Trends in Child Fire Death Rates (2000-2009)
See also: Overall Trends | Older Adult Fire Death Trends

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On a per capita basis, fire death rates are declining, partially due to an increase in the U.S. population and an overall decline in the numbers of reported fires and fire deaths. In the case of fire deaths, fire death rates are measured by deaths per million population. Trends in fire death rates are computed to show how the rates have changed over time by smoothing fluctuations or variations in the data from year-to-year.

Overall, the trend in the fire death rate per million population for children ages 14 and under decreased 40 percent from 2000-2009. The table and chart below show this decline.

Fire Death Rates per Million Population for Children Ages 0-14 (2000-2009)

Year Number of Child Fire Deaths Age 0-14 Population Fire Death Rate (per million population)
2000 671 60,300,602 11.1
2001 600 60,566,200 9.9
2002 595 60,764,336 9.8
2003 530 60,910,921 8.7
2004 559 61,011,791 9.2
2005 530 60,953,039 8.7
2006 460 61,022,964 7.5
2007 510 61,294,588 8.3
2008 405 61,569,505 6.6
2009 383 61,882,854 6.2
10-Year Trend (%) -40.1%

Notes: The computation of the trend is based on the simple linear regression Method of Least Squares. The numbers of fire deaths are adjusted for those deaths where age was not reported. The counts of fire deaths for the individual age categories (i.e., 0-4, 5-9, 10-14) may not sum to the total per year for the 0-14 age category due to rounding.

Sources: 1) National Center for Health Statistics. 2000-2009 Mortality Data Files, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. 2) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. July 1 population estimates from Table 1. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009 (NST-EST2009-01).

The largest decrease in the fire death rate trends for children occurred for the group of children under age 5. For these children, the fire death rate trend decreased 44 percent over the 10-year period. Children of this age group, however, still have the highest fire death rates among children of all ages and, as a result, are still at a higher risk of dying in a fire when compared to older children. The table and chart below show the decrease in the fire death rate for children ages 0 to 4.

Prior to 2005, the youngest children (ages 0-4) had fire death rates that were higher than that of the general population. Recent data indicate that the trend appears to be changing. The fire death rates of children ages 4 and younger are slightly less than that of the general population. This decline may be attributed to an increase in public fire education and prevention efforts.

Fire Death Rates per Million Population for Children Ages 0-4 (2000-2009)

Year Number of Child Fire Deaths Age 0-4 Population Fire Death Rate (per million population)
2000 366 19,203,635 19.1
2001 320 19,430,394 16.5
2002 296 19,667,991 15.0
2003 288 19,939,783 14.4
2004 279 20,243,450 13.8
2005 270 20,483,758 13.2
2006 252 20,612,794 12.2
2007 267 20,921,289 12.8
2008 221 21,152,563 10.4
2009 217 21,299,656 10.2
10-Year Trend (%) -43.6%

Notes: The computation of the trend is based on the simple linear regression Method of Least Squares. The numbers of fire deaths are adjusted for those deaths where age was not reported.

Sources: 1) National Center for Health Statistics. 2000-2009 Mortality Data Files, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. 2) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. July 1 population estimates from Table 1. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009 (NST-EST2009-01).

The decline in the fire death rate trend for the group of children ages 5 to 9 follows closely behind that for those children ages 5 and under. For children ages 5 to 9, the fire death rate trend decreased 43 percent over the 10-year period. The table and chart below show the decrease in the fire death rate for children ages 5 to 9.

Fire Death Rates per Million Population for Children Ages 5-9 (2000-2009)

Year Number of Child Fire Deaths Age 5-9 Population Fire Death Rate (per million population)
2000 203 20,475,855 9.9
2001 181 20,237,572 8.9
2002 176 19,984,727 8.8
2003 149 19,778,497 7.5
2004 182 19,655,077 9.3
2005 156 19,632,095 7.9
2006 134 19,831,119 6.8
2007 155 20,054,444 7.7
2008 116 20,313,416 5.7
2009 98 20,609,634 4.8
10-Year Trend (%) -43.2%

Notes: The computation of the trend is based on the simple linear regression Method of Least Squares. The numbers of fire deaths are adjusted for those deaths where age was not reported.

Sources: 1) National Center for Health Statistics. 2000-2009 Mortality Data Files, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. 2) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. July 1 population estimates from Table 1. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009 (NST-EST2009-01).

From 2000 to 2009, the fire death rate trend decreased by 33 percent for children ages 10-14. The table and chart below show the decrease in the fire death rate for children ages 10 to 14.

Fire Death Rates per Million Population for Children Ages 10-14 (2000-2009)

Year Number of Child Fire Deaths Age 10-14 Population Fire Death Rate (per million population)
2000 101 20,621,112 4.9
2001 98 20,898,234 4.7
2002 122 21,111,618 5.8
2003 92 21,192,641 4.3
2004 97 21,113,264 4.6
2005 104 20,837,186 5.0
2006 74 20,579,051 3.6
2007 87 20,318,855 4.3
2008 68 20,103,526 3.4
2009 68 19,973,564 3.4
10-Year Trend (%) -33.1%

Notes: The computation of the trend is based on the simple linear regression Method of Least Squares. The numbers of fire deaths are adjusted for those deaths where age was not reported.

Sources: 1) National Center for Health Statistics. 2000-2009 Mortality Data Files, as compiled from data provided by the 57 vital statistics jurisdictions through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program. 2) U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. July 1 population estimates from Table 1. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009 (NST-EST2009-01).


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