Thomas R. Knutson
Research Meteorologist
GFDL Climate Change, Variability, and Prediction Group
Contact: Tom.Knutson@noaa.gov | (609) 452-6509
Assessment articles (hurricanes and climate):
"Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change", an assessment by a World Meteorological Organization Expert Team on Climate Change Impacts on Tropical Cyclones (Nature Geoscience, March 2010). For more information on the expert team see this WMO web page. For a full copy of the article, contact (email): nlomarda@wmo.int
- NOAA State of the Science Fact Sheet on "Atlantic Hurricanes, Climate Variability, and Global Warming" (May 2012)
Research Interests
- Atlantic Hurricane Activity:
- Has Global Warming Affected Atlantic Hurricane Activity? (Overview web page, Updated January 2013)
- Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic Hurricanes. Science: Our study projecting an increase in Cat 4-5 hurricanes with 21st century climate warming (published Jan. 2010)
- FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions) on our recent Science paper (updated December 2010)
- How well do we know past Atlantic hurricane activity? A web site on adjusting for "missing storms" in the past Atlantic hurricane data. Adjusted datasets are available here.
-
Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century
warming conditions, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo202 (Published
online May 2008). This study focuses on the weaker part of the hurricane spectrum as compared with the Bender et al. study.
- FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions) on our Nature Geoscience study (Posted June 11, 2008)
- Simulated Hurricane Animations Web Page
- Global Warming and Hurricanes Web Page
- Impacts of Greenhouse Gas-Induced Warming:
- Hurricane Activity
- El Nino/Southern Oscillation
- Sahel Drought (Held et al. PNAS paper)
- Summertime Heat Index Values
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Climate Change Detection and Attribution:
- Assessment of Twentieth Century Regional Surface Temperature Trends using the GFDL CM2 Coupled Models
- Draft - Jan. 2013 Multi-model Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 20th Century Simulations
- Simulation of Early 20th Century Global Warming
- Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability and Trends
- Sahel Drought in the 20th century (Held et al. PNAS paper)
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Land cover change affects on climate (Findell et al. 2006)
