ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES MSZ000-LAZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/10/13 1133Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 1115Z BELGE . LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA... . ATTN WFOS...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC... . EVENT...AXIS OF HVY RAINFALL FINALLY STARTING TO SHIFT EASTWARD . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LOOKING AT THE MOST RECENT IR IMAGERY, VERY COLD TOPPED CONVECTION FINALLY STARTING TO SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS SRN/CNTRL LA. THE LAST 1-2 HRS OF WV IMAGERY HAVE SHOWN THAT THE UL LOW HAS PROGRESSED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST ALLOWING THE BAND OF CONVECTION TO FINALLY MAKE AN EASTWARD PROGRESSION. STILL, VERY HVY RAINFALL CAN BE SEEN THROUGH VERMILION/ARCADIA/LAFAYETTE PARISHES WHERE CLOUD TOP TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY NEARING -79C. CELL MERGERS RECENTLY JUST OFF THE COAST AND THROUGH EXTREME SRN LA HAVE HELPED TO RAPIDLY COOL CLOUD TOPS, AND ALONG WITH A VERY SATURATED LOCAL ENVIRONMENT, RAINFALL RATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE VERY EFFICIENT. CAN EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2-3" OF RAINFALL THROUGH SRN LA OVER THE NEXT 3-4 HRS AS THIS LINE OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO TRAIN THROUGH. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1130-1430Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...LINE OF VERY STRONG CONVECTION IS NOW PROGRESSING A BIT MORE TOWARDS THE EAST WHICH IS GOOD NEW FOR PORTIONS OF SW LA. STILL, HVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MID AND LATE MORNING HRS ACROSS THIS ENTIRE REGION WITH A SHIFT IN FOCUS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SW LA. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 3217 9293 3207 8958 2782 9046 2791 9408 . NNNN