ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/17/13 0055Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-E 0045Z LP . LOCATION...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...TENNESSEE... . ATTN WFOS...GSP...MRX...FFC... ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC... . EVENT... DEVELOPING MOD/HVY RAIN EVENT . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS... LATEST GOES RGB AIRMASS PRODUCT SHOWS FIRST INDICATION THAT THE POSITIVE TILT OF THE UL LOW IS DISSIPATING AND THE SURFACE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. SURFACE OBS SHOW LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN CENTRAL GEORGIA AND PRECIPITATION IS STARTING TO FILL IN ACROSS NRN GEORGIA/WRN SOUTH CAROLINA WITH ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION MOVING ACROSS FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS MULTIPLE IMPULSES SEEN OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO SURGE NWD. TRENDS IN SATELLITE BLENDED TPW SHOW A RIBBON OF HIGHER MOISTURE (1.25"-1.5" PW) MAKING ITS WAY TOWARDS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ADDITIONAL MOISTURE SUPPORT MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF FROM THE CARIBBEAN. CURRENT RAIN RATES ARE MODEST BUT EXPECT THINGS TO CHANGE GIVEN SIGNS OF WAVE INTENSIFICATION. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0100-0700Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK... PERSISTENT IR ENHANCEMENTS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS SUGGEST HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP/MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. GIVEN ENHANCED UL SUPPORT AND INCREASED MOISTURE EXPECT RAIN RATES TO INCREASE PARTICULARLY FROM THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO N GA/SE TN/SW NC/NW SC DURING THE OUTLOOK PERIOD HOWEVER IT'S A BIT EARLY TO SUGGEST RATES/TOTAL FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 3590 8437 3559 8172 3330 8312 3262 8501 3469 8537 . NNNN