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Kelvin-Helmholtz Waves
Turbulent wave clouds

Forecast Clear Air Turbulence Index Images 

Latest 3hr RUC Model Forecast Latest RUC TI

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Brief Explanation of Product

Images of Deformation-Vertical Shear Index (DVSI) forecasts for Clear-Air Turbulence (CAT) are globally produced using data from the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System (GFS) (formerly Aviation), Rapid Update Cycle (RUC)-2, and NAM (formerly ETA) forecast models. The DVSI available on this page is calculated for the layer from 30,000 ft to 34,000 ft, which is the normal cruising altitude for commercial jet airliners (a higher layer is available for the Alaska region). Gridded index values have been converted to a color enhanced image for easier interpretation. The images provide guidance on potential areas of non-convective turbulence, excluding mountain waves. They are intended to be used for a quick assessment by travelers or pilots of the possibility of high altitude CAT conditions.

Current Date and Time (UTC):

Current Products
Images will appear in a separate window

GOES Water Vapor Loops: CONUS | Atlantic | Pacific
Latest NAM 12hr or 18hr Forecast with Turbulence PIREPs

Region Projection Model Levels Forecast Period 24hr Loops
N. Hemis. Polar GFS FL300-340 NHem 6hr NHem 12hr | NHem Archive NHem 18hr NHem 24hr NHem Loop
Alaska Polar GFS FL300-340 AK 6hr AK 12hr | AK Archive AK 18hr AK 24hr AK Loop
Alaska Polar GFS FL300-340 AK 36hr AK 48hr
Alaska Polar GFS FL340-390 AK39 6hr AK39 12hr | AK39 Archive AK39 18hr AK39 24hr AK39 Loop
Alaska Polar GFS FL340-390 AK39 36hr AK39 48hr
Pacific Mercator GFS FL300-340 Pac 6hr Pac 12hr | Pac Archive Pac 18hr Pac 24hr Pac Loop
Atlantic Mercator GFS FL300-340 Atlc 6hr Atlc 12hr | Atlc Archive Atlc 18hr Atlc 24hr Atlc Loop
Cont. U.S. Lambert NAM FL300-340 US 6hr US 12hr | US Archive US 18hr US 24hr US Loop
Cont. U.S. Lambert RUC-2 FL300-340 3hr RUC RUC 3hr Archive 6hr RUC

Image Interpretation

Turbulence index example
Example of Deformation-Vertical Shear Index (DVSI) forecast image with aircraft reports

Yellow areas denote where there is a good chance (50% or better) of occasional moderate or greater clear-air turbulence (CAT). Red shows where there is a high risk of occasional moderate or greater CAT. There is little or no correlation between high index values and the likelihood of severe turbulence. The valid time of the image is shown in the lower right. Aircraft reports plotted on the 12 or 18 hr forecast show turbulence intensity in yellow (0 = None, 1=light, 2=light/moderate, 3=moderate, 4=moderate/severe, 5=severe, 6=extreme), aircraft type in cyan, and flight altitude (feet) in white. The GFS and NAM models are both updated by 1 PM and 1 AM EST daily. RUC-2 products are updated hourly (currently only between 0000 and 1800 UTC).

Archive images are available for the 12 hr forecast at both 0000 and 1200 UTC. The format is: hhZyyyyjjj.GIF where hh is model time, yyyy is year, and jjj is Julian day

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