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Simulated Effects of Climate Change on Mean Annual Runoff in the Conterminous United States

By D. M. Wolock and G. J. McCabe

Abstract

In this paper, the effects of potential climate change on mean annual runoff in the conterminous United States (US) are examined using a simple water-balance model and output from two atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs). The objectives of the study described herein were (1) to compute estimates of future mean annual runoff for the conterminous US given a set of climate-change scenarios and (2) to determine if the estimated changes in mean annual runoff for future climatic conditions are larger or smaller than variability in predictions of mean annual runoff.

Additional information on Watershed Processes can be found at: http://ks.water.usgs.gov/studies/watershed/

Wolock, D.M. and McCabe, G.J., 1999, Simulated Effects of Climate Change on Mean Annual Runoff in the Conterminous United States [abst.], in Adams, D.B., ed., Proceedings of Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, May 10-12, 1999, Atlanta, Georgia: American Water Resources Association, May 1999, p. 161-164.

To request a paper copy of this abstract, email: dwolock@.usgs.gov

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