Modest in Busy Data Week; Commodities Demand Poses Upside Risk for Canada
By Feb 14, 2011
Economic Research
U.S. Retail Sales to Improve, Housing Starts Modest in Busy Data Week
By Feb 14, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. Employment a Wintry Mix; Canadian Employment Surges, Set to Moderate
By Feb 7, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S. GDP Ends 2010 on Better Note; Canada Upgrades Growth Estimates
By Jan 24, 2011
North America Weekly
U.S.: 2010 in Review; Canada: Soft Landing in Housing and Employment
By Jan 10, 2011
Economic Research
2011 Geostrategy Note: The Roiling Pacific, Quagmiristan and EZ Targets
By Dec 29, 2010
North America Weekly
Will the Fed Allow Rising Borrowing Costs?; Sonata Forms in the Treasury Market
By Dec 20, 2010
Economic Research
East Asia's Hemorrhoid Problem: Assessing the Next North Korean Flare-Up
By Dec 17, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Fiscal Measures Mean Stronger Growth Outlook in 2011; Could Canada Have an Investment Surge?
By Dec 13, 2010
Economic Research
Upgrading Our U.S. Growth Forecasts for 2011: A Preview of Our Forthcoming U.S. Economic Outlook
By Dec 6, 2010
Economic Research
Front-Loaded Stimulus, Back-Loaded Austerity: The Optimal Fiscal Austerity Path and the Risks of Other Routes
By Dec 2, 2010
Economic Research
The ‘Lame Duck’ Session: Lots of Quacking, But Can It Pass Legislation?
By Nov 30, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Fed on the Defensive; Canada: Retail Sales Still a Bright Spot?
By Nov 22, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Lower Chance of 'W,' But Long Road to Recovery; Canada: Trade Balance Stays in Red
By Nov 15, 2010
Economic Research
U.S. Employment Report: A Step Forward in October, but Household Survey Should Temper Optimism
By Nov 5, 2010
Cross Asset Monthly
The Big Picture: Necessary but Insufficient Policies for Interesting Times
By Oct 29, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Fed Debates Unemployment; Bank of Canada and Consumers on Hold?
By Oct 18, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Parsing the FOMC; Canada: Soft Labor Market Is Here to Stay
By Oct 11, 2010
Economic Research
Q4 2010 Geostrategic Risk Note: Asia on the Boil, U.S.-Europe Reap Anti-Incumbent Backlash
By Oct 7, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S. Consumer Spending Better in Q3; Canada's Labor Market to Downshift
By Oct 4, 2010
Economic Research
U.S. Consumer Spending Better in Q3; Dollar Retains its Reserve Share
By Oct 4, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: FOMC Poised to Step Up, Home Prices Step Down; Canada: Confirming Weaker Start to H2
By Sep 27, 2010
Economic Research
United States: FOMC Poised to Step Up, Home Prices Poised to Step Down
By Sep 27, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S.: Back to Fed Watching and Japanese Intervention; Canada: Deteriorating Household Balance Sheets
By Sep 20, 2010
Economic Research
United States: All Eyes on the FOMC; Japan Buying Treasurys Strongly
By Sep 20, 2010
Economic Research
The U.S. Should Ignite Job Creation With a Temporary Cut in Payroll Tax
By Sep 16, 2010
Market Strategy
Japanese Yen: BoJ Intervention—Short-Term Success, Long-Term Headwinds
By Sep 15, 2010
North America Weekly
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows; “Unusual Uncertainty” in Canada’s Monetary Outlook
By Sep 13, 2010
Economic Research
North America Focus: Weak U.S. Data Spark 'Race to the Bottom'; Canada's Consumers Still Cool
By Aug 23, 2010
Economic Research
North America Focus: U.S.: Warming Up the Helicopter; Canada: Inflation Moderates Going Forward
By Aug 16, 2010
Economic Research
North America Focus: U.S. Flying on One Engine; Canadian Labor Market Flashing Red?
By Aug 9, 2010
Economic Research
Q3 2010 Geostrategy Note: Nascent Nukes, Portly PIIGS and the Taliban
By Aug 4, 2010
Economic Research
North America Focus: U.S. Economy Proceeds Sluggishly; U.S. and Canadian Labor Markets Examined
By Aug 2, 2010
Economic Research
North America Focus: Growth Slowdown Preoccupies the Fed; Bank of Canada Takes It Slow
By Jul 26, 2010
Economic Research
U.S. Employment Report: Entering the Second Half of the 'Year of Two Halves'
By Jul 2, 2010
Economic Research
What’s on the Agenda at the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue?
By May 17, 2010
Economic Research
U.S. Growth Outlook: Still Anemic and U-Shaped but Risks of a Double-Dip Recession Are Rising
By Mar 4, 2010
Economic Research
The 'Mother of All Carry Trades' Fuels the Mother of All Asset Bubbles and Its Eventual Unavoidable Bust
By Nov 1, 2009
Economic Research
What's on the Table at the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED)?
By Jul 24, 2009
Economic Research
Mounting Job Losses Will Hurt Consumption, Housing, Banks’ Balance Sheets, Public Finances and Lead to Protectionist Pressures
By Jul 14, 2009
Economic Research
Green Shoots or Yellow Weeds? A Trifecta of Risks to the Early Bottoming Out of the Recession and Short-Term Economic Recovery and to the Medium-Term Actual and Potential Growth Prospects of the Global Economy
By May 19, 2009
Economic Research
Ten Reasons Why the Stress Tests Are "Schmess" Tests and Why the Current Muddle-Through Approach to the Bank Crisis May Not Succeed
By May 8, 2009
Economic Research
According to Press Reports, the IMF May Allegedly be Increasing its Estimate of Global Bank Losses to $4 Trillion, a Figure Consistent With Estimates by a Variety of Independent Bank Analysts
By Apr 10, 2009
Economic Research
Geithner Presents a Viable Plan to Dispose of the Toxic Assets... That Does Not Rule Out That Insolvent Banks Should be Taken Over
By Mar 25, 2009
Economic Research
Obama's Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan: A Band-Aid for the Foreclosure Crisis
By Feb 26, 2009
Economic Research
The Worst Economic and Financial Crisis Since the Great Depression Reveals the Weaknesses of the Laissez Faire Anglo-Saxon Model of Capitalism
By Feb 19, 2009
Economic Research
Is the U.S. a Japan 2? The Return of Japan's "Free Falling" Stag-Deflation and the Risks of a U.S. L-Shaped Depression
By Feb 9, 2009
Economic Research
Obama's Presidential Honeymoon Faces Daunting Economic and Geo-Politiclal Tasks
By Jan 22, 2009
Economic Research
The Latest Bear Market Sucker's Rally is Losing its Steam as an Onslaught of Awful Macro and Earnings News Takes its Toll
By Jan 14, 2009
Economic Research
U.S. Housing Sector Far From Bottoming Out, Needs Government Intervention
By Jan 6, 2009
Economic Research
Helicopter Ben goes ZIRP, QE and More… While the Global Economy Enters Stag-Deflation
By Dec 17, 2008
Economic Research
Desperate Measures by Desperate Policy Makers in Desperate Times: the Fed Moves to Radically Unorthodox Policies as Economy Is in Free Fall and Stag-Deflation Deepens
By Nov 26, 2008
Economic Research
The Latest Bear Market Sucker’s Rally Has Gone Bust as We Are Headed Towards Stag-Deflation
By Nov 19, 2008
Economic Research
20 Reasons Why the U.S. Consumer is Capitulating, thus Triggering the Worst U.S. Recession in Decades
By Nov 14, 2008
Economic Research
The Dismal Outlook for the U.S., Global Economy and the Financial Markets
By Nov 11, 2008
Economic Research
The Rising Risk of a Hard Landing in China: The Two Engines of Global Growth – U.S. and China – are Now Stalling
By Nov 4, 2008
Economic Research
Governments Got Religion After Peering into the Systemic Meltdown Abyss: Aggressive and Comprehensive Policy Action is Now Likely but Significant Downside Risks to Markets Will Remain
By Oct 13, 2008
Economic Research
The World is at Severe Risk of a Global Systemic Financial Meltdown and a Severe Global Depression
By Oct 9, 2008
Economic Research
How Authorization to Recapitalize Banks via Public Capital Injections ("Partial Nationalization") Was Introduced - Indirectly Thorugh the Back Door - into the TARP Legislation
By Oct 9, 2008
Economic Research
Financial and Corporate System is in Cardiac Arrest: The Risk of the Mother of All Bank Runs
By Oct 3, 2008
Economic Research
U.S.-India Nuclear Accord: Nonproliferation Disaster or Landmark Deal?
By Oct 3, 2008
Economic Research
The U.S. and Global Financial Crisis is Becoming Much More Severe in Spite of the Treasury Rescue Plan. The Risk of a Total Systemic Meltdown is Now as High as Ever
By Sep 29, 2008
Economic Research
Is Purchasing $700 billion of Toxic Assets the Best Way to Recapitalize the Financial System? No! It is Rather a Disgrace and Rip-Off Benefitting only the Shareholders and Unsecured Creditors of Banks
By Sep 28, 2008
Economic Research
HOME (Home Owners’ Mortgage Enterprise): A 10 Step Plan to Resolve the Financial Crisis
By Sep 24, 2008
Economic Research
We Need a New HOLC - More Than a New RTC or RFC - to Provide Massive Debt Relief to the Household Sector. We Need to Create the HOME (Home Owners' Mortgage Enterprise)
By Sep 19, 2008
Economic Research
U.S. Housing Retention Bill: How Effective in Stabilizing the U.S. Housing Market?
By Sep 19, 2008
Economic Research
The Transformation of the USA into the USSRA (United Socialist State Republic of America) Continues at Full Speed with the Nationalization of AIG
By Sep 17, 2008
Economic Research
The WEF’s Financial Development Report and Index: Why is the U.S. Ranked #1 in Spite of its Serious Financial Instability and Crisis?
By Sep 11, 2008
Economic Research
Comrades Bush, Paulson and Bernanke Welcome You to the USSRA (United Socialist State Republic of America)
By Sep 9, 2008
Economic Research
The Coming U.S. Consumption Bust: 12 Reasons Why the U.S. Consumer is in Serious Trouble and Faltering
By Sep 3, 2008
Economic Research
2008 US and Global Economic Outlook and Implications for Financial Markets
By Sep 1, 2008
Economic Research
U.S. Oil Production and Hurricanes: Insecurity of Demand Trumps Insecurity of Supply?
By Aug 30, 2008
Economic Research
Life Without Home Equity (Withdrawal) - Down to US$24 Billion in Q1 2008
By Aug 28, 2008
Economic Research
Who is Going to Rescue the Hundreds of Busted U.S. Banks? Don’t Count on Suckering Again the Foreign Governments (the Sovereign Wealth Funds). And the Biggest Fire Sale in the History of Humanity…
By Jul 25, 2008
Economic Research
The Coming Systemic Bust of the U.S. Banking System: “Dead Stocks Rallying”
By Jul 20, 2008
Economic Research
American Un-Beauty: The Crisis of the Suburbian (McMansions and Gas-Guzzling SUVs) Way of Life
By Jul 17, 2008
Economic Research
Insolvency of the Fannie and Freddie Predicted Here Two Years Ago. What Happens Next? Or How to Avoid the “Mother of All Bailouts”
By Jul 11, 2008
Economic Research
Cross-Border Bank Lending and International Exposures: Who is Most Exposed to the U.S.?
By Jul 1, 2008
Economic Research
Global Recession Watch: A Dozen Significant Economies are at Risk of a Hard Landing
By Jun 25, 2008
Economic Research
Broad Support Among Economists and Experts of the Goal of Providing Mortgage Debt Relief to Distressed Borrowers
By May 15, 2008
Economic Research
Why the Frank-Dodd Proposal for Resolving the Mortgage Crisis Makes Sense and Why the Threatened Veto of This Legislation by the White House is Reckless
By May 13, 2008
Economic Research
The Fed is Getting Desperate in Dealing with a Liquidity Crunch that Shows Little Signs of Relenting
By May 6, 2008
Economic Research
Natural Gas; Asian Equities; Japanese Exports; U.S. Inequality; Bolivian Referendum
By Apr 24, 2008
Economic Research
NATO; U.S. Employment; Peru Investment Grade; Hungary Political Turmoil
By Apr 3, 2008
Economic Research
Ten Fundamental Issues in Reforming Financial Regulation and Supervision in a World of Financial Innovation and Globalization
By Mar 31, 2008
Economic Research
Can the Fed and Policy Makers Avoid a Systemic Financial Meltdown? Most Likely Not.
By Feb 8, 2008
Economic Research
The Rising Risk of a Systemic Financial Meltdown: The Twelve Steps to Disaster
By Feb 5, 2008
Economic Research
Responses to Sovereign Wealth Funds: Are 'Draconian' Measures on the Way?
By Nov 15, 2007
Economic Research
The Risk of a U.S. Hard Landing and Implications for the Global Economy and Financial Markets
By Sep 13, 2007
Economic Research
The Direct Link Between Housing and Consumption: Wealth Effect and Home Equity Withdrawal
By Apr 14, 2007
Economic Research
Mortgage-Backed Securities, Derivatives, and Indexes: An Introduction
By Mar 27, 2007
Economic Research
Eight Market Spins About Housing by Perma-Bull Spin-Doctors... and the Reality of the Coming Ugliest Housing Bust Ever
By Aug 26, 2006
Economic Research
The Biggest Slump in U.S. Housing in the Last 40 Years... or 53 Years?
By Aug 23, 2006
Economic Research
The Unsustainability of the U.S. Twin Deficits: Risks and Vulnerabilities in the Global Economy
By Apr 1, 2006
Economic Research
Will the Bretton Woods 2 Regime Unravel Soon? The Risk of a Hard Landing in 2005-2006
By Feb 1, 2005
Economic Research
The U.S. as a Net Debtor: The Sustainability of the U.S. External Imbalances
By Nov 17, 2004
Daily Digest
News
CORELOGIC® REPORTS 1.4 MILLION BORROWERS RETURNED TO “POSITIVE EQUITY” YEAR TO DATE THROUGH THE END OF THE THIRD QUARTER 2012
CoreLogic Jan 17, 2013
Analysis
Regional and market impact of Algeria's terror attacks
Roubini Global Economics Jan 18, 2013
News
Current Economic Conditions: January 2013
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Jan 16, 2013
News
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION: December 2012
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Jan 16, 2013
Blogs
Platinum Prices Move Above Gold For The First Time Since March 2012
Seeking Alpha Jan 16, 2013
News
ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES DECEMBER 2012
U.S. Census Bureau Jan 15, 2013
News
CoreLogic® Home Price Index Rises 7.4 Percent Year Over Year in November
CoreLogic Jan 15, 2013
Analysis
US and Iranian Strategic Competition: The Gulf and the Arabian Peninsula
Centre for Strategic and International Studies Jan 7, 2013
Blogs
U.S. oil imports are falling to their lowest level since 1987
Ezra Kelin's Wonkblog Jan 10, 2013
News
NFIB SMALL BUSINESS ECONOMIC TRENDS NFIB SMALL BUSINESS ECONOMIC TRENDS
National Federation of Independent Business Jan 08, 2013
Blogs
Great Polling Numbers For Hanger On The PA Governor's Race: Virtual Statistical Tie With Corbett
John Hanger's Blog Jan 08, 2013
Blogs
Monthly coal- and natural gas-fired generation equal for first time in April 2012
EIA Jan 07, 2013
Blogs
With domestic crude production in the US rising sharply, WTI is becoming less relevant as a benchmark
Sober Look Jan 07, 2013
News
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee December 11–12, 2012
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Jan 03, 2013
News
December 2012 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business
Institute of Supply Management Jan 04, 2013
Blogs
A lot fewer oil and natural gas rigs in action in the US, but it isn’t showing up in production numbers
Platts Jan 04, 2013
News
ADP NATIONAL EMPLOYMENT REPORT: PRIVATE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT INCREASED BY 215,000 JOBS IN DECEMBER
ADP National Employment Report Jan 03, 2013
News
32,556 DECEMBER CUTS DOWN 43% FROM NOVEMBER; ANNUAL TOTAL LOWEST SINCE 1997
Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. Jan 03, 2013
News
PMI at seven-month high in December, signalling solid expansion of manufacturing sector
Markit Economics Limited Jan 02, 2013
News
Chicago Business Barometer Progressed: December 2012
Institute for Supply Management – Chicago Dec 28, 2012
News
TEXAS MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY: SLOW GROWTH AND IMPROVED COMPANY OUTLOOK
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Dec 31, 2012
Blogs
An Update To The EIA’s 2006 Survey Of Estimates Of The Effect Of Oil Prices On The U.S. Economy
CFR Dec 31, 2012
News
Sustained Recovery in Home Prices According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
S&P Dow Jones Indices Dec 26, 2012
News
Manufacturing Activity Expanded for the Second Straight Month; Optimism Wanes
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Dec 26, 2012
News
Index shows economic activity increased in November
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Dec 21, 2012
News
Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders November 2012
U.S. Census Bureau Dec 21, 2012
News
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT: THIRD QUARTER 2012 (THIRD ESTIMATE) CORPORATE PROFITS: THIRD QUARTER 2012 (REVISED ESTIMATE)
Bureau of Economic Analysis Dec 20, 2012