RUC Convective Probability Forecast (RCPF)
- Running since 2004 through current (Oct 2008).
- Runs hourly based on hardened "Backup" 13km RUC run at NOAA/ESRL/GSD.
- Provides hourly updated 3,4,5,6,7,8,9h probabilistic forecasts
of the likelihood of 40-dbZ radar echoes within a 40-km-side grid volume.
- Gridded RCPF data provides guidance to NOAA Aviation Weather Center
for the
Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)
.
-
RCPF papers by Weygandt, Benjamin, etc. from
2008
and
2004
-
RUC
Probabilistic Echo-Top Forecast (PETF)
, also based on RUC, provides
estimated echo-top if convection occurs, and covers a broader area
where convection has a non-zero chance.
17/06z
17/07z
17/08z
17/09z
17/10z
17/11z
17/12z
17/13z
17/14z
17/06z
17/07z
17/08z
17/09z
17/10z
17/11z
17/12z
17/13z
17/14z