ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES CAZ000-ORZ000-WAZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/20/12 0742Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-15 0700Z RUMINSKI . LOCATION...CALIFORNIA...OREGON...WASHINGTON... . ATTN WFOS...MFR...STO...SEW...PQR...EKA... ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC... . EVENT...LARGE STORM WITH HEAVY PRECIP INTO PARTS OF WESTERN OREGON . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VERY DEEP STORM NR 52N140W HAS MOVED LITTLE PAST 12 HRS OR SO. MODERATE MOISTURE PLUME INTO OR AHS ALSO NOT SHIFTED DOWN THE COAST VERY MUCH DRG THIS PD ALLOWING FOR EXTENDED PD OF MOD/HVY PRECIP INTO NW OR. IR ANIMATION AND BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWING BACKING FLOW PAST SEVERAL HRS AS AXIS OF PW PLUME HAS TAKEN ON A BIT MORE OF A N/S ORIENTATION. RECENT LIGHTNING PLOT SHOWS NUMEROUS STRIKES OFFSHORE FROM COOS COUNTY WHERE CLD TOPS HAVE BEEN COOLING/EXPANDING PAST CPL OF HRS. RECENT MICROWAVE AREAL AVERAGED RAIN RATES INDICATING HRLY RATES OF .3" TO .4" IN THIS PLUME. . BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM THIS PLUME IS WITH SW FLOW INTO LINCOLN..TILLAMOOK..WASHINGTON..POLK AND YAMHILL. OROGRAPHICS ENHANCING THIS TO MAXIMIZE PRECIP RATES ON SW FACING SLOPES WHERE .5" TO .7"/HR MAX RATES PSBL. . SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0800-1400Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EARLY IN OUTLOOK PD EXPECT TILLAMOOK..WASHINGTON..YAMHILL AND VCNTY TO CONT TO GET SLAMMED FROM SLOW MVG MOISTURE PLUME (MAX VALUES NR .9" AS PER BLENDED TPW PRODUCT). EXPECT GRADUAL TRANSITION DOWN THE COAST TO NEAR THE CA/OR BORDER BY THE END OF THE PD. LOWER PRECIP RATES EXPECTED THIS AREA DUE TO LESSER OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT. . ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL SSDPrecip@noaa.gov . FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/ . FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB: http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php . LAT...LON 4669 12215 3945 12261 3934 12533 4668 12574 . NNNN