U.S. Intelligence: Iran Key to Future Mideast Stability
Iran’s nuclear intentions will be a key variable in future Middle East stability, according to a new report by the U.S. National Intelligence Council. “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” explores what the world may look like in the coming decades. The report predicts that an Iranian decision to build a nuclear weapon or even a capability to develop one could trigger a dangerous arms race in the region. Saudi Arabia and Turkey might respond by starting their own nuclear programs. Tensions between Sunnis and Shiites and Arabs and Persian could also easily spillover.
The report also examines alternative scenarios. For example, a future Iranian government that cooperates with the United Nations could actually help stabilize the region. The following are excerpts from the report’s projections on Iran.
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