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Official 90-day Outlooks are issued once each month near mid-month at 8:30am Eastern Time. Please consult the
schedule
of 30 & 90-day outlooks for exact release dates.
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Monthly to Seasonal Outlooks
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Ensemble Canonical Correlation Analysis (ECCA)
Sep-Oct-Nov 2013
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UPDATED MONTHLY FORECASTS SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE
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EXPERIMENTAL TWO-CLASS SEASONAL FORECASTS
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Click here for information about the ECCA
The predictors used in this forecast are :
200mb global velocity potential
global sea surface temperatures
sea level pressure (north of 40N)
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Monthly
Long Lead
30-& 90-Day Hawaiian
More Outlooks
0.5mn MAM 2013
1.5mn AMJ 2013
2.5mn MJJ 2013
3.5mn JJA 2013
4.5mn JAS 2013
5.5mn ASO 2013
6.5mn SON 2013
7.5mn OND 2013
8.5mn NDJ 2013 - 2014
9.5mn DJF 2013 - 2014
10.5mn JFM 2014
11.5mn FMA 2014
12.5mn MAM 2014
Climatological Values (1971-2000) for MAM
Time Series of Skill for all 0.5mn lead foreacsts
Tools Used
(see Discussion for explanation)
Tools Discussion
(updated as new tools are implimented)
Canonical Correlation Analysis
ECCA - Ensemble Canonical Correlation Analysis
Optimal Climate Normals
Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model
Soil-Moisture Tools
Probability of Exceedence
Temperature
Legend
Above normal
Below normal
Above normal skill area
Below normal skill area
Precipitation
Legend
Above normal
Below normal
Above normal skill area
Below normal skill area
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Page last modified: December 14, 2005
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