U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.1 percent in the third quarter of 2012 after increasing 1.3 percent in the second quarter, according to estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The third-quarter growth rate was revised up 0.4 percentage point from the second estimate released in November.

Real GDP highlights
Inventory investment was the main driver of the third-quarter acceleration in real economic growth. Nonfarm inventory investment turned up, more than offsetting a larger decline in farm inventory investment that stemmed from the summer drought in the Midwest.

In addition, consumer spending for durable goods picked up, as motor vehicles and parts turned up. Federal national defense spending rebounded, as did state and local government spending.

In contrast to these positive contributions to real economic growth, consumer spending for services slowed, and business investment turned down, mainly reflecting a downturn in spending on equipment and software.

Revisions to GDP
The 0.4 percentage point upward revision of real GDP growth reflected upward revisions to:
• Net exports, as exports was revised up, mainly industrial supplies and materials, and imports was revised down, mainly travel services and industrial supplies and materials.
• Consumer spending, mainly health care services. (After the revisions, consumer spending picked up slightly after slowing modestly in the second estimate released in November.)
• State and local government gross investment in structures.

Corporate profits
BEA released a revised estimate of third-quarter corporate profits. Profits picked up in the third quarter, rising 2.4 percent at a quarterly rate, after rising 1.1 percent in the second quarter.

Profits of financial corporations rose 17.5 percent in the third quarter, while profits of nonfinancial corporations fell 1.3 percent. Profits from the rest of the world decreased 1.9 percent.

For more, here’s the full report.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.7 percent in the third quarter of 2012 after increasing 1.3 percent in the second quarter, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The third-quarter growth rate was revised up 0.7 percentage point from the advance estimate released in October.

Real GDP third-quarter highlights
The acceleration in third-quarter growth was mainly driven by a rebound in inventory investment. Nonfarm inventory investment turned up. In contrast, farm inventory investment declined more than in the second quarter, reflecting the drought in the Midwest.

In addition, consumer spending on durable goods turned up, notably on motor vehicles and parts. Federal government spending on national defense turned up. And residential housing accelerated, as investment in single-family structures picked up.

Offsetting these contributions to real economic growth, consumer spending on services slowed, and business investment turned down, as spending on equipment and software and on nonresidential structures declined.

Revisions to GDP
The upward revision to real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2012 mainly reflected a large upward revision to private inventory investment, mostly in manufacturing and wholesale trade. In addition, goods exports was revised up, partly reflecting a revision to industrial supplies and materials. In contrast, consumer spending on both goods and services was revised down. Business investment was also revised down, reflecting a revision to equipment and software.

For more information, see the technical note.

Corporate profits
BEA released its preliminary estimate of third-quarter corporate profits. Profits accelerated in the third quarter, rising 3.5 percent at a quarterly rate after rising 1.1 percent in the second quarter.

Profits of financial corporations rose 18.3 percent, while profits of nonfinancial corporations fell 0.1 percent. Profits from the rest of the world decreased 0.6 percent.

For more, here’s the full report.