Figure 1: Microsimulation Model Predictions of Near-Term Changes in Employer-Sponsored Coverage as a Result of PPACA
This image is excerpted from a U.S. GAO report:
www.gao.gov/products/GAO-12-768
PATIENT PROTECTION AND AFFORDABLE CARE ACT: Estimates of the Effect on the Prevalence of Employer-Sponsored Health Coverage
Notes: For full citations of studies, see app. I.
Predicted changes are estimated as compared to predicted baseline coverage in a given year without PPACA. The estimates are for different time frames: the CBO, CMS, and RAND estimates are for 2016, and The Lewin Group and Urban Institute/RWJF estimates are for 2011 (assuming implementation of key PPACA provisions). Since baseline estimates of coverage without PPACA may differ between models, the number of individuals with employer-sponsored coverage after implementation of PPACA may vary despite similar percentage changes.
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