Poll: Scott Brown leads Elizabeth Warren by 1 point
Sen. Scott Brown has the slimmest of edges over Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts, according to a poll released Sunday, contradicting a consensus that Warren had opened up a solid lead.
The UMass-Lowell/Boston Herald poll showed Brown leading Warren among likely voters 49 percent to 48 percent. Warren has held a lead outside the margin of error in four of the seven polls released in the past week. The pair were tied in a Boston Globe poll, and a poll released by a GOP firm showed Brown with a slight edge.
Continue ReadingThe last Herald poll, conducted in September, showed Brown with a 4-point edge, indicating movement in Warren’s direction.
While other polls have shown Brown’s favorability slipping, he remains strong here: 54 percent of Bay Staters have a positive opinion of him. The number with a negative opinion has spiked since September, from 29 percent to 39 percent. Those numbers are better than Warren’s 50 percent to 42 percent split.
Warren has a lead among registered voters, 49 percent to 47 percent.
The poll, conducted between Halloween and Nov. 3, has a sample of 956 registered voters and 800 likely voters. The margin of error for likely voters is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points. For registered voters, it is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
Readers' Comments (53)
Polls numbers are useless without the breakdown of the sample set provided along with the result.
This year has been notorious for oversampling Democrats in order to get poll results supportive the Democrat agenda.
Brown will probably win as a result of the national backlash against big spending nanny state government - a style of government whose demoralizing failings will probably suppress Democrat turnout .
We'll know on Wednesday.
Scott Brown is a tea party loser who is out of place representing the people of Massachusetts. He is a disgrace to the late Senator Kennedy's seat. Please show up Wednesday and send him packing in his stupid little truck!
Warren is an craven hypocrite. The gimme gimme element of humanity is the only reason the left is not permanently on the fringe of society.
Three out of the five polls in the past week have shown Scott Brown in the lead.
Oooooooooooooops!
That ain't the right progressive narrative.
The Faux Cherokee should be scalping the paleface at this point.
The Boston Herald, a long time big backer of Scott Brown, runs a propaganda piece, er I mean a poll, to give hope to the gopers. To get the result they claim they had to eliminate 84 Warren voters (18%) versus only 57 Brown voters (13%) from the Registered to Likely samples but it gave them the headline they wanted.
Nice try, but all it will do is ensure that Elizabeth Warren's backers are even more motivated.
There are polls and then there are polls! Go, Lizzie!! Take him down!!
Try this. Brown can rely on his kings and queens.
Pocahontas is entirely dependent on the gimme gimme gimme types for her political support... and the arrogant left wing elites who think they should tell everyone how to live their lives.
Pocahontas is rabidly anti business.... the people who create wealth in this society.
Brown for Senate!
Both candidates exhibit behaviors that are consistent with the maturity levels of the supporters of each party. The thick blue state of Taxachusetts must not want the emotionally unstable feminist who always seems to be backing herself into corners with her own fairy tales and shocking political ideology. Brown is cool under pressure while being able to connect with the highly democratic electorate. The preidential race is no different. One man offers optimism, the other offers whatever he can to buy a vote. This election is a crossroads between doing what is popular and doing what is smart and necessary.
WSharp When do you begin to think clearly about this race? The election is tomorrow and the majority of the democratic base is still sucking on a pacifier. We've been hearing jabs and cracks about the Republican candidate without a single Obama sycophant engaging in an intelligent discussion.
As a registered Democrat living in metro Boston, I will be voting for Scott Brown.Elizabeth Warren has no integrity which has been proven from her past acts:
1.) Claiming Native American Heritage when she isn't.
2.) Complains of the high price of education and student debt crisis when she makes $340,000 for teaching one class one day a week.
3.) Wants people of higher income to pay more taxes but refuses to check the box on the MA tax forms which allows the filer to pay a higher rate.
4.) Flipping houses in Oklahoma from foreclosed homes of US military personnel.
5.) Claiming to be fighting for working families all her life when she has really been fighting for the insurance companies to deny workers benefits.
6) Accepted a 20-year interest free loan from Harvard University while claiming she is fighting for low interest loans for student.
7) The list goes on and on.
Laughable Poll. Elizabeth WILL be the next senator in Mass. Guaranteed.
A vote for Elizabeth Warren is a vote for Obamacare plain and simple.
HHS has already demonstrated how it's going to control health care costs with limitations on cancer screening for women.
http://cnsnews.com/news/articl...
You don't see this as a war on women? I do.
HHS put out a report in November of 2009 telling the public that regular mammograms where "unnecessary". The proclamation from HHS generated fierce push back by the medical community and was even called "irresponsible". HHS quickly retracted its statement. You can look forward to more of this if the senate remains a Democratic majority, except without the retraction.
So politicians are now the replacements for our highly trained doctors who will now be deciding how and when women will get cancer screening?
Do politicians take the Hippocratic Oath to protect the life of the patient like our doctors do? Apparently not if they will be only providing pain pills instead of a pacemaker as in the case of this elderly women who is unfortunate enough to be "too old to save" according to Obama.
http://www.youtube.com/...
The only thing HHS will be paying for is assisted suicide, which also happens to be on the Massachusetts ballot this November (Question 2).
Obamacare also introduces women to the "Preventive Services Task Force" whose job it is to search for ways to cut health care costs, which will probably include cuts in:
Chlamydia screening in most women over 25;
Cervical cancer screening in those over 65;
Routine tests to detect viruses that cause cervical cancer;
Breast cancer screening using digital mammography or MRI instead of the traditional plain film;
Screening for ovarian cancer and genetic tests that raise women’s risk of breast cancer;
Clinical breast exams in women older than 40;
Education on breast self-examination
I'll be voting to preserve lifesaving cancer screening for the women of my family and you'll be voting for free contraception for yours.
Outlier. Only the average of polls matters. In that measure, Warren is up +3.5 -- and about to be buoyed by an Obama wave. The president leads Romney by +20 in Mass.
Anyone who believes they can predict the outcome of any race in this election is felony stupid.
Partisanship aside, I thought Bill Clinton's "Caught with my hand in the cookie jar" comment was absolutely priceless.
The Boston Herald is a conservative rag with no credibility with the people of Boston or MA for that matter. I implore you to go to their web page for a good laugh. Brown is toast, his message, tone and body language all show he knows he's done.
If character mattters, Warren should have no chance.
A Boston Herald poll...it must be accurate!
Got any plans for Wednesday, Scott?
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