RAW ESP APRIL-JULY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES
ZCZC RNOHFSAJV
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1219 PM PLT WED FEB 20 2013
CAUTION... EXPERIMENTAL...
CHPS/ESP RAW MODEL GUIDANCE
FOR OFFICIAL FORECAST... SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV
APRIL-JULY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF (SRC=D)
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
WMSO3 MAX: 288 278 294 288 298
WILLIAMSON RIVER MIN: 160 154 165 157 160
CHILOQUIN PROB: 198 193 207 206 219
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 320) %AVG: 62% 60% 65% 64% 68%
DELTA: 1% -2% -2% -6%
FTJC1 MAX: 207 204 205 204 220
SCOTT RIVER MIN: 96 85 85 84 86
FORT JONES PROB: 125 115 119 125 127
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 181) %AVG: 69% 64% 66% 69% 70%
DELTA: 5% 3% 0% 0%
CEGC1 MAX: 727 714 698 735 734
TRINITY MIN: 308 300 319 318 337
TRINITY LK PROB: 463 456 458 470 483
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 635) %AVG: 73% 72% 72% 74% 76%
DELTA: 1% 1% 0% -2%
SHDC1 MAX: 2344 2305 2326 2360 2390
SACRAMENTO MIN: 1076 1053 1056 1094 1105
SHASTA PROB: 1361 1322 1351 1400 1433
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1790) %AVG: 76% 74% 75% 78% 80%
DELTA: 2% 1% -1% -3%
ORDC1 MAX: 2129 2209 2110 2127 2285
FEATHER MIN: 720 698 705 731 758
OROVILLE PROB: 981 993 1045 1072 1222
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1760) %AVG: 56% 56% 59% 61% 69%
DELTA: 0% -3% -4% -13%
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
HLEC1 MAX: 1288 1267 1277 1297 1342
YUBA MIN: 418 394 395 432 482
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF PROB: 659 660 670 683 747
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 995) %AVG: 66% 66% 67% 69% 75%
DELTA: 0% 0% -1% -8%
FOLC1 MAX: 1571 1565 1574 1574 1581
AMERICAN MIN: 428 430 438 462 491
FOLSOM FNF PROB: 726 721 744 780 855
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1230) %AVG: 59% 59% 61% 63% 69%
DELTA: 0% -1% -3% -10%
CMPC1 MAX: 506 505 512 535 562
MOKELUMNE MIN: 194 200 206 208 226
PARDEE PROB: 282 282 295 296 335
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 460) %AVG: 61% 61% 64% 64% 73%
DELTA: 0% -2% -2% -11%
NMSC1 MAX: 719 725 775 822 842
STANISLAUS MIN: 288 303 317 309 339
NEW MELONES PROB: 432 432 451 446 484
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 695) %AVG: 62% 62% 65% 64% 70%
DELTA: 0% -2% -1% -7%
NDPC1 MAX: 1458 1464 1517 1558 1664
TUOLUMNE MIN: 669 697 693 732 749
NEW DON PEDRO PROB: 887 891 922 970 1003
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1230) %AVG: 72% 72% 75% 79% 82%
DELTA: 0% -2% -6% -8%
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
POHC1 MAX: 438 465 484 475 505
MERCED RIVER MIN: 201 209 206 205 217
POHONO BRIDGE PROB: 273 272 277 299 319
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 360) %AVG: 76% 76% 77% 83% 89%
DELTA: 0% 0% -6% -12%
EXQC1 MAX: 705 757 783 798 874
MERCED MIN: 295 303 299 298 316
EXCHEQUER PROB: 412 411 417 451 489
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 645) %AVG: 64% 64% 65% 70% 76%
DELTA: 0% 0% -5% -11%
FRAC1 MAX: 1495 1578 1480 1507 1564
SAN JOAQUIN MIN: 543 533 585 571 609
MILLERTON PROB: 831 837 859 868 953
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1270) %AVG: 65% 66% 68% 68% 75%
DELTA: 0% -1% -2% -9%
PFTC1 MAX: 1380 1379 1412 1456 1488
KINGS MIN: 479 510 494 501 537
PINE FLAT PROB: 721 724 721 765 819
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 1250) %AVG: 58% 58% 58% 61% 66%
DELTA: 0% 0% -3% -7%
TMDC1 MAX: 311 350 357 351 387
KAWEAH MIN: 49 47 61 59 55
LK KAWEAH PROB: 105 109 112 123 132
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 290) %AVG: 36% 38% 38% 42% 46%
DELTA: 0% -1% -5% -8%
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
SCSC1 MAX: 85 84 88 97 94
TULE MIN: 12 11 13 14 12
LK SUCCESS PROB: 27 26 26 28 31
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 66) %AVG: 41% 39% 40% 42% 46%
DELTA: 2% 1% 0% -5%
ISAC1 MAX: 452 491 474 487 575
KERN MIN: 64 65 67 79 85
LK ISABELLA PROB: 158 171 170 200 215
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 480) %AVG: 33% 36% 35% 42% 45%
DELTA: -2% -2% -8% -11%
FARC1 MAX: 303 314 318 315 320
TRUCKEE RIVER MIN: 106 104 111 118 124
FARAD PROB: 162 160 163 177 194
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 260) %AVG: 62% 62% 63% 68% 75%
DELTA: 1% 0% -5% -11%
WOOC1 MAX: 66 70 70 71 71
WF CARSON RIVER MIN: 32 31 30 32 32
WOODFORDS PROB: 45 44 45 47 48
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 56) %AVG: 81% 78% 80% 83% 85%
DELTA: 2% 1% -2% -3%
GRDN2 MAX: 196 201 204 209 209
EF CARSON RIVER MIN: 88 90 93 92 100
GARDNERVILLE PROB: 133 135 142 140 154
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 189) %AVG: 70% 71% 75% 74% 81%
DELTA: 0% -4% -3% -10%
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
STWN2 MAX: 166 168 181 189 198
CARSON RIVER MIN: 53 55 56 57 68
CARSON CITY PROB: 103 102 112 111 125
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 188) %AVG: 55% 54% 59% 59% 67%
DELTA: 0% -4% -3% -11%
WWBC1 MAX: 183 185 184 187 191
W WALKER RIVER MIN: 97 98 99 100 103
BLO LITTLE WALKER PROB: 124 127 131 132 139
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 156) %AVG: 79% 81% 84% 85% 89%
DELTA: -1% -3% -4% -9%
BPRC1 MAX: 65 68 69 67 65
EAST WALKER MIN: 24 24 24 23 20
BRIDGEPORT PROB: 38 39 41 41 36
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 59) %AVG: 64% 65% 69% 70% 61%
DELTA: -1% -4% -5% 2%
PALN2 MAX: 190 191 190 196 251
HUMBOLDT RIVER MIN: 22 24 24 25 40
PALISADE PROB: 67 70 70 68 96
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 250) %AVG: 27% 28% 28% 27% 38%
DELTA: 0% 0% 0% -11%
MHSN2 MAX: 30 30 31 30 35
MARYS RIVER MIN: 11 12 11 11 12
ABV HOT SPRGS CK PROB: 18 19 19 19 19
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 39) %AVG: 45% 48% 48% 48% 48%
DELTA: -2% -2% -2% -2%
02/20 02/19 02/17 02/13 02/06
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
HREN2 MAX: 130 131 130 134 142
HUMBOLDT RIVER MIN: 29 29 32 29 33
ELKO PROB: 60 60 63 62 64
OBS: 0 0 0 0 0
(AVG: 154) %AVG: 39% 39% 41% 41% 41%
DELTA: 0% -1% -1% -2%
MAX: REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN: REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
OBS: OBSERVED TO DATE (INCLUDED IN MAX/MIN/PROB)
%AVG: MOST PROBABLE (ESPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
DELTA: CHANGE IN MOST PROBABLE (EXPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
$$
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