Biography
I am a Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth College. My research, which focuses on misperceptions about politics and health care, has been published in journals including the American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Pediatrics, and Vaccine. (My publications and working papers are listed below; see my curriculum vitae or Google Scholar profile for more.) I have been named an Andrew Carnegie Fellow by the Carnegie Corporation of New York (2018-2019) and a Belfer Fellow by the Anti-Defamation League (2019-2020). In 2017, I was given the Emerging Scholar Award for the top scholar in the field who is within 10 years of their Ph.D. from the American Political Science Association's section on Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior.
I received my Ph.D. from the Department of Political Science at Duke University and previously served as a RWJ Scholar in Health Policy Research and Professor of Public Policy at the University of Michigan.
I am currently a contributor to The Upshot at The New York Times and a co-founder of Bright Line Watch, a watchdog group that monitors the status of American democracy. From 2011-2014, I served as a media critic for Columbia Journalism Review.
Previously, I was a founder and editor of Spinsanity, a non-partisan watchdog of political spin that was syndicated in Salon and the Philadelphia Inquirer, along with Ben Fritz and Bryan Keefer. We also co-authored All the President's Spin, a New York Times bestseller that Amazon.com named one of the ten best political books of 2004. I also worked as a marketing and fundraising consultant for Benetech, a Silicon Valley technology nonprofit, and Deputy Communications Director of the Bernstein for US Senate campaign in Nevada.
Peer-reviewed publications
More Accurate, But No Less Polarized: Comparing the Factual Beliefs of Government Officials and the Public (pre-publication version). Forthcoming, British Journal of Political Science. (with Nathan Lee, Jason Reifler, and D.J. Flynn)
-EGAP preregistration
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
Who Will Defend Democracy? Evaluating Tradeoffs in Candidate Support Among Partisan Donors and Voters (pre-publication version). Forthcoming, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties. (with John Carey, Katherine Clayton, Gretchen Helmke, Mitchell Sanders, and Susan Stokes)
-EGAP preregistration
-Replication data and code (R)
The Sources and Correlates of Exposure to Vaccine-related (Mis)information Online (pre-publication version). 2020. Vaccine 38(49): 7799-7805. (with Andrew M. Guess, Zachary O'Keeffe, and Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (R)
Real Solutions for Fake News? Measuring the Effectiveness of General Warnings and Fact-Check Banners in Reducing Belief in False Stories on Social Media (pre-publication version). 2020. Political Behavior 42(4): 1073-1095. (with the students in my 2017 Experiments in Politics seminar at Dartmouth)
-EGAP preregistration
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
Political Sectarianism in America (pre-publication version). 2020. Science 370(6516): 533-536. (with Eli J. Finkel, Christopher A. Bail, Mina Cikara, Peter H. Ditto, Shanto Iyengar, Samara Klar, Lilliana Mason, Mary C. McGrath, David G. Rand, Linda J. Skitka, Joshua A. Tucker, Jay J. Van Bavel11, Cynthia S. Wang, James N. Druckman)
A Digital Media Literacy Intervention Increases Discernment Between Mainstream and False News in the United States and India. 2020. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117(27): 15536-15545. (with Andrew Guess, Michael Lerner, Benjamin Lyons, Jacob M. Montgomery, Jason Reifler, and Neelanjan Sircar)
-EGAP preregistration (U.S.)
-EGAP preregistration (India)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
Taking Fact-Checks Literally But Not Seriously? The Effects of Journalistic Fact-Checking on Factual Beliefs and Candidate Favorability (pre-publication version). 2020. Political Behavior 42: 939-960. (with Ethan Porter, Jason Reifler, and Thomas J. Wood)
-EGAP preregistration (Study 1)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
- Media coverage
-
-David A. Graham, The Atlantic (7/6/17)
-Brian Resnick, Vox (7/10/17)
-Sheryl Gay Stolberg, New York Times (8/7/17)
-Carlos Maza, Vox (8/30/17)
-Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg View (11/6/17)
-Daniel Dale, Toronto Star (12/22/17)
-Daniel Engber, Slate (1/3/17)
-Brian Resnick, Vox (4/11/18)
-John Cassidy, The New Yorker (5/30/18)
-Jared A. McDonald, David Karol, and Lilliana Mason, Washington Post (10/4/18)
-Emily Dreyfuss, Wired (1/9/19)
-Laura Hazard Owen, NiemanLab (2/1/19)
-Chris Selley, National Post (7/29/19)
-Chris Selley, National Post (8/13/19)
-Ronald Bailey, Reason (1/10/20)
Facts and Myths About Misperceptions (pre-publication version). 2020. Journal of Economic Perspectives 34(3): 220-236.
Exposure to Untrustworthy Websites in the 2016 U.S. Election (pre-publication version). 2020. Nature Human Behaviour 4: 472-480. (with Andrew Guess and Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
- Media coverage
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-Benedict Carey, New York Times (1/2/18)
-Alayna Treene, Axios (1/2/18)
-Rob Wolfe, Valley News (1/4/18)
-Steve Kolowich, Chronicle of Higher Education (1/4/18)
-Masha Gessen, New Yorker (1/4/18)
-Political Gabfest, Slate (1/4/18)
-Allysia Finley, Wall Street Journal (1/7/18)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (1/8/18)
-Becket Adams, Washington Examiner (1/9/18)
-Bob Garfield, On the Media (1/12/18)
-Benjy Sarlin, NBC News (1/14/18)
-The Weeds, Vox (1/16/18)
-Mike McInally, Albany Democrat-Herald (1/20/18)
-Morten Bay, Slate (2/1/18)
-Cas Mudde, The Guardian (2/7/18)
-Amanda Taub and Max Fisher, The New York Times (2/18/18)
-Lucia Graves, Pacific Standard (2/26/18)
-Brooke Borel, Popular Science (3/20/18)
-Sander van der Linden, Scientific American (4/10/18)
-Danielle Kurtzleben, National Public Radio (4/11/18)
-Denise-Marie Ordway, Harvard Business Review (7/19/18)
-Greg Sargent, An Uncivil War: Taking Back Our Democracy in an Age of Trumpian Disinformation and Thunderdome Politics (10/16/18)
-Greg Ip, Wall Street Journal (12/19/18)
-Deepa Seetharaman, Wall Street Journal (12/23/18)
-Colleen Shalby, Los Angeles Times (3/19/19)
-Craig Silverman, Buzzfeed (4/3/19)
-Jonathan Rauch, The Atlantic (5/6/2019)
-David Graham, The Atlantic (6/7/19)
-Nsikan Akpan, PBS NewsHour (9/18/19)
-Maggie Koerth-Baker, FiveThirtyEight (10/8/19)
-Karen Weintraub, Scientific American (3/2/20)
-Scott K. Johnson, Ars Technica (3/4/20)
Treatment Versus Punishment: Understanding Racial Inequalities in Drug Policy (pre-publication version). 2020. Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law 45(2): 177-209. (with Jin Woo Kim and Evan Morgan)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
The Effects of Corrective Information about Epidemics: Evidence from Zika and Yellow Fever in Brazil. 2020. Science Advances 6(5). (with John Carey, Victoria Chi, D.J. Flynn, and Thomas Zeitzoff)
-EGAP preregistrations: 2017 experiment, 2018 experiments
"Fake News" May Have Limited Effects Beyond Increasing Beliefs in False Claims. 2020. Misinformation Review 1(1). (with Andrew M. Guess, Dominique Lockett, Benjamin Lyons, Jacob M. Montgomery, and Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (R)
A Consensus-Based Transparency Checklist. 2020. Nature Human Behaviour 4: 4-6. (with 65 co-authors)
Searching for Bright Lines in the Trump Presidency (pre-publication version). 2019. Perspectives on Politics 17(3): 699-718. (with John M. Carey, Gretchen Helmke, Mitchell Sanders, and Susan C. Stokes)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
Counting the Pinocchios: The Effect of Summary Fact-Checking Data on Perceived Accuracy and Favorability of Politicians (pre-publication version). 2019. Research & Politics July-September 2019: 1–10. (with the students in my 2016 Experiments in Politics seminar at Dartmouth)
-EGAP preregistrations: Study 1, Study 2, Study 3
-Replication data and code (Stata)
The Role of Information Deficits and Identity Threat in the Prevalence of Misperceptions (pre-publication version). 2019. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties 29(2): 222-244. (with Jason Reifler; finalist, 2015 Prize in Public Interest Communications Research, University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
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-Walter Frick, The Atlantic (6/10/11)
-"Radio Smart Talk", WITF Harrisburg (6/21/11)
-Matthew Yglesias, Think Progress (9/12/11)
-Ezra Klein, Washington Post (9/12/11)
-Chris Mooney, DeSmog Blog (9/14/11)
-Megan Garber, Nieman Lab (9/14/11)
-Christopher Shea, Wall Street Journal Online (9/16/11)
-Christopher Shea, Wall Street Journal (9/17/11)
-Marty Kaplan, Huffington Post (9/19/11)
-Peter Aldhous, New Scientist (10/29/11)
-John Pavlus, Fast Company's Co.Design (1/3/12)
-Felix Salmon, Reuters (1/9/12)
-Shankar Vedantam, National Public Radio (5/9/12)
-Robbie Schwartz, Walton Tribune (5/13/12)
-Dave Berri, Freakonomics (5/24/12)
-Reihan Salam, National Review Online (8/14/12)
-Michael Scherer, Time (10/3/12)
-"Future Tense", ABC Radio National Australia (11/18/12)
-Eric Horowitz, Pacific Standard (8/23/13)
-Marty Kaplan, Alternet (9/17/13)
-Maria Konnikova, The New Yorker (5/19/14)
-Amelia Urry, Grist (5/21/14)
-"The Record", KUOW (NPR) Seattle (6/3/14)
-Richard Mullins, Tampa Tribune (6/22/14)
-John Blake, CNN (11/27/14)
-Christopher Graves, Harvard Business Review (2/20/15)
-Christopher Graves, PR Week (3/1/15)
-Scott Berinato, Harvard Business Review (5/27/15)
-Mark Mellman, The Hill (7/15/15)
-Vlad Chituc, The Daily Beast (8/8/15)
-Danielle Kurtzleben, National Public Radio (9/27/16)
-Christopher Graves, Harvard Business Review (10/10/16)
-Christopher Ingraham, Washington Post (6/18/18)
-Stephen Pinker, Quillette (1/14/19)
-Melissa Bailey, Nieman Reports (3/21/20)
Conspiracy and Misperception Belief in the Middle East and North Africa (pre-publication version). 2018. Journal of Politics 80(4): 1400-1404. (with Thomas Zeitzoff)
-EGAP preregistration
-Replication data and code (Stata)
How Conditioning on Posttreatment Variables Can Ruin Your Experiment and What to Do About It (pre-publication version). 2018. American Journal of Political Science 62(3): 760-775. (with Jacob Montgomery and Michelle Torres)
-Replication data and code (R)
Fighting the Past: Perceptions of Control, Historical Misperceptions, and Corrective Information in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (pre-publication version). 2018. Political Psychology 39(3): 611-631. (with Thomas Zeitzoff)
-EGAP preregistration
-Replication data and code (Stata)
The Science of Fake News. 2018. Science 359(6380): 1094-1096. (with David M. J. Lazer, Matthew A. Baum, Yochai Benkler, Adam J. Berinsky, Kelly M. Greenhill, Filippo Menczer, Miriam J. Metzger, Gordon Pennycook, David Rothschild, Michael Schudson, Steven A. Sloman, Cass R. Sunstein, Emily A. Thorson, Duncan J. Watts, and Jonathan L. Zittrain)
Revisiting White Backlash: Does Race Affect Death Penalty Opinion? (open access). 2018. Research & Politics. (with Ryden Butler, Jacob Montgomery, and Michelle Torres)
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (R)
Redefine Statistical Significance (pre-publication version). 2018. Nature Human Behaviour 2(1): 6-10. (with 71 co-authors)
Critical Dynamics in Population Vaccinating Behavior (pre-publication version). 2017. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114(52): 13762-13767. (with A. Demetri Pananos, Thomas M. Bury, Clara Wang, Justin Schonfeld, Sharada P. Mohanty, Marcel Salathé, and Chris T. Bauch)
The Effects of Congressional Staff Networks in the U.S. House of Representatives (pre-publication version). 2017. Journal of Politics 79(3): 745-761. (with Jacob Montgomery)
-Replication data and code (R/Matlab/Stata)
Differential Registration Bias in Voter File Data: A Sensitivity Analysis Approach (pre-publication version). 2017. American Journal of Political Science 61(3): 744-760 (with Chris Skovron and Rocío Titiunik)
-Replication data and code (R)
Media Scandals Are Political Events: How contextual factors affect public controversies over alleged misconduct by U.S. governors (pre-publication version). 2017. Political Research Quarterly 70(1): 223-236.
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
The Nature and Origins of Misperceptions: Understanding False and Unsupported Beliefs about Politics (pre-publication version). 2017. Advances in Political Psychology 38(S1): 127-150. (with D.J. Flynn and Jason Reifler)
Classified or Coverup? The Effect of Redactions on Conspiracy Theory Beliefs (pre-publication version). 2016. Journal of Experimental Political Science 3: 109--123. (with the students in my 2014 Experiments in Politics seminar at Dartmouth)
-EGAP preregistrations: Study 1, Study 2
-Replication data and code (Stata)
An Inflated View of the Facts? How Preferences and Predispositions Shape Conspiracy Beliefs about the Deflategate Scandal (open access). 2016. Research & Politics. (with John Carey, Benjamin Valentino, and Mingnan Liu)
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
Does Public Financing Affect Judicial Behavior? Evidence From the North Carolina Supreme Court (pre-publication version). 2016. American Politics Research 44(4): 587-617. (with Morgan Hazelton and Jacob Montgomery)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
Understanding Innovations in Journalistic Practice: A Field Experiment Examining Motivations for Fact-Checking (pre-publication version). 2016. Journal of Communication 66(1): 102-138. (with Lucas Graves and Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
Displacing Misinformation about Events: An Experimental Test of Causal Corrections (pre-publication version). 2015. Journal of Experimental Political Science 2(1): 81-93. (with Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
The Effect of Fact-checking on Elites: A Field Experiment on U.S. State Legislators (pre-publication version). 2015. American Journal of Political Science 59(3): 628-640. (with Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
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-David Leonhardt, New York Times (10/8/13)
-Dylan Matthews, Washington Post (10/8/13)
-Reid Wilson, Washington Post (10/8/13)
-Molly Ball, The Atlantic (10/8/13)
-Martha Moore, USA Today (10/8/13)
-Craig Silverman, Poynter (10/8/13)
-Evan McMurry, Mediaite (10/8/13)
-John Sides, Washington Post (10/9/13)
-Jacob Sullum, Reason (10/9/13)
-Christopher Zara, International Business Times (10/9/13)
-Andrew Sullivan, The Dish (10/9/13)
-Frank Sesno, CNN's "Reliable Sources" (10/13/13)
-Paul Singer, USA Today (11/12/13)
-Dave Helling and Scott Canon, Kansas City Star (12/2/13)
-Adam Serwer, MSNBC.com (4/22/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (9/12/14)
-Brian Resnick, National Journal (9/20/14)
-Nathaniel Herz, Alaska Dispatch (10/10/14)
-Nathan Collins, Pacific Standard (9/23/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (6/28/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (7/21/16)
-Danielle Kurtzleben, National Public Radio (9/27/16)
-Brian Resnick, Vox (10/24/16)
-Julia Belluz and Brian Resnick, Vox (11/16/16)
-Michael Scherer, Time (3/23/17)
-Daniel Funke, Poynter (6/12/18)
-Jonathan Rauch, The Atlantic (5/6/2019)
Connecting the Candidates: Consultant Networks and the Diffusion of Campaign Strategy in American Congressional Elections (pre-publication version). 2015. American Journal of Political Science 59(2): 292-308. (with Jacob Montgomery)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
Scandal Potential: How Political Context and News Congestion Affect the President's Vulnerability to Media Scandal (local copy; pre-publication version). 2015. British Journal of Political Science 45(2): 435-466.
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
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-Taegan Goddard, Political Wire (5/26/11)
-NBC News, First Read (5/26/11)
-Andrew Sullivan, The Dish (5/26/11)
-Caitlin Dickson, Atlantic Wire (5/26/11)
-Bart Hinkle, Richmond Times-Dispatch (5/27/11)
-Staff, The Week (5/27/11)
-Jim Newell, Gawker.com (5/27/11)
-Andrea Shiell, Washington Examiner (5/27/11)
-Staff, Daily Mail (5/28/11)
-Laura Conaway, Maddow Blog (5/31/11)
-Staff, Times of India (5/30/11)
-Staff, NOWnews.com (5/30/11)
-Ross and Burbank, KIRO Seattle (5/30/11)
-Larry Sabato, Fox News (5/31/11)
-Jason Linkins, Huffington Post (5/31/11)
-Elspeth Reeve, The Atlantic (9/16/11)
-Elspeth Reeve, The Atlantic (10/6/11)
-KGO Noon News, KGO 810 AM (10/21/11)
-Jonathan Alter, Washington Monthly (10/24/11)
-Jonathan Alter, Bloomberg View (10/27/11)
-John Gregg, Valley News (10/30/11)
-Michelle Malkin, syndicated columnist (12/28/11)
-Taegan Goddard, Political Wire (4/3/12)
-Kyle Kondik, Sabato's Crystal Ball (4/5/12)
-"On the Media", National Public Radio (4/13/12)
-Krystal Ball, MSNBC's "Martin Bashir" (4/23/12)
-Jamelle Bouie, The American Prospect (4/25/12)
-Jonathan Bernstein, Salon.com (6/16/12)
-Maria Armoudian, KPFK (10/28/12)
-Harry Enten, The Guardian (2/12/13)
-Paul Waldman, American Prospect (5/10/13)
-Ezra Klein, Washington Post WonkBlog (5/13/13)
-Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (5/13/13)
-Elspeth Reeve, The Atlantic (5/13/13)
-Harry Enten, The Guardian (5/13/13)
-Andrew Sullivan, The Dish (5/14/13)
-Jason Linkins, Huffington Post (5/14/13)
-Paul M. Barrett, Business Week (5/16/13)
-Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (5/16/13)
-"Up with Steve Kornacki", MSNBC (5/19/13)
-Mark Sappenfield, Christian Science Monitor (5/19/13)
-Ari Shapiro, National Public Radio (5/20/13)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (5/22/13)
-George Jonas, National Post (5/23/13)
-Brooke Gladstone, "On the Media" (5/24/13)
-Doyle McManus, Washington Week (5/24/13)
-The Scrapbook, The Weekly Standard (6/3/13)
-Alex Seitz-Wald, Salon.com (6/25/13)
-Paul Waldman, The American Prospect (7/8/13)
-Alex Seitz-Wald, Salon (7/8/13)
-Stan Layne, KPTR 1450 AM Palm Springs (7/10/13)
-Steve Kornacki, MSNBC's "Up with Steve Kornacki" (8/10/13)
-Charles Ellison, Sirius XM's "The Midday Briefing" (8/22/13)
-Paul Farhi, Washington Post (11/1/13)
-Joan Walsh, Salon (1/15/14)
-Alex Seitz-Wald, National Journal (1/15/14)
-John Sides, Washington Post (6/20/14)
-Susan Page, USA Today (7/27/14)
-Paul Farhi, Washington Post (1/27/15)
-Jack Shafer, Politico Magazine (2/13/17)
-Maggie Koerth-Baker, FiveThirtyEight (10/3/19)
Does Correcting Myths about the Flu Vaccine Work? An Experimental Evaluation of the Effects of Corrective Information (pre-publication version). 2015. Vaccine 33(3): 459-464. (with Jason Reifler)
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
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-Chris Mooney, Washington Post Wonkblog (12/8/14)
-Lindsay Abrams, Salon (12/8/14)
-Rebecca Corral, KCBS Radio San Francisco (12/8/14)
-Lenny Bernstein, Washington Post (12/8/14)
-Kathryn Doyle, Reuters (12/9/14)
-Mark Strauss, io9 (12/9/14)
-David Shultz, Science Magazine (12/9/14)
-Teresa Mull, The Week (12/10/14)
-Tara Haelle, NPR (12/11/14)
-Rob Breakenridge, News Talk 770 Calgary (12/11/14)
-Cari Romm, The Atlantic (12/12/14)
-Stephen Dubner, Freakonomics podcast (1/8/15)
-Lisa Sanders, Reuters (2/4/15)
-Sarah Despres, Politico (2/4/15)
-Louisa D'Amato, Waterloo Region Record (2/5/15)
-Jesse Singal, New York Magazine (2/5/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (2/7/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (4/13/15)
-Aaron E. Carroll, JAMA Forum (5/6/15)
-Nathan Collins, Pacific Standard (8/11/15)
-Cameron Joseph, New York Daily News (8/16/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (11/23/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (3/28/16)
-Rachel Ehrenberg, Science News (4/1/16)
-Marcus Wohlsen, Wired (9/13/16)
-Daniel Engber, Slate (1/3/17)
-Denise-Marie Ordway, Harvard Business Review (7/19/18)
-Aaron Carroll, New York Times (7/22/19)
Effective Messages in Vaccine Promotion: A Randomized Trial (pre-publication version). 2014. Pediatrics 133(4): e835-e842. (with Jason Reifler, Sean Richey, and Gary Freed)
-Commentary by Shelley Springer, AAP Grand Rounds
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
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-JoNel Aleccia, NBCNews.com (3/3/14)
-Ryan Jaslow, CBSNews.com (3/3/14)
-Andrew M. Seaman, Reuters (3/3/14)
-Amanda Marcotte, Slate (3/3/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (3/3/14)
-Adriana Barton, Globe and Mail (3/3/14)
-Lindsay Abrams, Salon (3/3/14)
-Joseph Brownstein, LiveScience (3/3/14)
-Cordelia Ross, 2 Minute Medicine (3/3/14)
-The Press Association, Nursing Times (3/3/14)
-Matthew Mientka, Medical Daily (3/3/14)
-John Hines, WCCO Radio Minneapolis (3/4/14)
-Charlotte Alter, Time (3/4/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (3/5/14)
-The editors, Bloomberg View (3/6/14)
-Martha Kempner, RH Reality Check (3/6/14)
-Claire McCarthy, MD Mama (3/6/14)
-Paul Harris, America Weekend (3/8/14)
-David Brooks, Nashua Telegraph (3/10/14)
-John Tozzi, Business Week (3/10/14)
-Michael Hiltzik, Los Angeles Times (3/10/14)
-Seth Masket, Pacific Standard (3/10/14)
-On The Coast, CBC Radio Vancouver (3/10/14)
-All Points West, CBC Radio Victoria (3/11/14)
-Megan Verlee, Colorado Public Radio (3/11/14)
-David Brooks, New Hampshire Public Radio (3/11/14)
-Chris Hayes, All In with Chris Hayes (3/11/14)
-Russell Saunders, The Daily Beast (3/13/14)
-Keith Kloor, Cosmos Magazine (3/17/14)
-Elizabeth Renzetti, The Globe and Mail (3/17/14)
-NPR, "All Things Considered" (4/7/14)
-Lois M. Collins, Deseret News (4/7/14)
-Keith Kloor, Discover (4/8/14)
-Dylan Matthews, Vox.com (4/8/14)
-Peter Nieman, Calgary Herald (4/10/14)
-Megan Verlee, Colorado Public Radio (4/14/14)
-Ian Millhiser, Think Progress (4/21/14)
-John Wihbey, Journalist's Resource (5/6/14)
-Lisa Beyer, Bloomberg View (5/9/14)
-Maria Konnikova, The New Yorker (5/19/14)
-Amelia Urry, Grist (5/21/14)
-"The Record", KUOW (NPR) Seattle (6/3/14)
-Elissa Strauss, The Jewish Daily Forward (6/20/14)
-Sabrina Merold, meMedicine (6/30/14)
-Jamelle Bouie, Slate (8/7/14)
-Brian Resnick, National Journal (9/20/14)
-Hannah Bloch, National Public Radio (9/27/14)
-Roxanne Nelson, American Journal of Nursing (10/1/14)
-Josh Barro, New York Times (10/2/14)
-Jason Millman, Washington Post (1/22/14)
-Michael Hiltzik, Los Angeles Times (1/27/15)
-Alex Cohen, KPCC Los Angeles (1/28/15)
-Dan Diamond, Forbes (1/28/15)
-Keith Kloor, Pediatrics (1/28/15)
-Ira Flato, Science Friday (1/30/15)
-Mayrav Saar, New York Post (1/31/15)
-Retro Report, The New York Times (2/2/15)
-David A. Graham, The Atlantic (2/2/15)
-Jamelle Bouie, Slate (2/2/15)
-Amanda Paulson, Christian Science Monitor (2/3/15)
-Dan Diamond, Forbes (2/3/15)
-Maggie Fox, NBC News (2/3/15)
-The Agenda with Steve Paikin, TV Ontario (2/3/15)
-Peter Coy, Bloomberg Business Week (2/4/15)
-Ryan Cooper, The Week (2/4/15)
-Shankar Vedantam, National Public Radio (2/4/15)
-Nathanael Johnson, Grist (2/4/15)
-Sarah Despres, Politico (2/4/15)
-Louisa D'Amato, Waterloo Region Record (2/5/15)
-Jesse Singal, New York Magazine (2/5/15)
-Matt Hongoltz-Hetling, Valley News (2/6/15)
-The Current, CBC Radio (2/6/15)
-Clarence Page, Chicago Tribune (2/6/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (2/7/15)
-Tara Haelle, Politico (2/8/15)
-Betsy McKay and Jeanne Whalen, Wall Street Journal (2/9/15)
-Nina Shapiro, Seattle Weekly (2/10/15)
-Sharon Bernstein, Reuters (2/11/15)
-Peter Aldhous, Buzzfeed (2/13/15)
-Felice J. Freyer, Boston Globe (2/16/15)
-Bruce Maiman, Sacramento Bee (2/16/15)
-Christie Aschwanden, FiveThirtyEight (2/17/15)
-Anna Wolfe, Jackson Free Press (2/18/15)
-Dina Fine Maron, Scientific American (2/19/15)
-Tara Haelle, Forbes (2/19/15)
-Bethany Brookshire, Science News (2/19/15)
-Bill Gardner, The New Republic (2/19/15)
-Gosia Wozniacka, Associated Press (2/22/15)
-Robin Levinson King, Toronto Star (2/23/15)
-Lisa Aliferis, KQED San Francisco (2/24/15)
-April Kelly-Woessner, LNP (3/1/15)
-Mike Stobbe, Associated Press (3/3/15)
-Aaron Selbig, Interlochen Public Radio (3/5/15)
-Lynne Peeples, Huffington Post (3/6/15)
-JoNel Aleccia, Seattle Times (3/8/15)
-Danielle Ofri, New York Times (3/12/15)
-Kristen C. French, The Verge (4/22/15)
-John Cook, Newsweek (5/3/15)
-Aaron E. Carroll, JAMA Forum (5/6/15)
-Laura Dattaro, Columbia Journalism Review (5/20/15)
-Lisa Aliferis, National Public Radio (6/1/15)
-Jill Stewart, L.A. Weekly (7/13/15)
-Steve Van Riel, New Statesman (7/21/15)
-Carolyn Johnson, Washington Post (8/3/15)
-Jeffrey Kluger, Time (8/3/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (8/4/15)
-Tara Haelle, Forbes (8/4/15)
-Vlad Chituc, The Daily Beast (8/8/15)
-Nathan Collins, Pacific Standard (8/11/15)
-Cameron Joseph, New York Daily News (8/16/15)
-Robert F. Jakubowicz, Berkshire Eagle (9/24/15)
-The Weeds, Vox (11/6/15)
-Susan Milligan, U.S. News & World Report (11/13/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (11/23/15)
-Zack Kopplin, Slate (12/30/15)
-Ryan Cooper, The Week (1/28/16)
-David Gooblar, Chronicle Vitae (1/27/16)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (3/10/16)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (3/28/16)
-Rachel Ehrenberg, Science News (4/1/16)
-Tori Bedford, Boston Public Radio (6/22/16)
-Stephanie M. Lee, Buzzfeed (3/7/17)
-Tim Harford, Financial Times (3/9/17)
-Kai Kupferschmidt, Science (4/27/17)
-Brian Resnick, Vox (7/10/17)
-Rob Wolfe, Valley News (1/4/18)
-Denise-Marie Ordway, Harvard Business Review (7/19/18)
-Nicholas Kristof, New York Times (11/25/18)
-Ryan Blethen, Seattle Times (4/13/19)
-Aaron Carroll, New York Times (7/22/19)
-Retro Report, PBS (10/15/19)
Beliefs Don't Always Persevere: How Political Figures Are Punished When Positive Information about Them Is Discredited (pre-publication version). 2013. Political Psychology 34(3): 307-326. (with Michael Cobb and Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
The Hazards of Correcting Myths about Health Care Reform. 2013. Medical Care 51(2): 127-132. (with Jason Reifler and Peter Ubel; lead article with accompanying editorial by Aaron E. Carroll)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
-
-Sarah Kliff, Washington Post's Wonkblog (1/9/13)
-Peter Ubel, Forbes (1/9/13)
-Kyle Cheney, Politico Pulse (1/9/13)
-Max Brantley, Arkansas Times (1/9/13)
-Tony Shan, Duke Chronicle (3/21/13)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (4/15/13)
-Eric Horowitz, Pacific Standard (8/23/13)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (3/5/14)
-Chris Hayes, All In with Chris Hayes (3/11/14)
-Kurt Eichenwald, Newsweek (5/15/14)
-Maria Konnikova, The New Yorker (5/19/14)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (8/25/14)
-Danielle Wiener-Bronner, Fusion (5/6/15)
-Zack Kopplin, Slate (12/30/15)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (3/10/16)
-Marcus Wohlsen, Wired (9/13/16)
-Aaron Carroll, New York Times (7/22/19)
-Sara Gorman and Jack M. Gorman, Psychology Today (1/12/20)
The Role of Social Networks in Influenza Vaccine Attitudes and Intentions Among College Students in the Southeastern United States (pre-publication version). 2012. Journal of Adolescent Health 51(3): 302-304. (with Jason Reifler and Sean Richey)
-Online appendix
-Replication data and code (Stata)
One Vote Out of Step? The Effects of Salient Roll Call Votes in the 2010 Election (pre-publication version). 2012. American Politics Research 40(5): 844-879. (with Eric McGhee, John Sides, Seth Masket, and Steven Greene)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
- Media coverage
-
-John Sides, Al Jazeera (3/5/12)
-Jonathan Chait, New York Magazine (3/8/12)
-Julian Pecquet, The Hill (3/8/12)
-Sarah Kliff, Washington Post's Wonkblog (3/8/12)
-Andrew Sullivan, Daily Beast (3/8/12)
-California Healthline (3/9/12)
-Peter Suderman, Reason (3/9/12)
-Aaron Blake, Washington Post's The Fix (3/9/12)
-Kaiser Health News (3/9/12)
-Jeffrey H. Anderson and William Kristol, Weekly Standard (3/10/12)
-Doyle McManus, Los Angeles Times (3/11/12)
-Paul Bedard, Washington Examiner (3/12/12)
-Jennifer Harper, Washington Times (3/13/12)
-Grace-Marie Turner, Forbes.com (3/14/12)
-Stephen Hayes, Fox Special Report with Bret Baier (3/14/12)
-Jonathan Alter, Bloomberg View (3/15/12)
-John Wihbey, Journalist's Resource (3/21/12)
-Paul Blumenthal, Huffington Post (3/22/12)
-Carie Budoff Brown, Politico (3/23/12)
-Greg Sargent, Washington Post (12/9/13)
-Ezra Klein, Vox (6/10/15)
-Scott Clement, Washington Post (9/23/15)
-Kenneth Baer, Washington Post (3/28/17)
-Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (5/4/17)
-Aaron Blake, Washington Post (5/4/17)
-Andrew Prokop, Vox (5/4/17)
-Nate Cohn, New York Times (5/5/17)
-Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight (7/25/17)
The Limited Effects of Testimony on Political Persuasion (pre-publication version). 2011. Public Choice 148(3-4): 283-312.
-Replication data and code (R/Stata)
-TESS design/results summary
The "Unfriending" Problem: The Consequences of Homophily in Friendship Retention for Causal Estimates of Social Influence (pre-publication version). 2011. Social Networks 33(3): 211-218. (with Hans Noel)
-Replication code (R)
When Corrections Fail: The Persistence of Political Misperceptions (pre-publication version). 2010. Political Behavior 32(2): 303-330. (with Jason Reifler)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
- Media coverage
-
-"On the Media", National Public Radio (9/7/07)
-Shankar Vedantam, Washington Post (9/15/08)
-Shankar Vedantam, washingtonpost.com (9/15/08)
-Kevin Drum, Mother Jones (9/15/08)
-WUNC's "The State of Things" (9/18/08)
-Christian Science Monitor (9/18/08)
-Chuck Raasch, Gannett News Service (9/18/08)
-"Tell Me More", National Public Radio (9/19/08)
-"On the Media", National Public Radio (9/19/08)
-Stuart Taylor, National Journal (9/20/08)
-Bill Bishop, Slate (9/22/08)
-Columbus Dispatch (9/22/08)
-Andrew Romano, Newsweek (9/24/08)
-Freakonomics blog, nytimes.com (9/24/08)
-Edward Wasserman, Miami Herald (9/29/08)
-Albany Times-Union (9/29/08)
-Jonathan Chait, The
New Republic (10/08/08)
-Going to Extremes: How Like Minds Unite and Divide by Cass Sunstein (Oxford University Press, 5/13/09)
-"The Conversation with Ross Reynolds", KUOW (NPR) Seattle (8/4/09)
-Columbia Journalism Review (8/14/09)
-Farhad Manjoo, Slate (8/17/09)
-"KSCO Presents with David Coursey," KSCO Santa Cruz (8/18/09)
-Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times (9/28/09)
-On Rumors: How Falsehoods Spread, Why We Believe Them, What Can Be Done by Cass Sunstein (Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 9/29/09)
-Joseph Vandehey, Daily Illini (12/2/09)
-Mark Blumenthal, NationalJournal.com (3/8/10)
-Matthew Yglesias, Think Progress (4/15/10)
-Christie Aschwanden, Miller-McCune (4/20/10)
-Jonathan Chait, Bloggingheads.tv (4/21/10)
-Ben Goldacre, The Guardian (5/1/10)
-The 7th Avenue Project, KUSP Santa Cruz (5/2/10)
-Matt Steinglass, The Economist (5/5/10)
-Daniel W. Drezner, The Spectator (5/8/10)
-Jim Giles, New Scientist (5/12/10)
-Sarah Ficocelli, la Repubblica (5/24/10)
-Joe Keohane, Boston Globe (7/11/10)
-Michael Smerconish, "The Michael Smerconish Program" (7/12/10)
-"Talk of the Nation", National Public Radio (7/13/10)
-Debra Black, Toronto Star (7/13/10)
-Michael Kesterton, Globe and Mail (7/14/10)
-Anna Shapiro, Guardian (7/17/10)
-Jim Borden, Kalamazoo Gazette (7/18/10)
-Ron Claiborne, ABC News (7/19/10)
-Leslie Brokaw, Sloan Review (7/20/10)
-"Whatever with Alexis and Jennifer," Martha Stewart Living Radio (7/21/10)
-"The World Today", ABC Radio Australia (7/22/10)
-Jason Murphy, Australian Financial Review (7/23/10)
-Alan Williams, Ottawa Citizen (7/24/10)
-Robert Jakubowicz, Berkshire Eagle (7/25/10)
-Eric Deggans, St. Petersburg Times (7/25/10)
-Barth Keck, New Haven Register (7/29/10)
-Kevin Eisenmann, Medill News Service (7/29/10)
-Keith Magill, Houma Courier (8/1/10)
-Dave Stancliff, Times-Standard (8/2/10)
-Joe Keohane, ABC Radio Australia (8/2/10)
-A. Barton Hinkle, Richmond Times-Dispatch (8/6/10)
-Ted Diadiun, Cleveland Plain Dealer (8/8/10)
-Wendy Harmer, Sunday Telegraph Australia (8/8/10)
-John Blake, CNN.com (8/9/10)
-Jeffrey Weiss, Politics Daily (8/9/10)
-"The Conversation with Ross Reynolds", KUOW (NPR) Seattle (8/11/10)
-Jeffrey Weiss, Politics Daily (8/19/10)
-Stan Layne, KPSI Palm Springs (8/20/10)
-Eric Berger, Houston Chronicle (8/21/10)
-James Poniewozik, Time (8/23/10)
-Peter Grier, Christian Science Monitor (8/23/10)
-Angie Drobnic Holan, PolitiFact.com (8/26/10; reprinted in the St. Petersburg Times 8/27/10)
-"Here and Now", WBUR Boston (9/8/10)
-Benjamin Spillman, Las Vegas Review Journal (9/10/10)
-Paul Waldman, The American Prospect (10/12/10)
-The Big Picture with Thom Hartmann, RT America (12/28/10)
-Thom Hartmann Program, syndicated radio/Free Speech Network (12/29/10)
-Burt Cohen Show, Portsmouth Community Radio (1/6/11)
-Bill Moyers, History Makers (1/27/11)
-Bruce Bartlett, The Fiscal Times (2/4/11)
-Marcia Clemmitt, CQ Researcher (2/18/11)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (4/18/11)
-Mark Blumenthal, HuffPost Pollster (4/28/11)
-John Quiggin, Crooked Timber (5/13/11)
-The Influencing Machine by Brooke Gladstone (W. W. Norton & Company, 5/23/11)
-Sean Gonzales, Cape Cod Times (6/16/11)
-Craig Silverman, Columbia Journalism Review (6/17/11)
-"Radio Smart Talk", WITF Harrisburg (6/21/11)
-Beyond Performance: How Great Organizations Build Ultimate Competitive Advantage by Scott Keller and Colin Price (Wiley, 6/21/11)
-John Dickson, Sidney Morning Herald (7/9/11)
-Mindhacker: 60 Tips, Tricks, and Games to Take Your Mind to the Next Level by Ron Hale-Evans and Marty Hale-Evans (Wiley, 9/6/11)
-Nathan Pippenger, The New Republic (10/26/11)
-John Gregg, Valley News (10/30/11)
-Paul Waldmann, The American Prospect (11/1/11)
-Ben Smith, Politico (11/2/11)
-Beyond the Blogosphere: Information and Its Children by Aaron Barlow and Robert Leston (Praeger, 12/7/11)
-The Information Diet: A Case for Conscious Consumption by Clay Johnson (O'Reilly Media, 1/18/12)
-Jamelle Bouie, The American Prospect (2/6/12)
-Trevor Thrall, The National Interest (2/9/12)
-Bill Moyers, Moyers & Company (2/10/12)
-Peter M. Nardi, Miller-McCune (2/14/12)
-Paul Rosenberg, Al Jazeera (3/1/12)
-David Graham, The Atlantic (3/13/12)
-James Taranto, Wall Street Journal (3/13/12)
-Henry J. Gomez, Cleveland Plain Dealer (3/24/12)
-The Republican Brain: The Science of Why They Deny Science - and Reality by Chris Mooney (Wiley, 4/10/12)
-Martha Gill, New Statesman (4/26/12)
-Guy Raz, NPR's Weekend All Things Considered (4/29/12)
-Earl Lane, American Association for the Advancement of Science (5/8/12)
-Ted Brader, Washington Post (7/19/12)
-Craig Silverman, Nieman Reports (7/19/12)
-Trust Me, I'm Lying: Confessions of a Media Manipulator by Ryan Holliday (Portfolio Hardcover, 7/19/12)
-"The Conversation with Ross Reynolds", KUOW (NPR) Seattle (8/9/12)
-Michael Cooper, New York Times (9/1/12)
-Dylan Matthews, Washington Post's Wonkblog (9/10/12)
-Cass Sunstein, New York Times (9/18/12)
-Jim Giles, New Scientist (9/19/12)
-Michael Scherer, Time (10/3/12)
-Sheila Eldred, Discovery News (10/10/12)
-"Radio Times with Marty Moss-Coane", WHYY Philadelphia (11/9/12)
-"Future Tense", ABC Radio National Australia (11/18/12)
-Sam Fulwood III, Center for American Progress (5/7/13)
-Maggie Koerth-Baker, New York Times Magazine (5/21/13)
-Dylan Matthews, Washington Post Wonkblog (6/3/13)
-Joshua Benton, Nieman Lab (6/3/13)
-Chris Selley, National Post (6/5/13)
-Editorial, Richmond Times-Dispatch (6/11/13)
-Eric Horowitz, Pacific Standard (8/23/13)
-Marty Kaplan, Alternet (9/17/13)
-"McIntyre in the Morning," KABC Los Angeles (9/18/13)
-Informing the News: The Need for Knowledge-Based Journalism by Thomas Patterson (Vintage, 10/18/13)
-Paul Krugman, New York Times (10/16/13)
-Richard A. D'Aveni, Forbes (10/2913)
-Michel Pireu, Business Day South Africa (11/18/13)
-Scot Lehigh, Boston Globe (12/6/13)
-Dan Kennedy, Huffington Post (12/18/13)
-A. Barton Hinkle, Richmond Times Dispatch (12/22/13)
-Trang Ho, Investor's Business Daily (1/22/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (3/5/14)
-Chris Hayes, All In with Chris Hayes (3/11/14)
-Keith Kloor, Cosmos Magazine (3/17/14)
-Keith Kloor, Discover (4/8/14)
-Dylan Matthews, Vox (4/8/14)
-Ian Millhiser, Think Progress (4/21/14)
-Matthew Hancock, City A.M. (5/15/14)
-Tommy Tucker, WWL 870 AM New Orleans (6/5/14)
-Richard Mullins, Tampa Tribune (6/22/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (6/25/14)
-Chris Mooney, Mother Jones (9/12/14)
-Tom Stafford, BBC (11/13/14)
-Morgan Housel, Wall Street Journal (12/19/14)
-David Graham, The Atlantic (1/20/15)
-George Eaton, New Statesman (2/18/15)
-Christopher Graves, Harvard Business Review (2/20/15)
-Sophia A. McClennen, Salon (4/7/15)
-Julia Belluz, Vox (4/13/15)
-Ira Glass, This American Life (4/26/15)
-Rush Limbaugh, RushLimbaugh.com (4/27/15)
-John Cook, Newsweek (5/3/15)
-Greg Miller and Scott Higham, Washington Post (5/9/15)
-Sam Harris, The Daily Beast (5/10/15)
-Dylan Matthews, Vox (5/20/15)
-Laura Dattaro, Columbia Journalism Review (5/20/15)
-Michelle Amazeen, Washington Post (6/3/15)
-Sophia McClennen, Salon (7/24/15)
-Robert F. Jakubowicz, Berkshire Eagle (9/24/15)
-Brenda Looper, Arkansas Democrat-Gazette (10/7/15)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (10/21/15)
-Louis C. Hochman, New Jersey 101.5 (10/26/15)
-Molly Osberg, Vice (10/28/15)
-Ho Lok-sang, Straits Times (10/31/15)
-Evan Horowitz, Boston Globe (11/18/15)
-Anne Pluta, FiveThirtyEight (1/7/16)
-David Graham, The Atlantic (1/7/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (1/8/16)
-John Feehery, The Hill (1/25/16)
-David Gooblar, Chronicle Vitae (1/27/16)
-A.J. Bauer, The Guardian (2/1/16)
-Clive McFarlane, Worcester Telegram & Gazette (3/4/16)
-Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg View (3/10/16)
-James Surowiecki, The New Yorker (3/21/16)
-Doyle McManus, Los Angeles Times (5/18/16)
-Erin Schumaker, Huffington Post (6/2/16)
-Tori Bedford, Boston Public Radio (6/22/16)
-Christie Aschwanden, FiveThirtyEight (7/20/16)
-David Ignatius, Washington Post (8/4/16)
-David A. Graham, The Atlantic (9/8/16)
-The Economist (9/10/16)
-Marcus Wohlsen, Wired (9/13/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (9/19/16)
-Danielle Kurtzleben, National Public Radio (9/27/16)
-The 180 with Jim Brown, CBC Radio (10/2/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Washington Post (10/7/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (11/2/16)
-Jesse Singal, New York Magazine (11/7/16)
-Julia Belluz and Brian Resnick, Vox (11/16/16)
-Maria Konnikova, Politico Magazine (1/20/17)
-Joe Uscinski, Reason (2/6/17)
-Robson Fletcher, CBC News (3/5/17)
-A. Bart Hinkle, Richmond Times-Dispatch (4/19/17)
-Alia Dastagir, USA Today (4/20/17)
-Sophie A. McClennen, Salon (4/22/17)
-Matthew d'Ancona, The Guardian (5/12/17)
-Tim Hollo, The Guardian (7/7/17)
-Brian Resnick, Vox (7/10/17)
-Katty Kay, BBC (11/19/17)
-Gleb Tsipursky, Scientific American (12/11/17)
-Daniel Engber, Slate (1/3/18)
-Rob Wolfe, Valley News (1/4/18)
-Laura Hazard Owen, Nieman Lab (1/11/18)
-Nicole Higgins DeSmet, Burlington Free Press (1/12/18)
-Emma Sarran Webster, Teen Vogue (2/22/18)
-Wolfgang Tillmans, The Guardian (2/28/18)
-Wolfgang Tillmans, New York Times (3/21/18)
-The Economist (4/5/18)
-Matthew D'Ancona, British GQ (6/4/18)
-Denise-Marie Ordway, Harvard Business Review (7/19/18)
-Gian Volpicelli, Wired UK (11/12/18)
-Nicholas Kristof, New York Times (11/25/18)
-Ben Rowen, Pacific Standard (1/17/19)
-Gordon Pennycook and David Rand, New York Times (1/19/19)
-Alia E. Dastagir, USA Today (3/8/19)
-Chris Selley, National Post (7/29/19)
-Ari Melber, Rolling Stone (5/8/20)
-Lee Drutman, FiveThirtyEight (6/3/20)
-Megan Molteni, Wired (6/15/20)
-Timothy Caulfield, The Star (6/19/20)
-Jan Oledan, Julia Ilhardt, Giorgio Musto, and Jacob N. Shapiro, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (6/25/20)
-Margaret Sullivan, Washington Post (8/29/20)
-Nicolás Rivero, Quartz (11/2/20)
Bayesian Model Averaging: Theoretical Developments and Practical Applications (pre-publication version). 2010. Political Analysis 18(2): 245-270. (with Jacob Montgomery)
-Replication data and code (R/Stata) [7.3 MB]
-R package: readme.txt, Unix/Mac,
Windows-32, Windows-64
Other publications
Fair Elections During a Crisis: Urgent Recommendations in Law, Media, Politics, and Tech to Advance the Legitimacy of, and the Public's Confidence in, the November 2020 U.S. Elections. UCI Law. 2020. (with other members of the Ad Hoc Committee for 2020 Election Fairness and Legitimacy)
- Media coverage
-
-Jonathan Bernstein, Bloomberg Opinion (5/3/20)
-Eric Lach, The New Yorker (5/8/20)
-Nicholas Riccardi, Associated Press (5/27/20)
- Matthew Brown, Deseret News (6/9/20)
-Jon Allsop, Columbia Journalism Review (6/12/20)
-Lou Jacobson and Amy Sherman, PolitiFact (6/18/20)
-Sam Levine, The Guardian (6/24/20)
-David Corn, Mother Jones (6/30/20)
-Thomas Beaumont, Associated Press (7/3/20)
-Greg Sargent, Washington Post (7/22/20)
-David Ignatius, Washington Post (7/23/20)
-Ben Smith, New York Times (8/2/20)
-Louis Jacobson, PolitiFact (9/1/20)
-Edward-Isaac Dovere, The Atlantic (9/9/20)
-Joan Walsh, The Nation (10/1/20)
-Emily Bazelon, New York Times Magazine (11/7/20)
National News, Local Lens? Findings from the 2019 Poynter Media Trust Survey. The Poynter Institute. 2019. (with Andrew Guess and Jason Reifler)
Why Fears of Fake News Are Overhyped. Medium. 2019.
Fake news, Facebook ads, and misperceptions: Assessing information quality in the 2018 U.S. midterm
election campaign. Public report. (with Andrew Guess, Benjamin Lyons, Jacob Montgomery, and Jason Reifler)
All Media Trust Is Local? Findings from the 2018 Poynter Media Trust Survey. The Poynter Institute. 2018. (with Andrew Guess and Jason Reifler)
Social Media, Political Polarization, and Political Disinformation: A Review of the Scientific Literature. Hewlett Foundation. 2018. (with Joshua Tucker, Andrew Guess, Pablo Barbera, Cristian Vaccari, Alexandra Siegel, Sergey Sanovich, and Denis Stukal)
Avoiding the Echo Chamber About Echo Chambers: Why Selective Exposure To Like-Minded Political News Is Less Prevalent Than You Think. The Knight Foundation. 2018. (with Andrew Guess, Benjamin Lyons, and Jason Reifler)
"You're Fake News!" The 2017 Poynter Media Trust Survey. The Poynter Institute. 2017. (with Andrew Guess and Jason Reifler)
A Checklist Manifesto for Peer Review. 2016. The Political Methodologist 23(1): 4-6.
Increasing the Credibility of Political Science Research: A Proposal for Journal Reforms (pre-publication version). 2015. PS: Political Science & Politics 48(S1): 78-83.
APSA as Amplifier: How to Encourage and Promote Public Voices within Political Science (pre-publication version). 2015. PS: Political Science & Politics 48(S1): 90-93. (with John Sides and Joshua A. Tucker)
Estimating Fact-checking's Effects: Evidence from a long-term experiment during campaign 2014. 2015. American Press Institute. (with Jason Reifler)
- Media coverage
-
-Brooks Jackson, FactCheck.org (4/22/15)
-Angie Drobnic Holan, PolitiFact (4/22/15)
-Jonathan Bernstein, Bloomberg View (4/23/15)
-David Uberti, Columbia Journalism Review (4/24/15)
-Leonard Pitts, syndicated column (4/25/15)
-Rem Rieder, USA Today (4/29/15)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (10/21/15)
-Tatiana Walk-Morris, Nieman Reports (3/23/16)
-Tamar Wilner, Poynter (4/19/16)
-Bill Adair, Columbia Journalism Review (7/25/18)
-Stephen Loiaconi, Sinclair Broadcast Group (8/9/18)
The Diffusion of Fact-checking: Understanding the growth of a journalistic innovation. 2015. American Press Institute. (with Lucas Graves and Jason Reifler)
Which Corrections Work? Research Results and Practice Recommendations. 2013. New America Foundation Media Policy Initiative Research Paper. (with Jason Reifler)
The Effects of Fact-checking Threat: Results From a Field Experiment in the States. 2013. New America Foundation Media Policy Initiative Research Paper. (with Jason Reifler)
- Media coverage
-
-David Leonhardt, New York Times (10/8/13)
-Dylan Matthews, Washington Post (10/8/13)
-Reid Wilson, Washington Post (10/8/13)
-Molly Ball, The Atlantic (10/8/13)
-Martha Moore, USA Today (10/8/13)
-Craig Silverman, Poynter (10/8/13)
-Evan McMurry, Mediaite (10/8/13)
-John Sides, Washington Post (10/9/13)
-Jacob Sullum, Reason (10/9/13)
-Christopher Zara, International Business Times (10/9/13)
-Andrew Sullivan, The Dish (10/9/13)
-Frank Sesno, CNN's "Reliable Sources" (10/13/13)
-Paul Singer, USA Today (11/12/13)
-Nathaniel Herz, Alaska Dispatch (10/10/14)
-Michelle Amazeen, Washington Post (6/3/15)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (10/21/15)
-Dave Helling, Kansas City Star (12/9/15)
Does the US Media Have a Liberal Bias? A Discussion of Tim Groseclose's Left Turn: How Liberal Media Bias Distorts the American Mind (local copy). 2012. Perspectives on Politics 10(3): 767-771.
-Replication code (Stata)
Misinformation and Fact-checking: Research Findings from Social Science. 2012. New America Foundation Media Policy Initiative Research Paper. (with Jason Reifler)
- Media coverage
-
-Amy Gahran, Knight Digital Media Center (2/29/12)
-Craig Silverman, Poynter (3/1/12)
-John Wihbey, Journalist's Resource (3/1/12)
-Henry J. Gomez, Cleveland Plain Dealer (3/24/12)
-Craig Silverman, Nieman Reports (7/19/12)
-Jim Giles, New Scientist (9/19/12)
-Reed Richardson, The Nation (1/4/13)
-Jonathan Bernstein, Washington Post PostPartisan (2/5/13)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (10/21/15)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (1/8/16)
-Alexios Mantzarlis, Poynter (5/8/16)
-Danielle Kurtzleben, National Public Radio (9/3/16)
How Political Science Can Help Journalism (and Still Let Journalists Be Journalists) (local copy). 2011. The Forum 9(1). (with John Sides)
Why the "Death Panel" Myth Wouldn't Die: Misinformation in the Health Care Reform Debate (local copy). 2010. The Forum 8(1).
-Replication code (Stata)
- Media coverage
- -Ed Kilgore, The Democratic Strategist (4/28/10)
-The 7th Avenue Project, KUSP Santa Cruz (5/2/10)
-Matt Steinglass, The Economist (5/5/10)
-Andrew Sullivan, The Dish (5/7/10)
-Marcia Clemmitt, CQ Researcher (2/18/11)
-Chris Mooney, The American Prospect (6/13/11)
-"Radio Smart Talk", WITF Harrisburg (6/21/11)
-John Gregg, Valley News (10/30/11)
-Chris Mooney, Alternet (2/22/12)
-Paul Krugman, New York Times (2/27/12)
-The Republican Brain: The Science of Why They Deny Science - and Reality by Chris Mooney (Wiley, 4/10/12)
-Informing the News: The Need for Knowledge-Based Journalism by Thomas Patterson (Vintage, 10/18/13)
-Simon Maloy, Salon (6/23/14)
-Reed Richardson, The Nation (7/21/14)
-Daniel Engber, Slate (1/3/17)
Party and Constituency in the U.S. Senate, 1933-2004. 2008. In Why Not Parties?, Nathan W. Monroe, Jason M. Roberts, and David Rohde, eds. University of Chicago Press. (with John Aldrich, Michael Brady, Scott de Marchi, Ian McDonald, David Rohde, and Michael Tofias)
-Replication data and code (Stata)
All the President's Spin: George W. Bush, the Media and the Truth. Touchstone, 2004. (with Ben Fritz and Bryan Keefer)
-Amazon.com Best Books of 2004 (11/10/04)
-New York Times bestseller (9/5/04)
Current research
Political Audience Diversity and News Reliability in Algorithmic Ranking (with Saumya Bhadani, Shun Yamaya, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer, and Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia) [R&R at Nature Human Behaviour]
The Effects of Unsubstantiated Claims of Voter Fraud on Confidence in Elections (with Nicolas Berlinski, Margaret Doyle, Andrew M. Guess, Gabrielle Levy, Benjamin Lyons, Jacob M. Montgomery, and Jason Reifler) [R&R at Journal of Experimental Political Science]
The Limited Effects of Partisan and Consensus Messaging in Correcting Science Misperceptions (with the students in my 2020 Experiments in Politics seminar at Dartmouth) [R&R at Research & Politics]
The Effect of Electoral Inversions on Democratic Legitimacy: Evidence from the United States (with John Carey, Gretchen Helmke, Mitchell Sanders, Susan Stokes, and Shun Yamaya) [under review]
The Distorting Prism of Social Media: How Self-Selection and Exposure to Incivility Fuel Online Comment Toxicity (with Jin Woo Kim, Andrew M. Guess, and Jason Reifler) [under review]
Does Elite Rhetoric Undermine Democratic Norms? (with Katherine Clayton, Nicholas T. Davis, Ethan Porter, Timothy J. Ryan, and Thomas J. Wood) [under review]
Do People Actually Learn From Fact-Checking? Evidence from a Longitudinal Study During the 2014 Campaign (with Jason Reifler)
Scholarly reviews
Review of Milton Lodge and Charles S. Taber, The Rationalizing Voter (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2013). 2014. Public Opinion Quarterly 78(S1): 365-367.
Review of Thráinn Eggertsson, Imperfect Institutions: Possibilities and Limits of Reform (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2005). 2006. Public Choice 129: 239-241.
Courses taught
Political Misinformation and Conspiracy Theories (Dartmouth, Michigan)
Experiments in Politics (Dartmouth, Duke)
The Presidency (Dartmouth)
Quantitative Political Analysis (Dartmouth)
Political writing
Contributor, The Upshot, The New York Times (March 2014-)
Previous:
-Contributor, GEN/Medium (February-August 2019)
-Media critic, Columbia Journalism Review (November 2011-February 2014)
-Featured blogger, HuffPost Pollster (formerly Pollster.com) and Washington Monthly Ten Miles Square blog (2009-2011)
-Politico op-ed (10/8/13) [with Jason Reifler]
-Crystal Ball column (10/6/11)
-Crystal Ball column (5/26/11)
-CNN.com commentary (4/28/11)
-Boston Review article (11/11/10) [with Eric McGhee and John Sides]
-New York Times op-ed (3/25/10)
-brendan-nyhan.com (personal blog; 2004-present)
Spinsanity (with Ben Fritz and Bryan Keefer; 2001-2004)
-Featured columnist, Philadelphia Inquirer (2004)
-Award of Distinction, 2003 Paul Mongerson Prize for Investigative Reporting on News Coverage
-Featured columnist, Salon.com (2002)
Previous experience
Marketing and fundraising consultant (2001–2003)
The Benetech Initiative
Deputy Communications Director (2000)
Bernstein for US Senate, Nevada
Resources for new/aspiring academics
Tom Carsey, Tom's Comments: Advice about Graduate School, Finding a Job, Reaching Tenure in Political Science and other Social Sciences, and All of the Steps in Between
Jessica McCrory Calarco, A Field Guide to Grad School: Uncovering the Hidden Curriculum
Robert Peters, Getting What You Came For: The Smart Student's Guide to Earning an M.A. or a Ph.D.
Fabio Rojas, Grad Skool Rulz: Everything You Need to Know about Academia from Admissions to Tenure
Gary King, So You're a Grad Student Now? Maybe You Should Do This
Michael Munger, IHS essays and videos Kosmos podcasts on academic success
Michael Munger, Scholars Talk Writing
Alvaro de Menard, What's Wrong with Social Science and How to Fix It: Reflections After Reading 2578 Papers
Justin Grimmer, Barry Weingast, and Ken Schultz, Advice to PhD Students Going on the Academic Job Market
Arthur Spirling, Job Talks: A Talk
Emily Hanford, Don't Lecture Me: Rethinking the Way College Students Learn
Tom Carsey, What Makes for a Good Research Presentation
Phil Agre, Networking on the Network
Richard Hamming, You and Your Research
Phil Arena, Signaling Advice For Grad Students
Cal Newport, Some Thoughts on Grad School
Don Davis, Ph.D. Thesis Research: Where do I Start?
Ira Glass on the gap between your taste and your work and how to close it and Todd Henry on developing your creative voice
Journal editors on what makes a good review
Tyler Cowen on academic publishing
Chris Blattman, How to get a PhD *and* save the world
Paul Edwards, How to Give an Academic Talk
Ezra W. Zuckerman, Tips to Article-Writers
Philip J. Guo, The Ph.D. Grind: A Ph.D. Student Memoir
Karen Kelsky, Should I Do an Edited Collection?
Hugo Lindgren, Be Wrong as Fast as You Can
Eric Chown, Giving Computer Science Students Freedom
Eve Ewing, How to write a personal statement for graduate school
Kieran Healy on nuance traps in theories of social behavior
Tyler Cowen on the relative importance of incentives vs. where we are on the innovation curve
David Karpf, The Dissertation as Teacher
Robert J. Stenberg, Self-Sabotage in the Academic Career
Andrew Oswald, Things I would have found it useful to have been told when I was a young researcher
Kurt Gray and Daniel M. Wegner, Six Guidelines for Interesting Research
Cosma R. Shalizi, On Academic Talks: Memory and Fear
Radhika Nagpal, The-Awesomest-7-Year-Postdoc or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Tenure-track-faculty-life
Nathan M. Jensen, My paper's journey through the review process
Gabriel Rossman on how we broke peer review and how to fix it
Chris Blattman, Frequently asked questions on PhD applications
Mark Cuban, Don't Follow Your Passion, Follow Your Effort
Kaitlin Gallagher, Fixed vs Growth Mindsets
Chris Blattman, Advice for new Assistant Professors
Jesse Shapiro, How to Give an Applied Micro Talk
John Patty, The Math of Getting a Job in Political Science
Marc F. Bellemare, How to Publish in Academic Journals
Brian McGill, William Shockley on what makes a person who publishes a lot of papers
Scott Adams, Passion is overrated and goals are for losers
Jonathan Berk, Campbell R. Harvey, and David A. Hirshleifer, Preparing a Referee Report: Guidelines and Perspectives
Leonard Mlodinow on myths about where scientific discoveries come from
Ezra Klein's advice to young journalists (much applies to aspiring academics)
Avoiding gender bias in reference writing
Chris Jones, Nine Rules for Creative Work
Stephen M. Walt, How to Get Tenure
Scott Alexander, Nonfiction Writing Advice
Andrew Little, Three Templates for Introductions to Political Science Articles
Johannes Haushofer, CV of Failures
Daniel McCormack on why you shouldn't ask a professor whether you should pursue a Ph.D.
Paul N. Edwards, How to Give an Academic Talk
Jean Yang, The Genius Fallacy
Brett Mensh and Konrad Kording, Ten simple rules for structuring papers
Matt Might, 10 easy ways to fail a Ph.D.
David Evans, How to Publish Statistically Insignificant Results in Economics
Gary King, Dissertation Advice
Amy Catalinac, Overcoming Barriers to Women’s Advancement in Political Science
Jacquelyn Pless, 12 Job Market "Vitals"
Philip Guo, A Five-Minute Guide to Ph.D. Program Applications
Paul Niehaus, Doing research
Paul Graham, Maker's Schedule, Manager's Schedule
Ben Olken, My Epic Failures
Josh Kertzer, Five things I wish I knew over the past decade
Benjamin Lauderdale, Things that I have learned by being a journal editor
John Lofland, How to Make Out in Graduate Sociology