Although most of CBO's budget projections and cost estimates cover a 10-year window, the agency regularly conducts studies of the nation's long-term budget picture. The Long-Term Budget Outlook is produced annually, and other studies on long-term issues in Social Security, federal health care programs, and other parts of the budget are produced periodically.
Long-Term Budget Projections
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2012 Long-Term Projections for Social Security
Oct 2012 - Over the next 20 years, the population will age and spending on Social Security will increase from about 5 percent of GDP to about 6 percent.
Long-Term Budget Outlook
Jun 2012 - The explosive path of federal debt under the fiscal scenario that many budget analysts believe is more representative of fiscal policies that are now or have recently been in effect underscores the need for large policy changes to put the federal government on a sustainable course.
The Long-Term Budgetary Impact of Paths for Federal Revenues and Spending Specified by Chairman Ryan
Mar 2012 - The calculations presented here represent CBO's assessment of how the specified paths would alter the trajectories of federal debt, revenues, spending, and economic output relative to the trajectories under two scenarios that CBO has analyzed previously.
Raising the Ages of Eligibility for Medicare and Social Security
Jan 2012 - This issue brief reviews how ages of eligibility affect beneficiaries under current law and how delaying eligibility would affect beneficiaries, the federal budget, and the economy.
CBO's 2011 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Infographic
Aug 2011 - CBO's first infographic summarizes some of the agency's most recent projections for Social Security and provides background information on the program.
latest work
CBO’s Long-Term Projections for Medicare and Medicaid Spending in the United States
presentationNovember 30, 2012As the Population Ages, Social Security’s Spending Is Projected to Outpace Its Tax Revenues
blog postOctober 2, 2012The 2012 Long-Term Projections for Social Security: Additional Information
reportOctober 2, 2012Supplemental Data for CBO's 2012 Long-Term Projections for Social Security
data or technical informationOctober 2, 2012Breakfast with Reporters
blog postJune 14, 2012CBO Testified on the Long-Term Budget Outlook
blog postJune 6, 2012Testimony on the 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook
reportJune 6, 2012The 2012 Long-Term Budget Outlook
reportJune 5, 2012
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