ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/13/13 0638Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0615Z HANNA . LOCATION...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...INDIANA...ILLINOIS... LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS... LOCATION...TEXAS... . ATTN WFOS...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH... ATTN WFOS...SHV...HGX... ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC... . EVENT...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST WV IMAGERY SHOWS HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROF AXIS ALONG ABOUT 105W. A RATHER POTENT IMPULSE WAS BEGINNING TO EJECT OUT OF THE MEAN TROF AXIS INTO THE FRONT RANGE OF CO THIS EVENING WHILE ASSOCIATED JET MAX WAS LIFTING THROUGH PORTIONS OF TX AND OK. THE COMBINATION OF A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPSTREAM RIDGE AXIS OVER THE E PAC WITH NUMEROUS IMPULSES CONTINUING TO ALLOW FOR HEIGHT FALLS TO DROP INTO BASE OF OVERALL TROF ALONG 105W AND AMPLIFIED DOWNSTREAM RIDGE AXIS OVER THE E US HAS ALLOWED FOR VERY SLOW MOVEMENT TO SYNOPTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY. . CURRENTLY THE BEST CLOUD TOP COOLING ON IR IMAGERY HAS BEEN FROM ROUGHLY THE VIC OF LFK IN E TX NE TO NEAR THE VIC OF ARKANSAS COUNTY IN E PORTIONS OF AR. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM LIFTING SHORTWAVE TROF AND SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE VIC OF THE ARKLATEX REGION. MANUAL SATELLITE ESTIMATES OF 1.0-2.0"/HR IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION AGREE WELL WITH RECENT REPORTS OUT OF KBAD. FURTHER TO THE NE, A SECOND WAVE APPEARS TO BE LIFTING NE TOWARDS PORTIONS OF NE AR AND SE MO AND THIS HAS SLOWED DOWN CONVECTIVE LINE TO ALLOW FOR TRAINING FROM NE TOWARDS OWB IN W KY, LATEST BLENDED PW ANALYSIS WAS SHOWING PW'S RANGING FROM 1.50-1.70" ALONG SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY AND THESE VALUES WERE IN EXCESS OF 200% ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL VALUES. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0630-1230Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...BELIEVE THAT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD CONTINUE ON THE SHORT TERM FROM THE ARKLATEX REGION EXTENDING NE THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY TOWARDS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. WOULD EXPECT LOCALIZED RAINFALL RATES OF 1.0-2.0"/HR WITH 6 HOUR TOTALS OF 2.0-3.0" POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF TRAINING. WITH CLOUD TOPS CONTINUING TO COOL OVER NW LA AND S AR THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT AT LEAST ON THE SHORT TERM THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD LIKELY FALL ALONG AND DOWNSTREAM OF AN AXIS FROM ROUGHLY SHELBY COUNTY IN E TX NE TO LEE COUNTY IN E AR. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 3938 8673 3890 8592 3735 8629 3622 8756 3492 8902 3149 9299 3060 9511 3127 9515 3352 9303 3607 9035 3827 8816 . NNNN