Approaching the NCWCP, one is immediately impressed by its sweeping architecture and modern design. While many may not see past the aesthetics of the building, behind that beauty are practical advantages designed into its layout and organization. From its very conception, the NCWCP was designed to facilitate collaboration and be a concrete demonstration of the one NOAA theme. The NOAA organizations (which in addition to the 5 NCEP centers, include two NESDIS organizations and OAR's Air Resources Laboratory) housed within its walls, while having a variety of missions, were deliberately placed in locations in the building to ease and increase the collaborations among them. The large amounts of open space, and a variety of meeting rooms and common areas also work to foster collaboration effectively.
The NCWCP is a candidate for gold certification by the U.S. Green Building Council's LEEDTM Green Building Rating System, which sets standards for green buildings, verifying that the building is environmentally responsible, profitable, and healthy for occupants. It was built from a water sensitive site plan, using materials with recycled and local content, and using highly efficient glass. Sunshades have been incorporated into the design on the south side of the building to optimize energy performance. More than 60 percent of the roof surface is covered with low growing plants for better insulation and protection. Outside are bio-retention areas, a storm water cistern to collect water for irrigation, and a four-story rainwater waterfall to efficiently drain the roof. Inside, day lighting sensors for the lighting systems, occupancy sensors, waterless urinals and dual-flush toilets have been installed. As well, carpets, paints and coatings were selected to preserve the quality of the indoor air.
NCEP looks forward to many exciting and successful years in this new facility.The decade of IT planning came together in the final months of FY12 with NCO leading the charge bringing up the IT infrastructure and ensuring the IT infrastructure worked for all NCWCP tenants. At the same time, NCO led the IT efforts of vacating the World Weather Building (WWB) with decades of entrenched IT structures. The overall IT execution was near flawless and NCWCP was up and running without losing a single operational product.
The next major milestone in the project was reached in October as the transition team of more than 260 scientists and IT professionals started working on Tide, porting and testing NOAA's operational high performance computing software systems and applications to the new system.
The transition team, comprised of development staff from across NCEP, NWS and NOAA, is successfully leveraging previous transition work performed on the NOAA Research and Development supercomputers Zeus and Gaea to port and test software systems on Tide and Gyre.
The project is on schedule to complete transition to Tide and Gyre by the end of FY13.
Tide and Gyre will each be a 208 TeraFLOP system, containing 10,048 cores, 2.59 PetaBytes of useable storage, installed with Intel Sandy Bridge processors running RedHat Linux.
Aviation Weather Center (AWC) Domestic Operations Branch Chief, Debra Blondin, and National Aviation Meteorologists, Mike Eckert and Brandon Smith, attended the review, along with personnel from the FAA Air Traffic Control System Command Center (ATCSCC), FAA enroute and terminal facilities, domestic and international airlines, business aviation, and the NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services (OCWWS). The discussions centered on ways to improve the management of the National Airspace System (NAS) by enhancing collaboration and utilizing decision support services and tools.
The AWC National Aviation Meteorologists (NAMs) have proved to be invaluable to the traffic managers and specialists at the FAA ATCSCC. The NAMs provide direct decision support on weather impacts across the NAS. FAA National Operations Manager, Jim Bedow, says "The NAMs are a great asset to the facility and provide outstanding insight to aviation weather impacts for traffic flow management." The AWC's Aviation Weather Testbed (AWT) has also provided several new tools for traffic flow management including the Aviation Weather Statement (AWS), a test product produced by the NAM focusing on aviation impacts caused by convection across the northeast United States, and the Extended Convective Forecast Product (ECFP) planning tool which is based on the Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF)Calibrated thunder guidance. Furthermore, AWC received accolades from both industry and government partners for the enhanced version of the experimental Aviation Winter Weather Dashboard (AWWD) which has been released for use for the 2012-2013 winter season for the Core 29 airports and alternates.
The AWC recently began efforts to expand its ongoing training relationship with the Civil Aviation Authority of China (CAAC). In recent years, the Asia-Pacific region has experienced the world’s strongest growth in air travel, making the CAAC a critical partner in providing weather for safe and efficient world airspace travel. As part of this effort, International Operations Branch Chief Matt Strahan visited the CAAC’s training center in Beijing, along with their Beijing Airport Forecast Office and their Aviation Meteorological Center, which is similar to the AWC.
The intention of both the AWC and CAAC is to expand the current one week per year of training that AWC provides to 20-25 CAAC meteorologists. The expanded program would be modeled after the Hydrological Prediction Center’s (HPC) South American training desk, where visiting South American meteorologists gain experience by issuing forecasts for South America during a four month tour of duty at HPC. The AWC version of the training desk would start with Chinese meteorologists, but would eventually offer opportunities to meteorologists from other Asian countries. The advantages of such a program would be safer air travel across Asia, and improved data sharing between the United States and Asian countries.
The themes of the conference included the following: 1) improving forecast skill and technique, 2) understanding tropical and extratropical variability (including ENSO, the MJO, and the annular modes), 3) attribution of high impact weather and climate events, 4) improving climate services, and 5) drought and the hydrologic cycle. In regards to the last theme, a joint session was held with the Climate Program Office’s Drought Task Force on the last day of the workshop.
Keynote speakers during the meeting included Dr. Randy Dole, deputy director for research in the Physical Sciences Division of the Earth System Research Laboratory, who discussed the attribution of climate events, and Dr. Eric Maloney, professor at Colorado State University, who discussed new understanding of MJO dynamics. A poster event with ~35 presenters was held on Tuesday evening. During the formal banquet on Wednesday evening, Dr. Kevin Trenberth discussed "The New Normal" and the way scientists should consider viewing weather events in relation to a changing climate.
Seventeen forecasters, model developers and researchers came together to participate in experimental forecasting exercises to help identify techniques that can be used to improve forecasts of atmospheric river (AR) timing, duration, location and quantitative precipitation. During the experiment, participants analyzed eight AR-induced heavy precipitation events that impacted the West Coast of the United States during the 2009-2012 cool seasons. The participants used a combination of operational and experimental guidance products to create forecasts of quantitative precipitation (QPF) and of probability of quantitative precipitation (PQPF), in pseudo real-time for each event. The experimental guidance featured the high-resolution (9 km) HMT-ensemble, as well as probabilistic guidance from ESRL's second generation reforecasting dataset. After issuing the experimental forecasts, participants were asked to compare their forecast, as well as guidance from various operational and experimental datasets, to the observed precipitation for each event.
These activities served not only to identify biases, trends, and weaknesses of the guidance, but also to examine the viability of using probabilistic forecasts to increase awareness of extreme precipitation events at 3- and 5-day lead times. Preliminary results show that higher resolution ensembles may provide increased value in forecasting extreme precipitation amounts, and that the analog approach used by the reforecast dataset helps alert forecasters to the potential for an extreme event. Given these results, the HMT-HPC will work to transfer these datasets into operations.
ARRFEX provided a valuable opportunity to allow forecasters, researchers and model developers to work together in a pseudo real-time forecasting environment. This collaboration will continue to lead to further development and enhancement of forecast guidance and datasets that will help advance the predictability of extreme precipitation events in the future.
Several meteorological components of NOAA were located in the World Weather Building, commonly known as the WWB, from 1974 through 2012. It was always referred to as the WWB despite the prominent "NOAA Science Center" logo on the front of the building. When I began my career at the WWB in NOAA with NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite Service, NESS back then) in May 1974, the main operational units of NESDIS and the National Meteorological Center (NMC, later NCEP) were in Federal Office Building 4 (FOB4) in Suitland, MD. Only a few units had relocated from FOB4 to the brand new and much nicer WWB. The Washington forecast office, called a Weather Service Forecast Office (WSFO) in those days, was on the third floor of the WWB. NESDIS had a few staff in the building on the sixth floor, where the computers to generate sectors from the new GOES satellites were installed. There was a shuttle bus that brought paper maps hourly to the WWB from NMC in FOB4 and shuttled people back and forth. NMC operations and most other units that became part of NCEP relocated to the WWB in 1975. At that time the building was not fully occupied by NOAA. The building owner occupied the 8th floor and Allstate Insurance (and possibly others) had offices on the first floor. There was no food service, although a few vending machines were added in the late 70s or early 80s.
For the first few years the building had no guards or security. The building was not locked at night. In those days before the internet, I would often come into the building nights or on days off to look at the map display that was always kept current in the fourth floor briefing room where map discussion was held. My memories of those map discussions are quite vivid, and were of a different type than now held at HPC. If the managers present could get the presenter flustered, they won. The managers won a lot.
The technology at the time included teletype and fax machines. Text products were typed on typewriters by forecasters and retyped on teletypes by meteorological technicians (met techs). Forecasters used grease pencils to draw their maps on acetates (they weren't yet "graphics") and met techs redrew them neatly onto paper preprinted with background maps to be scanned into fax circuits. Radar and satellite data were much more limited than today. In the 1980s the WSFO relied on a fax machine to show radar imagery from Patuxent River. The images were monochrome with three levels of gray updated every 10 or 15 minutes. Satellite imagery was available via fax (one picture every 30 minutes). But the occupants of the WWB were lucky! Four times a day the 5th floor NESDIS photo lab distributed a 16 mm movie loop. There was a small room off to the side of the WSFO with a 16 mm projector where the loops of satellite imagery could be projected and viewed. This was a luxury shared by few forecast offices.
Model data were much more limited compared to today. If I recall accurately, in the 70s we had two runs per day of the 6-layer PE global model. The LFM went out to 24 hours, then was extended to 36 hours and then 48 hours, and the barotropic model was still taken seriously. There were more people doing less work. For example, surface analysis was a branch with its own Branch Chief. Six or eight meteorologists (probably interns) manually plotted the observations on the paper charts, which had been cut into segments corresponding to the teletype circuits then taped together for analysis. Three meteorologists prepared the analysis. Today surface analysis at HPC is handled by one person per shift, and that person has additional duties at times.
The technology gradually changed as workstations replaced paper, and more model data became available, but the physical environment didn't change much. Gradually NOAA took over the commercial space and by the 1990s, occupied the entire building. But the most significant changes I saw during my more than three decades in the WWB were in the science used in the preparation of forecasts. In the 70s, forecasters were limited to paper output from the models with a very basic set of parameters. With the coming of workstations, forecasters were able to look at multilevel gridded output and the level of science soared.
I don't want to leave the impression that those were difficult times to be a forecaster. In many ways, forecasting was more fun back then when the tools were cruder and you relied more on your experience and aptitude and felt great when you made a good forecasts.
While I have many fond memories of the WWB, both the opportunities to work there and the people I've had the honor and pleasure of working with, I am enjoying the much-improved facilities here in the NCWCP. The new building lends itself to more efficient operations and is a welcome change for HPC forecasters. Because of this I am happy to move on and leave the WWB behind. It was a big part of my life, certainly, but a chapter that is closed now and can recede into happy memories for me to savor in those far distant times in the future when I grow old. The letters WWB will no longer be a part of my life, but only a memory.
Or so I thought. A few weeks after leaving the WWB I bought a new car and they were accompanied by new license plates. Totally by chance they begin with three letters. You guessed it: WWB.The FIT sessions proved successful in many respects. Participants were able to verify that system performance has improved greatly, and the system is now at or beyond acceptable levels for several test cases. While some areas still require attention, it was clear to the testers that the system has the capacity to perform adequately in an operational environment once the remaining issues are addressed. About 90% of previously submitted trouble reports were cleared, further demonstrating that AWIPS2 functionality is nearing that of the legacy NAWIPS system. Only about 50 new tickets were created, none of which identified a large gap in functionality. Most testers had the time to explore the National Centers Perspective in CAVE (Common AWIPS Visualization Environment) and visualize how they could do their work more effectively with the new technology and implementation. Testers and software developers worked side-by-side to discuss and explore new ideas and concepts that could improve efficiency and be implemented once the system is accepted.
Much work remains to be done before AWIPS II can be declared operational, however the latest FIT testing clearly demonstrated that this new system will be the system of the future for NCEP forecast operations.
For NAWIPS migration to AWIPS II questions, please email Michelle.M.Mainelli@noaa.govThe teleconference was moderated by Dennis Feltgen, NOAA Communications Public Affairs Officer at NHC. Each panelist provided their personal and professional insight of Andrew, and was followed by questions from the nearly three dozen media members on the call.
In response, over 40 policy shapers and experts from government, industry and academia from North America and Europe attended the MSB workshop in Sweden. Representatives from the US (NOAA and FEMA), Canada, and several European nations as well as from the European Commission and the European Organization for the Safety of Air Navigation attended.
While impacts on all types of infrastructure were discussed, GPS was largely the focus of the workshop. Presentations did not focus on space weather, but more on the impact of degraded or lost GPS signals, critical to several sectors. Speakers discussed both impacts and the provision of operational services in support of precise navigation and timing needs. Specifically, presentations addressed vulnerability and needs of telecommunications, electricity supply, and aviation. While the impacts on the various sectors were discussed and generally understood, it was clear that extreme storm probability estimates are necessary for preparedness across all sectors.
Similar to efforts in the U.S., space weather has now been included in the Swedish national risk assessment, one in a list of 24 risks. Other nations in Europe have listed space weather as having moderate to serious risks to technological infrastructure in their national risk assessments. And the European Union (EU) indicated that space weather will be included in a 2013 report on emerging threats. EU representatives also suggested that political commitment was necessary at the global level to assess space weather risks.
Hardening the grid from the effects of GIC is also a primary focus of this group. Representatives from several agencies involved in developing GIC mitigation devices attended the meeting to advertise their solutions. The recent (18 Oct) Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR) on Reliability Standards for Geomagnetic Disturbances may add an interesting dynamic to the task force efforts. The FERC NOPR could result in Reliability Standards that would require owners and operators to develop and implement a plan so that instability, or cascading failures of the Bulk-Power System, caused by damage to critical or vulnerable Bulk-Power System equipment, or otherwise, will not occur as a result of a GMD.
The new location will bring OPC close to the University of Maryland campus and offer the possibility of collaboration with the researchers and students there. The NCWCP is a state of the art building and its facilities afford many opportunities to work with other scientists in NOAA and academia.
Below is a picture of the vacant OPC operations area after the declaration that the move was complete and the area was no longer the base of operations for the Center.