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projects > sea level rise and climate: impacts on the greater everglades ecosystem and restoration
Sea Level Rise and Climate: Impacts on the Greater Everglades Ecosystem and Restoration
This project will address the questions of rates and impacts of sea level rise on the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) by utilizing paleoecologic tools and salinity models to examine changes to the Greater Everglades Ecosystem over the past 500-3000 years. Historical rates of change will be compared to potential sea level rise conditions under different IPCC climate change scenarios. The relationship between sea level, salinity, habitats and biota will be examined, and ecologic indicators of sea level rise will be identified. In FY10 we will initiate an analysis of the relationship between salinity and sea level rise, focusing on the southwest coastal mangrove ecotone. A preliminary list of indicator species/assemblages will be compiled for determining migration of the saltwater/freshwater transition zone. We will compile existing records from USGS, Penn State, and other databases that provide information on position of sea level in the later part of the Holocene for South Florida and relationships between climate patterns and sea level. Future years will build on initial work in FY10, starting with application of existing historical salinity models for the estuaries to predict future salinities under various IPCC scenarios. Core data will be compiled from existing cores, and new cores collected if necessary to fill in information gaps. Rates of sea level rise will be estimated for South Florida, and compared to IPCC projections of future rates. Work PlansData
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U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey
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Script last updated: 15 January 2013 @ 01:46 PM by BJM. Record creator: KP. Record last updated by: KP.