Hurricane LESLIE

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HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
2100 UTC THU SEP 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE WEATHER SERVICE OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3
DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT.......140NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 220SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  62.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.6N  62.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.0N  62.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N  62.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.0N  62.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 35.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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