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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/04/13 0018Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13                 2345Z              JANKOT
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...EWX...SJT...MAF...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MOD TO HVY SNOWS SHAPING UP
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HIGHLY DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN
EVIDENT IN LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WITH VORT ROTATING ACROSS N MEXICO
PROVIDING DYNAMICS NECESSARY TO INDUCE LIFT NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. MOISTURE
ADVECTION HAS SLOWLY BEEN ON THE INCREASE PER BLENDED TPW PRODUCT WITH
.4-.6" PWATS WRAPPING NW INTO DISCUSSION REGION. THIS LEVEL OF MOISTURE
NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...RUNNING 115-120% OF NORMAL.
MEANWHILE IR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK BAROCLINIC LEAF SIGNATURE DEVELOPING
OVER W TX/SE NM SUGGESTING HEAVIEST BAND OF PRECIP WOULD DEVELOP ALONG
A LINE FROM PRESIDIO ENE TO CROCKETT COUNTY. EXPECT RATES OF 1-2"/HR
IN BEST BANDS PROVIDING SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW THROUGH 06Z. BEST RATES
SHOULD OCCUR IN UP-SLOPE FAVORED REGIONS W TX.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0030-0630Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT
TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT MOD TO HEAVY SNOWS TO INCREASE OVER W TX AS VORT
CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST WITH BEST OMEGAS MOVING ACROSS W TX. RATES
OF 1-2"/HR IS EXPECTED IN BEST BANDS WITH UPWARDS OF 4-8"+ POSSIBLE
THROUGH 6Z.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3223 10153 2985 10109 2861 10588 3118 10666
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