ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/13/13 1226Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1215Z CW
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LOCATION...TENNESSEE...ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...
LOCATION...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...OHX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...FWD...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST WV/IR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
NEXT S/WV EJECTING OUT OF THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS FROM SRN/SE TX. SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE GRADUALLY REDEVELOPING AND EXPANDING W OF THE LEADING EDGE
ACROSS NW/NRN LA...SRN/SE AR...NW MS. THIS IS NOT A GOOD SIGN GIVEN
THESE ARES HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS MORNING.
THE BACK BUILDING TREND OF CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ACROSS MAX TPW
AXIS OF 1.5"...THUS WOULD EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2-3" OF RAINFALL ALONG
A CORRIDOR FROM KAQV IN WRN LA NORTHEAST TO KMKL IN WRN TN THRU 18Z.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT AREA
SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY
10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1230-1730Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT
TERM OUTLOOK...AT THIS POINT DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH EWD PROGRESS OF THE
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT 3-5 HRS ACROSS THE LOWER
MS RIVER VALLEY INTO TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAINS
ARE LIKELY TO FALL ACROSS NRN/NE LA/SE AR/NW MS/WRN TN AS A SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE TRACKS NE ALONG VERY SLOW MOVING SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS THE
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE AXIS CONTINUES TO HOLDS ITS OWN OVER THE ERN U.S.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3651 8574 3510 8710 3297 8992 3064 9248 3199 9577
3592 9089 3637 8925
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